Hilltop avoiding non-isallobaric wind from heaven... UKMET/Euro try to save society as we know it

[weatherMA]

12Z GFS looks like rain to snow at 156 (Monday)...maybe 6-8" verbatim where it stays all snow in CNE?

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:25 PM, dendrite said:

I'm on my phone but how are the temps above H85? I don't like those upper lows tracking so far NW for the north country.

It would end in classic SWFE fashion. Probably some taint and then DZ or FZDZ.

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:26 PM, weatherMA said:

12Z GFS looks like rain to snow at 156 (Monday)...maybe 6-8" verbatim where it stays all snow in CNE?

Yeah NNE special. These storms are looking a little less cutter-like with time, but we'll see what the euro shows, because that model is ugly.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:22 PM, CoastalWx said:

GFS and GEFS aren't a bad looking storm set up next week. Would be nice for once.

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:29 PM, CT Blizz said:

I said it would be nice for once. This is around day 8-9.

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:29 PM, CT Blizz said:

Euro has a signal for it too, but not as pretty. I thought the time around March 1st had some potential for some precip for a few days now. Probably will be nothing, but maybe someone in New England gets happy.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:29 PM, CoastalWx said:

I said it would be nice for once. This is around day 8-9.

It was for the fact you or anyone else was #1 even looking at the GFS/GEFS,, and # 2) that some folks are thinking it's correct

[dryslot]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:25 PM, dendrite said:

I'm on my phone but how are the temps above H85? I don't like those upper lows tracking so far NW for the north country.

Looks like you are close to the 0c line @18z friday but ok before and after

[MaineJayhawk]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:24 PM, Dryslot said:

Did not see the GGEM but the Ukie looked good as well

i did not see the Ukie, but the GGEM looked good as well.

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:31 PM, CT Blizz said:

It was for the fact you or anyone else was #1 even looking at the GFS/GEFS,, and # 2) that some folks are thinking it's correct

Well like everything else it is guidance, and also I don't think anyone said it was correct. You will eventually go down in flames with your assumption.

[weatherMA]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:29 PM, CoastalWx said:

I said it would be nice for once. This is around day 8-9.

Is this the same storm the gfs has around day 6/7 or different?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Blizz>Will & Scooter

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Bretton Woods would be more than fine in this situation I'd think? GGEM/UKIE/GFS? Anything else up that way that's a good family mountain?

[dryslot]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:31 PM, MaineJayhawk said:

i did not see the Ukie, but the GGEM looked good as well.

http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=fr&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&hh=096&comp=1&runb=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=072&fixhh=1

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:37 PM, messenger said:

Bretton Woods would be more than fine in this situation I'd think? GGEM/UKIE/GFS? Anything else up that way that's a good family mountain?

Attitash, but that is a half hour from there

[mahk_webstah]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:16 PM, Dryslot said:

12z Ukie takes a 993mb low from Western PA to 981mb in the Bay Of Fundy

A Montreal Mauler!

[OKpowdah]

Check out the moisture streaming onshore in the west. Wow.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:40 PM, wxwatcher91 said:

Check out the moisture streaming onshore in the west. Wow.

I'm staying in Plymouth this weekend. Where would you go skiing? Figure Bretton Woods is a good fail safe with the kids, maybe Loon too.

[weatherMA]

GFS does have multiple threats 156 through 252, but we've seen that before.

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:36 PM, weatherMA said:

Is this the same storm the gfs has around day 6/7 or different?

No this is a different one. It's the one where the GFS op is flat as hell.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:44 PM, weatherMA said:

GFS does have multiple threats 156 through 252, but we've seen that before.

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:43 PM, messenger said:

I'm staying in Plymouth this weekend. Where would you go skiing? Figure Bretton Woods is a good fail safe with the kids, maybe Loon too.

Hopefully the euro goes a little more east...which I think it might. Would limit the damage.

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:43 PM, messenger said:

I'm staying in Plymouth this weekend. Where would you go skiing? Figure Bretton Woods is a good fail safe with the kids, maybe Loon too.

Waterville is right near there

[weatherMA]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:46 PM, CoastalWx said:

No this is a different one. It's the one where the GFS op is flat as hell.

Ok, yeah I see it around 216. Looks like a SE snowstorm. The one around day 6 is the one where the euro was way warmer then the gfs.

[weatherMA]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:46 PM, CT Blizz said:

LOL

[dryslot]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:47 PM, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully the euro goes a little more east...which I think it might. Would limit the damage.

I would think it would, Most all the other guidance has

[powderfreak]

Nice... I like the trend for a snowy outcome late this week and weekend. Then another one early in the week. Its about time something breaks our way.

GGEM is a nice advisory snowfall too... I'm liking the chances for a 3-6 incher or so. Maybe some upslope on the backside with lingering H7 moisture and weak deformation.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 2/21/2012 at 5:22 PM, CoastalWx said:

GFS and GEFS aren't a bad looking storm set up next week. Would be nice for once.

"Good heavens; are you actually still trying to win ?"

[dryslot]

Trough is further south on thurs @hr48 with the12z euro then at the same time @0z

[forkyfork]

  On 2/21/2012 at 6:00 PM, Dryslot said:

Trough is further south on thurs @hr48 with the12z euro then at the same time @0z

it's slower, but it still shows a major phase/bomb