HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Thanks for the great analysis once again. There was no reason for the last storm to trend weaker and SE last storm with the +NAO. Can't wait until I'm ripping SN and you're RA! Dude its 66% of 4", but good try. Thanks for going out on a limb there. Thats like saying the rain and snow line will be somewhere between the south coast and ORH... lol I can't believe I ever defended you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Some preliminary thoughts... Not bad sam, Not bad, My call is 4-7" here barring any catastrophes at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Not bad sam, Not bad, My call is 4-7" here barring any catastrophes at 0z lol yeah, that disclaimer is definitely included for my map also. Let's see what surprises the 00z runs hold haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Some preliminary thoughts... I was thinking a preliminary 3-5": for my 'hood, so I give you five stars on this effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 I was hoping for a more Freudian map to show the ENHANCEMENT in N ORH, but so be it. An inch is like a foot this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 lol yeah, that disclaimer is definitely included for my map also. Let's see what surprises the 00z runs hold haha Everything collapses SE. I mean we have to eventually have some snow down here at some point. This is just ridiculous. BOS metro areas at 7-12" with a week to go till March. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 lol yeah, that disclaimer is definitely included for my map also. Let's see what surprises the 00z runs hold haha lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 Based on all the cross sections it now appears that it is going snow quite hard all the way to the CT/RI borders with Mass, with an obscenely quick gradient to nothingness drab cold ugly relentless no winter rain S of there. Interesting how these storms can do that sometimes ...well, all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Started a seperate obs thread for friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Based on all the cross sections it now appears that it is going snow quite hard all the way to the CT/RI borders with Mass, with an obscenely quick gradient to nothingness drab cold ugly relentless no winter rain S of there. Interesting how these storms can do that sometimes ...well, all the time. New SREFs are nice and toasty.... Trend South Fail! Trend for not getting SNE snow Prevail! you're a dipshhit Nice analysis. Oh and nice meltdown earlier. This winter has clearly gotten to you. Enjoy your RA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 SREFs look slightly colder early on but warmer for the meat of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Some preliminary thoughts... I approve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 NAM looks chilly through 27h...we'll see if that translates into the meat of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 NAM looks chilly through 27h...we'll see if that translates into the meat of the event. Cold, very clear warm front at 39. Now will the low pop on the front and spare NNE/CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Lol...NAM is frigid...it even gives BOS a nice front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 It's interesting to compare ... If we had a -NAO in place, this situation has a 1/12/11 look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Lol...NAM is frigid...it even gives BOS a nice front end thump. Looks warm in CT, RI and over here where I won't be. You get pasted, Kev not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Lol...NAM is frigid...it even gives BOS a nice front end thump. Looks good north of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Looks warm in CT, RI and over here where I won't be. You get pasted, Kev not so much. Actually BDL is just flipping over at 12z...so even they would get a few inches. But BOS probably would get more than Kevin, lol. Oh well...NAM is always good for a few fun solutions. Its probably too cold, but that was a pretty big trend, so maybe it has the trend right even if the verbatim solution is too cold. That's the hope anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Actually BDL is just flipping over at 12z...so even they would get a few inches. But BOS probably would get more than Kevin, lol. Oh well...NAM is always good for a few fun solutions. Its probably too cold, but that was a pretty big trend, so maybe it has the trend right even if the verbatim solution is too cold. That's the hope anyway. NAM hasn't been as clueless with this event as some others. Doesn't seem to have as many troubles when the main parts are over land. I thought I had to 39, stuck at 36. Anyone else stuck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 The Eta came in pretty damn cold and snowy for S NH/MA too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 The low bombing to our northeast is what makes this colder...it forces the trailing shortwave to open up a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 We've gone from 70mph winds to Bretton Woods getting whiffed this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 New SREFs are nice and toasty.... Trend South Fail! Trend for not getting SNE snow Prevail! Nice analysis. Oh and nice meltdown earlier. This winter has clearly gotten to you. Enjoy your RA! My post gets deleted but obvious trolling doesn't...sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 I won't sleep until I see the RSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Futility buster per nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 I won't sleep until I see the RSM. Good night http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RSMEAST_0z/rsmloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Futility buster per nam? Yeah no doubt about it per NAM. Heck it's not far from snow/is snow even here for a good part of the thump. Be a few quick inches. Whole solution is surpressed. NAM is the last model I'll trust but if the RGEM/Euro run this way too...cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Didn't we know this is how it'd work out? It wouldn't be a D7 bomb that we tracked for days. It'd be something like this that's crept closer and closer for two days. As it should be, with Kev declaring this one a rainer for all of MA/CT/RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Futility buster per nam? Don't do it jerry, don't do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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