Hilltop avoiding non-isallobaric wind from heaven... UKMET/Euro try to save society as we know it

[weatherMA]

This euro run kinda blows. Looks like even weaker forcing than 00z at quick glance on my phone.

lol, and nam will probably come on board with the euro at 18z.

[CoastalWx]

Euro is exactly what you don't want. Weak lift and a low well south, stealing the show. If that happens, game over.

The one thing to watch is a lead s/w that seems to induce a weak warm frontal wave to our south. The euro develops it really far south.

[dendrite]

Not even advisory level here. Lol

[weatherMA]

Easy call for BOX not to put out anything now, but I would hate to be GYX. Nam is bordering warning criteria for CNE zones, gfs is solid advisory, and it sounds like the euro is 1-2". Can't completely discount either solution, but you can't wait for the 00z euro to decide. Should be a tough call.

[CoastalWx]

Almost has some similarites to the SPC 4km wrf, but only further south. The SREFs also have the burst of lift, but over nrn MA and srn NH. Probably why is looks so weird with the 4" probs. I think that lead s/w is important and models may be having a tough time with that. These are big differences so far out.

[Damage In Tolland]

AWT..nothing

[CoastalWx]

GFS almost seems like a reasonable compromise, after looking at all the guidance.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Will be interesting to see the euro on wunder, but I have a hard time going against it. NCEP is all over the place run to run.

Just had thunder here. Heck of a way to run a winter.

[CoastalWx]

Will be interesting to see the euro on wunder, but I have a hard time going against it. NCEP is all over the place run to run.

Just had thunder here. Heck of a way to run a winter.

LIs are near zero, so no surprise. Have a slight chance along the south coast tomorrow too if that occlusion comes by.

[weatherMA]

wunderground euro snowmaps snow more for Joe in Fairfield (1.5-2") then they show for snowNH (.5-1")

[ineedsnow]

just saw that i think i even get more

wunderground euro snowmaps snow more for Joe in Fairfield (1.5-2") then they show for snowNH (.5-1")

[Clinch Leatherwood]

So if the Euro verifies? 1-3" in ski country, stink bomb mashed nothing everywhere else?

NAM/GFS keep slowing things down which to mean is a lean to the Euro. Euro is probably overdone a bit just like it dropped too far southeast in the last event.

[Logan11]

Euro seems extreme ... The GFS is more like the NAM here than it is the ECM. GFS has .5" and NAM probably an unreasonable .75.

Euro is exactly what you don't want. Weak lift and a low well south, stealing the show. If that happens, game over.

The one thing to watch is a lead s/w that seems to induce a weak warm frontal wave to our south. The euro develops it really far south.

[ChrisM]

Wait...is the euro supressed or just really weak?

[amarshall]

Made my decision for Sugarloaf. 5 hr+ drive from Boston during rush hour tomorrow. If I get up there for a dusting....

Going with elevation. Bethel had rain today.

[Typhoon Tip]

I commented on the 00z Euro's attempt at continuation of yesterday's 12z, D9 system ... Looks like this run is trying to go nuts with that feature ... D6-7 now...

[Logan11]

But the Euro has accumulating snow with the new coastal post 36 hours also. If you want to buy it.

So if the Euro verifies? 1-3" in ski country, stink bomb mashed nothing everywhere else?

NAM/GFS keep slowing things down which to mean is a lean to the Euro. Euro is probably overdone a bit just like it dropped too far southeast in the last event.

[weatherMA]

But the Euro has accumulating snow with the new coastal post 36 hours also. If you want to buy it.

Wow, it does. Way different then any other model but still manages to get advisory level for CNE/NNE but according to the euro its tomorrow night not tomorrow morning.

[NorEastermass128]

Well it's now painstakingly clear that I'm now officially out of the game. GL to those interior elevated areas. Maybe you can get a slushy coating out by ORH-FIT-ASH.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Wow, it does. Way different then any other model but still manages to get advisory level for CNE/NNE but according to the euro its tomorrow night not tomorrow morning.

I think that's what the RGEM is doing too, take a look. There's very little QPF through H24, then boom a ton by H36 up in NNE.

I'm fine with that don't care how it gets there just am hoping to see a good 3-6/4-8 in the hills.

[CT Rain]

lol... NAM is one hell of a thump. Euro is a bit of a bore.

[ChrisM]

lol... NAM is one hell of a thump. Euro is a bit of a bore.

Gun to head harwinton 976' GO!

[N. OF PIKE]

best qpf will prolly swing thru during mid day for E SNE. would be pleasently shocked to see anything accumulate in cambridge.

[CT Rain]

Gun to head harwinton 976' GO!

Just starting to look. I couldn't believe how cold the 12z NAM is for even places to the south (i.e. all snow for HFD through at least 12z).

[CoastalWx]

Lock in the euro for next week.

[OKpowdah]

For NH, I'm thinking statewide 3"-7" sounds good right now.

[CoastalWx]

Just starting to look. I couldn't believe how cold the 12z NAM is for even places to the south (i.e. all snow for HFD through at least 12z).

Then look at the euro...lol.

I don't know..SPC WRF almost seems GFS like. I wonder if the GFS may be a compromise.

[ChrisM]

Just starting to look. I couldn't believe how cold the 12z NAM is for even places to the south (i.e. all snow for HFD through at least 12z).

Let me know what you think when you're done

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Flipping through the euro......there's a weak consensus between the RGEM/UK/EURO in that they all disagree with the NAM. I'm doubting the NAM is scoring a coup, I think it's probably junk and should be entirely disregarded. GFS may well be overdone too, but overall a good 2-4" looks to fall up north, maybe 3-6/4-8 we'll have to see.

South of the Pike I'm with Kev. We'll see if this band can hold together into CT/MRG but it looks like it wants to fade. We'll see.

Euro maps jackpot Nantucket after SW CT....lol

[CT Rain]

Lock in the euro for next week.

pingers for Kevin... ripping S+ for Logan. Dumbfounding.