Hilltop avoiding non-isallobaric wind from heaven... UKMET/Euro try to save society as we know it

[powderfreak]

Of course it's out to sea and boring.

I mean what else would happen this winter?

You had a lot more snow living in Philly last year than you have this year up in BTV. Pretty crazy.

[Damage In Tolland]

LOL..another instant classic from the hands of someone from Kansas

[powderfreak]

I doubt that storm forms like that. Maybe not a bomb, but no way it's that far east.

I'll tell you that its likely correct in the lack of moisture transport into the cold sector. So even if it does track favorable for someone, the only precip will be in the warm sector as rain, haha.

[mahk_webstah]

LOL..another instant classic from the hands of someone from Kansas

I really like Tip's dress. He could be Dorothy in drag, just begging to be sucked up in the twister.

[ORH_wxman]

What the hell is the GFS doing?

[weatherwiz]

severe wx on Friday?

[MBRI]

_{EAST ?}

[CoastalWx]

00z will be back west again. Don't know what in the Sam hell the 18z was doing.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Is there any mechanism that would be able to salvage anything good out of this?

Besides hurricane force winds I mean

[Amped]

Maybe MT Washington for a chase. I just want enough wind where I can'tstand up.

[Cold Miser]

B&W kite photo, FTW.

[dendrite]

The GFS is a lot slower with ejecting that s/w out of the SW versus 12z. Therefore we don't get the amped nuke cutting well west of us. The 18z GEFS have some similar members, but the GFS is probably out to lunch again.

[OKpowdah]

I hope we spike into the 60's on Friday.

[Typhoon Tip]

Yeah, that run was unnerving to say the least... I wouldn't say as much but, heh, the progressive nature to the flow and utter lack of downstream blocking would argue that deeper solutions are unwarranted...

Its a f*ed up pattern where every run can be justified - jesus!

I'm not so sure the GFS will come as far west as we think at 00z run - although it will just because I said that, no doubt. Seriously, the UKMET took a 1000 mb low over the lower OV and drilled crater in the Earth at Porland Me 24 hours later on it's 12 z run. Crazy uncle people call it - but it's just another solution that was east boys and girls. Here's the thing, the UKMET has a big meridional bias at D4 and beyond, where it tends to dig troughs too deeply - what doesn't sit well, then, is that it's 12z solution must then overcome its own native bias in getting to that east solution. Not to drop names but Harv and I used to lift a brow when we saw the GOTAKEACRAPS progressive beady eye POS model close off a monster for the same reason.

hmmm

[Ginx snewx]

Every time a model has bombed a low this year it has verified 15-25mb higher, just keep that in mind.

[dryslot]

lol at the Nam..

[HoarfrostHubb]

So the NAM and the 18z GFS are in bizzare-ville with this one. I wonder if the Euro holds serve or shifts slightly

I assume it will not produce as deep a low as earlier.

[dryslot]

So the NAM and the 18z GFS are in bizzare-ville with this one. I wonder if the Euro holds serve or shifts slightly

I assume it will not produce as deep a low as earlier.

That is probably a good assumption, The Nam looks like it wants to develop a secondary in the GOM late, But that is at the end of the nam run which is worth basically nothing this far out or even in close this year..

[HoarfrostHubb]

NAM is also confused about temps at the end of the week

[Ginx snewx]

NAM is also confused about temps at the end of the week

Just read Don S the pro hobbyist when he posts and believe whatever he says.

[dryslot]

NAM is also confused about temps at the end of the week

Its colder as well then the other models

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just read Don S the pro hobbyist when he posts and believe whatever he says.

And when he and Scooter agree...

Warm March incoming... oh, poop

[Ginx snewx]

And when he and Scooter agree...

Warm March incoming... oh, poop

Yep forgettaboutit, he schooled a lot of degreed folks. Sort of like a landscaper winning a house design contest involving only architects.

[CoastalWx]

Yep forgettaboutit, he schooled a lot of degreed folks. Sort of like a landscaper winning a house design contest involving only architects.

I think most agreed with his logic. I don't know too many that disagreed.

[Ginx snewx]

I think most agreed with his logic. I don't know too many that disagreed.

Oh you are missing many dude. Lots of initials across the country were absolutely schooled.

[dryslot]

Yep forgettaboutit, he schooled a lot of degreed folks. Sort of like a landscaper winning a house design contest involving only architects.

He has one of my winter pics in his museum..

[CoastalWx]

Oh you are missing many dude. Lots of initials across the country were absolutely schooled.

Many energy mets were on board the warm train.

[HoarfrostHubb]

He has one of my winter pics in his museum..

lol me too

I enjoy reading him

[CoastalWx]

Yeah he has a couple of my epic 4/1/97 pics. Y'all want to see them?

[Ginx snewx]

Many energy mets were on board the warm train.

Some, but even individual events and days he was dead nuts way ahead of most. No denying if you followed his forecasts and played options based on it you would have made some Ching.