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All I'm sayin'...Is give mom nature a chance - LOL. Storm potential of 2/23-24 Bears Watching


wxhstn74

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I had to laugh at the comments on DTX's "bad news" for snow. I know the guy personally and he is a neutrotic wx nut like all of us and is in the right biz. He also likes a good snowstorm but when you are working mids and have to drive home in the crap /Fri AM-rush/ it IS bad news. It reminds me of my fate and retirement: For the last several years as you know the winters were more than busy over SE Mich with numerous storms and record snows.I had to drive about 54 miles a day (27 both ways) in all the sheeeit. Of course, the first winter I retire...NADA, virtually nuttin honey. It is now a standing joke but please don't tell me to go back to work at the NWS...my blog and Oakland Press blog site are a nice start.

Bill Deedler

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I had to laugh at the comments on DTX's "bad news" for snow. I know the guy personally and he is a neutrotic wx nut like all of us and is in the right biz. He also likes a good snowstorm but when you are working mids and have to drive home in the crap /Fri AM-rush/ it IS bad news. It reminds me of my fate and retirement: For the last several years as you know the winters were more than busy over SE Mich with numerous storms and record snows.I had to drive about 54 miles a day (27 both ways) in all the sheeeit. Of course, the first winter I retire...NADA, virtually nuttin honey. It is now a standing joke but please don't tell me to go back to work at the NWS...my blog and Oakland Press blog site are a nice start.

Bill Deedler

Thanks for the context. My bad.

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Still nothing like the 0z EURO, which had a strung out POS centered over WV. It'll be interesting to see the trends, but I'd wager the 0z EURO went overboard.

probably, i'd guess a compromise solution will win out. You remain in the best possible spot for something of note, but this isn't looking like a blockbuster.

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MKX issued a winter storm watch for 3-6", with up to 8" in isolated spots. Seems a bit trigger happy but they need to warn people now if it does happen.

I was about to comment that most of the Wisconsin folks have seemed conspicuously quiet considering both the GFS and NAM give S Wisconsin a decent WWA type event.

And of course there goes my goal of having a WS watch or warning issued this winter. I never would've thought this would be the system that prompts a watch.

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From DVN:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL

1112 AM CST WED FEB 22 2012

...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION MAY PRODUCE MODERATE TO

HEAVY SNOW FROM THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR NORTH TO HIGHWAY 20.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE POTENTIAL

FOR A NARROW BAND OF EVEN HEAVIER AMOUNTS IF THUNDERSNOWS DEVELOP.

THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW IS STILL UNCERTAIN SO THE EXACT

LOCATIONS TO RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST SNOW COULD SHIFT TO THE NORTH OR

SOUTH...IN ADDITION TO SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REMAINING MIXED

RAIN AND SNOW...OR RAIN.

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-230315-

/O.NEW.KDVN.WS.A.0003.120223T1200Z-120224T0600Z/

BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-

CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-

WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDEPENDENCE...MANCHESTER...DUBUQUE...

VINTON...CEDAR RAPIDS...ANAMOSA...MAQUOKETA...MARENGO...

IOWA CITY...TIPTON...CLINTON...MUSCATINE...BETTENDORF...

DAVENPORT...GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...STERLING...

ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...PRINCETON...

HENNEPIN

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That office has been like last for the last several years.

12z GEM south of the GFS/NAM. Sfc low around 994 passing over PIA/BMI.

This year they have actually tended to be more conservative than LOT. LOT has issued two WSWs so far this winter (only one of which actually produced) and this is MKX's first (and we had over 6 inches with an advisory event in Jan.

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This year they have actually tended to be more conservative than LOT. LOT has issued two WSWs so far this winter (only one of which actually produced) and this is MKX's first (and we had over 6 inches with an advisory event in Jan.

^This. MKE has been too high with amounts the last few storms (events), but conservative with their watches. A watch was needed during the first system in southeastern WI. I remember some areas were above 7".

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