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Hilltop avoiding non-isallobaric wind from heaven... UKMET/Euro try to save society as we know it

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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it's possible. that would probably be the furthest south it could get though. even elevated areas south of there would probably just be too warm --> rain.

Right ...and then the remainder of the S/W relays in off the Pac that much more intense that it carves a little more into the NW periphery of the SE ridge, allowing the v-max and attending cyclogenesis to track off NJ bringing snow down to HFD.

Granted...seems entirely untennable this particular butt banger winter but stranger things have happened.

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OKpowdah

OKpowdah

Posted
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Maybe this can trend a little colder/south and get north of the Pike some accumulating snow.

I hope this trends waaay SE. Let SNE have some fun. I want to go home this weekend, and don't want to drive through the mess. My gift to you, Connecticut. Enjoy a good snow storm!

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ctsnowstorm628

ctsnowstorm628

Posted
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Looks like a solid storm for NNE. Probably 48 hour totals tomorrow through saturday evening running 12-18" above 1500ft and probably 6-10" below that. Medium impact event in the middle and high terrain from the limited analysis I've done here in fort myers.

My buddy sent me a pic from LSC and there are alot of a bare spots even near Burke mountain...they need this

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OKpowdah

OKpowdah

Posted
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What kind of a weather weenie are you?

One who played frisbee outside in shorts and a t-shirt this afternoon and LOVED IT! ;)

But yeah, if I can get home Thursday night, in time for a good thumping in Keene, that would be ideal. I don't know how early I'll be able to leave though

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

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Were not within its 18 hour wheelhouse yet so it's probably just a weenie run right?

Well maybe. If we can get really good lift (which seems possible) and a track like the NAM..it could surprise. I do worry about a correction like the 18z GFS, but we'll just see what the 00z runs do. Part of it has to do with how tomorrow's storm intensifies to our northeast.

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ski MRG

ski MRG

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Man 18z GFS is upslope heaven for a solid 12 hours. Hours 66-69 to 79 is beautiful, textbook stuff. Northwestern slopes of the Appalachians here in New England could clean up.

And yes SnowNH, I know no one cares. Save yourself the post for later.

Looking really nice. This is going to be so sweet, very stoked.

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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Look at the NAM FOUS T1-T5 lapse rates are like 15C! No snowcover and sun getting a little stronger = steep low level lapse rates.

Yeah, I know... and I was just thinking about how it was 63F up at UML at 12:30pm ...I think it was Saturday, but 2 days before the April 1 storm hit. Probably made 66F for a high.

Because I am a giant dork, I remember the ETA FOUS had T5 at 00C but T3 was +3C ...so figure 850mb was about +1 and change - not super duper warm by any stretch. Yet the sun was hot... Girls, unbearably smoking were strewn about the commons on blankets ...oh man my life sucks now.

Anyway I walked across the bridge headed for the caff at the bottom of Fox Tower from Smith Hall - I heard they tore that Hall down. That's creepy. There were cu skirting across the sky and I remember how they looked summery - there were no snow plumes surrounding them like on other "fake" warm days in early spring. It's amazing how completely turned around the environment became when that "shallowness" you were talking about was obliterated by dynamics.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

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Yeah, I know... and I was just thinking about how it was 63F up at UML at 12:30pm ...I think it was Saturday, but 2 days before the storm hit. Probably made 66F for a high.

Because I am a giant dork, I remember the ETA FOUS had T5 at 00C but T3 was +3C ...so figure 850mb was about +1 and change - not super duper warm by any stretch. Yet the sun was hot... Girls, unbearably smoking were strewn about the commons on blankets ...oh man my life sucks now.

Anyway I walked across the bridge headed for the caff at the bottom of Fox Tower from Smith Hall - I heard they tore that Hall down. That's creepy. There were cu skirting across the sky and I remember how they looked summery - there were no snow plumes surrounding them like on other "fake" warm days in early spring. It's amazing how completely turned around the environment became when that "shallowness" you were talking about was obliterated by dynamics.

There was a CU look to the sky today too.

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