All I'm sayin'...Is give mom nature a chance - LOL. Storm potential of 2/23-24 Bears Watching

[weatherpsycho]

Dtx upgraded to WSW for 5-8 for metro area with 8+ north of M-59. I agree with this going thought 100%

I am going to hold you to it 8"+

[Thundersnow12]

LOT aviation with good info on timing of changeover

If anything, sounds like they moved up the changeover time a tad.

[A-L-E-K]

If anything, sounds like they moved up the changeover time a tad.

yeah i thought that sounded quick, but they're the pros. We probably won't be under much more than junk returns at that time anyways.

[turtlehurricane]

Been snowing lightly for a while, but now snowing hard with big flakes. This stuff ought to be able to pull some colder air down with it. Wow, just gorgeous.

Cedar Rapids just hit 32 °F, coldest NWS ob in the region.

[A-L-E-K]

Dtx upgraded to WSW for 5-8 for metro area with 8+ north of M-59. I agree with this going thought 100%

good luck, buddy.

[A-L-E-K]

Cedar Rapids just hit 32 °F, coldest NWS ob in the region.

you can see the changeover to snow in that region pretty nicely on radar.

[SpartyOn]

Dtx upgraded to WSW for 5-8 for metro area with 8+ north of M-59. I agree with this going thought 100%

COngrats DMC, Ajdos and Stevo!

[Thundersnow12]

pretty cool looping the HRRR showing it popping off convection near the southern edge of the precip shield between 3-7z in northern IL. Kind of reminds me of the GHD event.

[snowstormcanuck]

NAM has fully capitulated to the GFS. Low is over western Lk Erie by 15z tomorrow.

[Stebo]

good luck, buddy.

Thank you sir. If I end up 5 to 7 I call it a win as Eastpointe is a snow hole. I am more excited bout the thundersnow prospects than amounts.

[hm8]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI

251 PM EST THU FEB 23 2012

...WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

.A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK FROM

CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND TO NORTHEAST

OHIO BY TOMORROW MORNING. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOW

FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON SNOW

ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 5 TO 8 INCHES NORTH OF M 14...EXCEPT FOR THE

TRI CITIES REGION. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE TRI CITIES AND

MONROE AND LENAWEE COUNTIES WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES.

THE SNOW WILL ADVANCE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...

POSSIBLY STARTING AS A MIX OF SNOW AND RAIN. THE SNOW WILL BECOME

HEAVY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WHEN A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER

WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE

DAY ON FRIDAY. WHILE THE SNOW WILL LEAN TOWARD THE HEAVY AND WET

VARIETY...WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH ON FRIDAY MAY LEAD TO SOME

BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

[SpartyOn]

NAM has fully capitulated to the GFS. Low is over western Lk Erie by 15z tomorrow.

I was just considering tossing out all other med range models and strictly going with high res

[huronicane]

We're looking at about 75-80% large snow flakes vs. 20-25% rain in Arlington Heights.

[Thundersnow12]

18z NAM comes in slower, good snow still in northeast IL by noon tomorrow.

[AppsRunner]

HRRR is my solution for the day:

[snowstormcanuck]

I said my call of 4-6" was final for YYZ, but based on everything I've seen lately, this jog to the left seems like it's going to be more fact than fiction. Burst of snow between 10-14z tomorrow, then slot. 2-4". Final call.

[BeastFromTheEast]

HRRR is my solution for the day:

Snow still going very very very strong at the end of that run so tack on to those totals!!

[Nelson]

The UW-Madison tractor beams are operating at full strength.

heh, love this

[A-L-E-K]

latest RUC inching back south some with the heaviest band...rocking I88 corridore by 6z

[Toronto4]

I said my call of 4-6" was final for YYZ, but based on everything I've seen lately, this jog to the left seems like it's going to be more fact than fiction. Burst of snow between 10-14z tomorrow, then slot. 2-4". Final call.

I've been following this potential for the last few days and I have to agree with you. Earlier today, I was thinking of 3-6" for us but the 18z NAM is not good. The only way we can reach 4-6" is if the burst of snow during the AM rush is more intense.

[Geos]

and

[on_wx]

WWCN11 CWTO 232018

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN

ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA

AT 3:18 PM EST THURSDAY 23 FEBRUARY 2012.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...

SNOWFALL WARNING FOR:

=NEW= CITY OF TORONTO

=NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON

=NEW= LONDON - MIDDLESEX

=NEW= OXFORD - BRANT

=NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON

=NEW= HALTON - PEEL

=NEW= YORK - DURHAM

=NEW= HURON - PERTH

=NEW= WATERLOO - WELLINGTON

=NEW= DUFFERIN - INNISFIL

=NEW= BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND

=NEW= PETERBOROUGH - KAWARTHA LAKES

=NEW= STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC

=NEW= KALADAR - BANNOCKBURN - BON ECHO PARK

=NEW= WESTPORT - CHARLESTON LAKE

=NEW= MERRICKVILLE-WOLFORD - KEMPTVILLE

=NEW= CITY OF OTTAWA

=NEW= GATINEAU

=NEW= PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL

=NEW= CORNWALL - MORRISBURG

=NEW= SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE.

SNOW IS ON THE WAY.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

==DISCUSSION==

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO

TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. SNOW IN

ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO THIS

EVENING, THE GREATER TORONTO AREA OVERNIGHT, AND REACH EASTERN

ONTARIO BY FRIDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ABOUT 15

CM ARE EXPECTED FOR MANY LOCALES ALONG A SWATH FROM SARNIA TO

CORNWALL.

THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND

EVENING.

REFER TO YOUR LOCAL PUBLIC FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

END/OSPC

[toronto blizzard]

Warning for my area

[Snohio]

HRRR is my solution for the day:

Ha ha. Lock it in! At this point, I would be pretty shocked if we got that much in NW Ohio. DTX said two inches near Toledo.

[BeastFromTheEast]

latest RUC inching back south some with the heaviest band...rocking I88 corridore by 6z

Looks Nice.. Even MKE gets in on some fun..

[turtlehurricane]

Snow still going very very very strong at the end of that run so tack on to those totals!!

Band of snow from New England to Kansas, wow!

[snowstormcanuck]

I've been following this potential for the last few days and I have to agree with you. Earlier today, I was thinking of 3-6" for us but the 18z NAM is not good. The only way we can reach 4-6" is if the burst of snow during the AM rush is more intense.

The models are actually showing that area of enhanced instability at the nose of the llj staying across PA/NY. So while the best defo. snow will be to our west, the best chance of TSSN will be to our SE. Cannot make this stuff up.

[snowstormcanuck]

WWCN11 CWTO 232018

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN

ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA

AT 3:18 PM EST THURSDAY 23 FEBRUARY 2012.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...

SNOWFALL WARNING FOR:

=NEW= CITY OF TORONTO

=NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON

=NEW= LONDON - MIDDLESEX

=NEW= OXFORD - BRANT

=NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON

=NEW= HALTON - PEEL

=NEW= YORK - DURHAM

=NEW= HURON - PERTH

=NEW= WATERLOO - WELLINGTON

=NEW= DUFFERIN - INNISFIL

=NEW= BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND

=NEW= PETERBOROUGH - KAWARTHA LAKES

=NEW= STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC

=NEW= KALADAR - BANNOCKBURN - BON ECHO PARK

=NEW= WESTPORT - CHARLESTON LAKE

=NEW= MERRICKVILLE-WOLFORD - KEMPTVILLE

=NEW= CITY OF OTTAWA

=NEW= GATINEAU

=NEW= PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL

=NEW= CORNWALL - MORRISBURG

=NEW= SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE.

SNOW IS ON THE WAY.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

==DISCUSSION==

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO

TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. SNOW IN

ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO THIS

EVENING, THE GREATER TORONTO AREA OVERNIGHT, AND REACH EASTERN

ONTARIO BY FRIDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ABOUT 15

CM ARE EXPECTED FOR MANY LOCALES ALONG A SWATH FROM SARNIA TO

CORNWALL.

THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND

EVENING.

REFER TO YOUR LOCAL PUBLIC FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

END/OSPC

So when things were looking great they didn't even issue a watch, and now that things are turning to shiite, they issue a warning. lol. Brainiacs at EC. This will bust.

[toronto blizzard]

The models are actually showing that area of enhanced instability at the nose of the llj staying across PA/NY. So while the best defo. snow will be to our west, the best chance of TSSN will be to our SE. Cannot make this stuff up.

We can't win

[Hoosier]

Looks Nice.. Even MKE gets in on some fun..

MKX axed the advisory for Milwaukee but I wonder if it might need to be reissued. Amounts will be close.