CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Lol..only maybe? Try definately Not for everyone. The point that some of us were saying, is that the period near the 1st looked ok for something in the northeast...not just SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 i hope we can repeat the summer of 2009 here and have like a -7 departure for may june july aug was that the summer where it was "chilly" on 4'th of july. ya i'll take that.......hate the heat /humidity Hell yes, me too. Best summer ever!!! :underthewx: Year without a summer right? When the tomato blight was going around because of all the moisture I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Seems like with every storm this year that had a chance of producing more than an inch or two, I've ended up right on the fringe of being just far enough north to know there will be some snow and not far enough south to not want to pay attention because you know it's going to be all rain. Hard to really get too invested but I seem to have been on the 50/50 chance of rain/snow line every time there was a shot this year. Better odds than some, I know. Yup, it was like that with the 11/23 event and another event in January I believe. In the mid-January event I believe my grandma who lives in MHT had like a coating at her house, an inch at work a few miles north, and then Hookset/Bow had 2-4" or something. The gradient set up right over MHT. Anyways, good luck with this one. For both of us I hope it trends 75 miles SE so KTOL to ORH can be borderline instead of MHT to CON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Yup, it was like that with the 11/23 event and another event in January I believe. In the mid-January event I believe my grandma who lives in MHT had like a coating at her house, an inch at work a few miles north, and then Hookset/Bow had 2-4" or something. The gradient set up right over MHT. Anyways, good luck with this one. For both of us I hope it trends 75 miles SE so KTOL to ORH can be borderline instead of MHT to CON. I'd be thrilled for a 2-4 event, but it could definitely go the more rainy route this far out too. At least we have a shot, even 30-40 miles would make a difference, whether it's positive or negative we'll see. It would be nice to have that uncertainty area south of me for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 I'd be thrilled for a 2-4 event, but it could definitely go the more rainy route this far out too. At least we have a shot, even 30-40 miles would make a difference, whether it's positive or negative we'll see. It would be nice to have that uncertainty area south of me for a change. We're really on the line here...a shift of 50 miles in the track could make this go from a coating here to 4-6"...I still think the best snows will definitely be north although the Monadnocks could pull something off if the first wave amplifies enough to draw good CAA into New England. Partly sunny and 50.1F out there right now so we definitely need a better airmass in place for a mostly snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 We're really on the line here...a shift of 50 miles in the track could make this go from a coating here to 4-6"...I still think the best snows will definitely be north although the Monadnocks could pull something off if the first wave amplifies enough to draw good CAA into New England. Partly sunny and 50.1F out there right now so we definitely need a better airmass in place for a mostly snow event. Only 46F here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Wonder how the slush fishing out in the Berks, is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 My big debate...Sugarloaf or Sunday River. Is the extra hour+ worth it Bethel or Carrabasset. The Loaf has never done me wrongThen again, neither has SR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Wonder how the slush fishing out in the Berks, is. Big men through the ice incoming, big big men Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2012 Author Share Posted February 22, 2012 Both models sucked on this one. The phased bomb ain't happening..but neither is the GFS over Buffalo or it's weak fropa it had 2-3 days ago Not even close Kevin; sorry. No objective Meteorologist at this point in the game evens the score on bad performance. The GFS is much - so far - closer to reality and has been on this event in question. Let's wait for the finaly outcome before writing it in stone; but for the time being, the Euro did far worse, period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 12z Ukie... http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=fr&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&hh=072&comp=1&runb=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=060&fixhh=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 nope...GFS awesomeness...euro suckness on this one. That was a good one Phil. Made me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOOTH Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 The Loaf has never done me wrongThen again, neither has SR... I'll be up there. What do you think we'll see? I have heard 10 inches from Jim Roemer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Yeah just about perfect at this point. Dense synoptic snow followed by high ratio champagne. Delicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 I'll be up there. What do you think we'll see? I have heard 10 inches from Jim Roemer. Bring an extra toothbrush ... gonna get snowed in up there. 10" sounds about right. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 GFS soundings show 0" at MHT and 5.9" at CON changing to a 32.5F rain at the end. ~23 miles apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 I'll be up there. What do you think we'll see? I have heard 10 inches from Jim Roemer. You won't mind if it ends up being 12" would you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOOTH Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Bring an extra toothbrush ... gonna get snowed in up there. 10" sounds about right. Enjoy I sure will. Happy beyond words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Wonder how the slush fishing out in the Berks, is. They're out there right now. Looks like good action they've been chasing flags all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Why aren't we in storm mode? Does that only go into effect when DC is set to get mostly cloudy with occasional cirrus conditions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 You won't mind if it ends up being 12" would you? Too low. Go big. I'll be in the middle of it whereever the middle is.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 They're out there right now. Looks like good action they've been chasing flags all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Too low. Go big. I'll be in the middle of it whereever the middle is.lol You always manage to come out good on these.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Why aren't we in storm mode? Does that only go into effect when DC is set to get mostly cloudy with occasional cirrus conditions? This could be a 0.01 on the NESIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Big men through the ice incoming, big big men LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 12z Ukie... http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=fr&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&hh=072&comp=1&runb=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=060&fixhh=1 That looks tasty. Big upslope with sub 980mb over Maine. I hope this actually happens...need a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Euro finally got a clue and sped the storm up and shifted a little west. AWT, except for Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 It's funny, the euro moves it through like the GFS, but wants to redevelop it again near CHH. Holding onto the slowness..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Euro finally got a clue and sped the storm up and shifted a little west. AWT, except for Kevin. West?Do you mean east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Euro finally got a clue and sped the storm up and shifted a little west. AWT, except for Kevin. Warmer? If it didn't speed it up, I would have been shocked, 00z euro had the storm at 6z Saturday while the gfs had it 12z Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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