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Hilltop avoiding non-isallobaric wind from heaven... UKMET/Euro try to save society as we know it


Typhoon Tip

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Holy fook, Just took peak at the Euro, Looks like it moved towards the Gfs, I guess the cutter is off the table for know,messenger was right,This the 1-5 chance the euro could be wrong

Yeah should be a nice reminder to Kevin about why you have to look at various models. This proved my point.

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Final outcome will probably have a secondary going over ern mass I would guess.

That could very well be the case but this has been the year that most all the storms have moved SE when we started to get in close but who knows, It has also been the year of getting the screws put to you as well

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I'll be damned. Looks like high end advisory or low end warning criteria Frin night/Sat AM here on both the EC/EC ens. Maybe we can actually salvage Feb. The GFS thumps us here Friday AM....so there's still a lot to iron out.

BOX's forecast for the east slope continues to improve. Right now, the trend is our friend. and there is a nice -sn falling currently.

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This looks promising...

Tonight: Snow, mainly after 3am. Low around 30. Breezy, with a southwest wind 19 to 22 mph becoming south 11 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Thursday: Snow likely, mainly before 8am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 33. West wind between 11 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Thursday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 21. West wind 5 to 15 mph becoming southeast.

Friday: Snow, mainly after 2pm. High near 28. Breezy, with a east wind 21 to 24 mph becoming southeast 10 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Friday Night: Snow likely. Cloudy and breezy, with a low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy and breezy, with a high near 26. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

GFS MODEL HAS A LOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL NEW YORK STATE AT 18Z FRIDAY...

WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING AROUND CAPE COD AT 18Z FRIDAY.

ECMWF MODEL HAS LOW OVER VIRGINIA. HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH THE GFS MODEL

FOR THE FRIDAY FORECAST AS THIS APPEARS TO BE THE BEST COMPROMISE

BETWEEN THE MUCH FASTER NAM MODEL AND THE SLOWER ECMWF MODEL. THAT

BEING SAID...IF THE ECMWF MODEL IS RIGHT...THEN PRECIPITATION

COULD LINGER ACROSS THE REGION WELL INTO SATURDAY...AND BE HEAVIER

AS WELL...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. LATER SHIFTS

WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS CLOSELY.

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