Powerball Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Wow at the NAM. That solution would make quite a few people around here happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Thru 30 hours the 0z and 18z Nam look almost identical, just a hair south and much more robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 988mb over Lake Erie at 36 hours...quite strong. Temp wise, identical to 18z Nam across my region and across much of the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Holy nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 I'm gonna go with the GFS since it gives us a foot of snow. The NAM is upsetting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Thru 30 hours the 0z and 18z Nam look almost identical, just a hair south and much more robust. Nice trend. Hopefully once we see the 0z GFS we can dispose of the dryslot talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Holy nam pure porn for us. Over an inch to 1.5 of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 its working on slowing down.. maybe in another run it will get there with the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Nice trend. Hopefully once we see the 0z GFS we can dispose of the dryslot talk. I hope the 0z RGEM is good too. But the Nam seems to be hinting at some consistency. Lets hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 0z NAM has a super intense heavy wet snow band Omega bomb Boy you aren't kidding, the Omegas are off the charts with this one, I can't wait to look at CoD's VV page. Probably going to look sick even compared to 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Nice trend. Hopefully once we see the 0z GFS we can dispose of the dryslot talk. NAM looks like a solid 3-6''. BTW Adam stiles said he is going with the colder solution for once and calling for 4-8'' all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 its working on slowing down.. maybe in another run it will get there with the euro. Yeah this run was a touch slower and somewhat deeper too, would be a dream run for a large number of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Nam indicating 8-12" for the Detroit area. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 NAM looks like a solid 3-6''. BTW Adam stiles said he is going with the colder solution for once and calling for 4-8'' all snow. Verbatim, it looks like more than that, but the way it winds the storm up after 36 hours, I do still have dry slot concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 NAM looks like a solid 3-6''. BTW Adam stiles said he is going with the colder solution for once and calling for 4-8'' all snow. Thru 42 hours, 4-6" already down with ongoing moderate precip. Northern regions of the GTA are closer to 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 I see many sleepless nights ahead..... All we need is some thundersnow and a nice F1..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Verbatim, it looks like more than that, but the way it winds the storm up after 36 hours, I do still have dry slot concerns. Even if there is a dry slot based on current model guidance I suspect it will stay south of Toronto towards Hamilton/Niagara region. We havent really seen a storm with a "dryslot" this year lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Looks like Des Moines to Chicago to Detroit gets buried! and Toronto! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 LOT and IWK will be adding a watch soon with that NAM run (especially if the GFS is similar). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 I could cry over the 18z GFS and wet my pants over the 00z NAM! OMG what I wouldnt give for the NAM to verify.....love the slight south trend, I will take a little bit more please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Verbatim, it looks like more than that, but the way it winds the storm up after 36 hours, I do still have dry slot concerns. Screw that ugly dryslot. It better miss us to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Even if there is a dry slot based on current model guidance I suspect it will stay south of Toronto towards Hamilton/Niagara region. We havent really seen a storm with a "dryslot" this year lol. Never, ever, underestimate the dryslot. Almost always underdone by models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Looks like Des Monies to Chicago to Detroit gets buried! and Toronto! I94/401 special! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Boy you aren't kidding, the Omegas are off the charts with this one, I can't wait to look at CoD's VV page. Probably going to look sick even compared to 18Z with Izzi talking like that and the increasing chance this is a night event, a period of +SN looks likely somewhere close by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Speechless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Screw that ugly dryslot. It better miss us to the south. Trend is our friend. Another nudge to the south and we might be able to avoid most of it. Even if it does surge in here, it looks like several hours of snow our ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 with Izzi talking like that and the increasing chance this is a night event, a period of +SN looks likely somewhere close by Think it might be time to revise your 0.5" call? I think now could be a good time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 It is interesting how 'dry' the models have been with this storm until recent runs. I realize it is because of how poor they were handling this system but it sure seem or feels opposite of the past several years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Never, ever, underestimate the dryslot. Almost always underdone by models. Stop getting all worked up and sad now and making me feel depressed. I want snow for f*ck sakes.Its been years since we've seen a "widespread" snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Never, ever, underestimate the dryslot. Almost always underdone by models. I know remember GHD 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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