ELCwx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 2" for BDR 3.7" for Danbury We have a bunch of posters from that area. Measured 3.5" here about 15 miles ne of BDR at about 525'. Very wet and slushy and probably already a bit compacted. Reminds me a bit of October less the power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 2" for BDR 3.7" for Danbury We have a bunch of posters from that area. Yup. 2 to 2.5 here-I'm just north of BDR-ended as some sleet...road crews were caught completely off guard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 3.0 to 4.0 inches throughout the Poconos here in Nepa this morning. Reports of 6.0 to 6.5 inches in Wayne county Pa, near the Northern tier/border of Ny State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Upton saying Gish 46-57 so wind advisory likely High wind watch is now in effect. Winds gusting to 55-60 mph . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ebwx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Sleet here around 2:30am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 24, 2012 Author Share Posted February 24, 2012 Bullish high wind signal off the latest SREF's. Usually when they show 40kt at the surface like that nearby to our area, we see gusts of 50-60 mph or a little higher. Looks like greatest potential is for NYC Metro eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Already quite gusty this morning so it's possible we see even stronger winds later today and tonight, Wind advisory for parts of central nj, HWW further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Moderate Risk to our south over the Carolinas from SPC...pretty dynamic system. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Moderate Risk to our south over the Carolinas from SPC...pretty dynamic system. http://www.spc.noaa....k/day1otlk.html we look good for an elevated squall line later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthNJwx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Bullish high wind signal off the latest SREF's. Usually when they show 40kt at the surface like that nearby to our area, we see gusts of 50-60 mph or a little higher. Looks like greatest potential is for NYC Metro eastward. This is absolutely the strongest wind signal of the 2011-2012 "winter" so far, easily edging out the smaller 12/7-8 and 1/13 events. Also, I'm impressed by the duration we could see; the front comes through in the 10pm range tonight, and the gradient stays tight through sunset tomorrow. This should be an event with two peaks: the first one along and shortly after the front itself, and the second during the middle of the day tomorrow with the sharp gradient and great mixing potential. As you said, the coast (as usual) will see the strongest winds. I have a weather station at a beach house on the Jersey Shore and can't wait to see how this storm does down there. Already quite gusty this morning so it's possible we see even stronger winds later today and tonight, Wind advisory for parts of central nj, HWW further east. The E-NE winds in the area now aren't really related to what will happen later, as it'll probably go calm/nearly calm later today as the warm front hangs up to our south. All that matters here is what happens after the cold frontal passage tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 This is absolutely the strongest wind signal of the 2011-2012 "winter" so far, easily edging out the smaller 12/7-8 and 1/13 events. Also, I'm impressed by the duration we could see; the front comes through in the 10pm range tonight, and the gradient stays tight through sunset tomorrow. This should be an event with two peaks: the first one along and shortly after the front itself, and the second during the middle of the day tomorrow with the sharp gradient and great mixing potential. As you said, the coast (as usual) will see the strongest winds. I have a weather station at a beach house on the Jersey Shore and can't wait to see how this storm does down there. The E-NE winds in the area now aren't really related to what will happen later, as it'll probably go calm/nearly calm later today as the warm front hangs up to our south. All that matters here is what happens after the cold frontal passage tonight. Winds usually tend to under perform around here but the latest Nam shows some squalls with the front later today so that could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 There was a period of sleet here but I was right about no accumulating snows for NYC. Now look forward to the possible squall lines with strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Yeah to me this is far more exciting than some flakes in the air or a slushy inch of snow that melts in 3 hours. This is absolutely the strongest wind signal of the 2011-2012 "winter" so far, easily edging out the smaller 12/7-8 and 1/13 events. Also, I'm impressed by the duration we could see; the front comes through in the 10pm range tonight, and the gradient stays tight through sunset tomorrow. This should be an event with two peaks: the first one along and shortly after the front itself, and the second during the middle of the day tomorrow with the sharp gradient and great mixing potential. As you said, the coast (as usual) will see the strongest winds. I have a weather station at a beach house on the Jersey Shore and can't wait to see how this storm does down there. The E-NE winds in the area now aren't really related to what will happen later, as it'll probably go calm/nearly calm later today as the warm front hangs up to our south. All that matters here is what happens after the cold frontal passage tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Awesome wind event coming our way, could bring down many trees though the ground is pretty wet and 60mph gust would make this bigger then Irene for most of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Awesome wind event coming our way, could bring down many trees though the ground is pretty wet and 60mph gust would make this bigger then Irene for most of us Bring. It. Hopefully we get a nice lil' squall line too. Warm front right now is just entering SE NJ (Cape May-ish). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Bring. It. Hopefully we get a nice lil' squall line too. Warm front right now is just entering SE NJ (Cape May-ish). I'm guessing upton will put high wind warning with this afternoon package Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 The temp boundary associated with the warm front has almost no chance to make it up here .. but the cold front looks strong enough on almost all the models to allow for some heavy rain to make it here. The SPC WRF was really bullish with this last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthNJwx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Winds usually tend to under perform around here but the latest Nam shows some squalls with the front later today so that could be interesting. I totally disagree - usually the short-term forecasts are very close. There are also events like 3/13/10 and 12/27/10 (the back end of the blizzard) that seriously overperform. There are far less underperforming (relative to forecast, since that's the only way we can define "underperforming") wind events than there are underpeforming snow events, in my opinion, since model qpf and temp forecasts can be rather unreliable for snow events. I actually think the true squall line will stay well to our south, maybe as far north as Philly at best - but the wind potential is synoptic-scale here, anyway. Yeah to me this is far more exciting than some flakes in the air or a slushy inch of snow that melts in 3 hours. Agreed completely, though I take that way farther! I like snow and all, but wind is my thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 we look good for an elevated squall line later 850 temps near 10c...surface temps in the 40s. Will make for an interesting situation near the front with the WF over S-C NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 The ground is wet but it's hardly saturated. Irene was coming after we had over a foot of rain in the previous 3 weeks, plus what fell before the high winds kicked in. So far this month most locations have barely gotten over half an inch and we also have no foliage on the trees Awesome wind event coming our way, could bring down many trees though the ground is pretty wet and 60mph gust would make this bigger then Irene for most of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 24, 2012 Author Share Posted February 24, 2012 It also looks like the NAM may be trying to show gravity wave potential with any convection later on. Notice that bend in the isobars near the coast well west of the bombing low to our east. The SREF's are also indicating some thunder potential around the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 The ground is wet but it's hardly saturated. Irene was coming after we had over a foot of rain in the previous 3 weeks, plus what fell before the high winds kicked in. So far this month most locations have barely gotten over half an inch and we also have no foliage on the trees Yeah that's true, I was speaking on my neighborhood ('marine park Brooklyn) we usually lose trees with winds 50+ I lose power a lot to here even with 40mph. But needless to say I'm sure there are going to be many power outages and trees/limbs down with 60mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 It also looks like the NAM may be trying to show gravity wave potential with any convection later on. Notice that bend in the isobars near the coast well west of the bombing low to our east. The SREF's are also indicating some thunder potential around the same time. I'm sorry Ive heard gravity wave before but what exactly is it, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Irene and the october snowstorm are the only 2 times I've ever lost power for more than 30 minutes. But usually with no foliage it would take winds of at least 50 mph for widespread power outages. Yeah that's true, I was speaking on my neighborhood ('marine park Brooklyn) we usually lose trees with winds 50+ I lose power a lot to here even with 40mph. But needless to say I'm sure there are going to be many power outages and trees/limbs down with 60mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Irene and the october snowstorm are the only 2 times I've ever lost power for more than 30 minutes. But usually with no foliage it would take winds of at least 50 mph for widespread power outages. True I think I've lost power every wind advisory this winter lol, there's so many trees in this neighborhood that the limbs hit transformers when they fall etc but I know queens and staten island also lose power and trees pretty easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I'm sorry Ive heard gravity wave before but what exactly is it, thanks http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Yeah usually we need downed trees to have power problems. Our towns trim the trees, sometimes leaving gaping holes in the middle of them to avoid power lines. It's ugly but effective I guess. True I think I've lost power every wind advisory this winter lol, there's so many trees in this neighborhood that the limbs hit transformers when they fall etc but I know queens and staten island also lose power and trees pretty easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_wave Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Yeah usually we need downed trees to have power problems. Our towns trim the trees, sometimes leaving gaping holes in the middle of them to avoid power lines. It's ugly but effective I guess. They were actually doing that here the other day but it never works cause they only cut what's touching or near the wire so anything else can still fall and bring it down. It's NYC what more should I expect ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Incredible system, really...the dynamics are extremely impressive. Valid at 00z Saturday 2/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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