dntjr Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Watch what happens when that spoke sitting in north central GA right now hits the upper Savannah River valley..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Just checked Grandfather Mountain Summit: Stable temperatures since around 8am this morning 12 Noon Observation: 30 degrees with dewpoint of 29.8 Winds: East at 16 gusts to 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Down to 36.3f now with windswept heavy drizzle. Waiting on the band coming in from the south to see if we can get different precip types with different rates. Leaving in an hour or so to try and find some snow -- preferably less than two hours away. I was thinking Danville; any suggestions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Batch of precip has made it here now, light rain coming down but the heavy winds make it seem like its heavier than it is. Also this looks so much like severe weather where you get curtains of rain with the wind. Looks neat. No wintry precip yet here.. It is 35.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Lt snow now, 35 deg I'm at 3,540 ft east of Burnsville, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Probably so. Also getting some deeper returns south-west of Charlotte than will lift north-east for most other areas to our east. Slowly, but surely. Starting to like the heavier returns from Taylorsville back down to Forest City. Yeah, we have moderate rain falling here at the Catawba/Alexander County line. Temp continues to drop. Down to 34.8°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Where exactly? i grew up in the South Toe River valley is a beautiful place.. especially in the snow. Lt snow now, 35 deg I'm at 3,540 ft east of Burnsville, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The 12Z Euro snowfall has just been released. I'd call it a mixed result. For the Triad and Triangle, yes it drops slightly less than the 0Z Euro's 4-5". However, it still drops a healthy 3", which is better than the 12Z GFS' mainly 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 Yea but the bulk of that is moving ne into wv. BTW- 34 lgt rain, had snow sleet earlier when precip was harder There should be enough easterly movement with it to hit us. Central WVA is actually now the cutoff line for winter weather products altogether now. I like what I see when viewing the Knoxville radar. My conditions are the same as yours here in Wilkes. As of typing this precip has finally picked back up. Not looking out right now but I hear sleet. This should hit you, I see even better returns popping up approaching southern Yadkin County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schlontz Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Anyone else notice the 850mb temperatures have been creeping up the past hour or two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ray's Weather Center Main band of snow is setting up over VA/KY at this time, and on its present course, will miss NW NC. This will slash into expected totals. Like · · 21 · @raysweather on Twitter · 4 minutes ago via Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Anyone else notice the 850mb temperatures have been creeping up the past hour or two? That's the 17z map.. it'll be interesting to see if it slid south in the past hour when the new one comes out in a few minutes. EDIT: By maybe 5 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I think I see some micro flurries within these gusts blowing down. Only a couple of degrees away from freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ray's Weather Center Main band of snow is setting up over VA/KY at this time, and on its present course, will miss NW NC. This will slash into expected totals. Like · · @raysweather on Twitter · 4 minutes ago via That's what it looks like to me also! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The suppressed 0z NAM solution is looking to be very wrong. It squashed the warm nose, incorrectly, in the TN Valley. I don't even know that I would call it that...it's more like that the cold air is taking its time dropping in elevation. Also, there is a slight hint that part of the circulation of this storm is going to go up the spine of the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ray's Weather Center Main band of snow is setting up over VA/KY at this time, and on its present course, will miss NW NC. This will slash into expected totals. Like · · @raysweather on Twitter · 4 minutes ago via Arrghh... looks like the Cross Country Skis stay waxed on the rack. For this current 2nd round of precip (yesterday last night was the first) , turning out to be an Apps Runner after all. Hopefully the shortwave back in Missouri will be our salvation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Anyone else notice the 850mb temperatures have been creeping up the past hour or two? That is odd, and scary to see.. I also just saw this tweet from wxbrad. Burke County starting to change over to all snow from west to east. Via @burkewx & First Warn Weather Spotters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 That's what it looks like to me also! But look at these heavy returns developing out of the Greenville's radar. Due east of Asheville yellows/oranges now showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I think I'll be lucky to see 1-2 inches now, So busto on the 4-6 Blacksburg has for me... JMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWX Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Looking at the water vapor loop and radar it seems to me like way too much dry air is entering the storm and forcing itself in from extreme south west NC and reach up near Danville VA. Is this dry air going to hurt the storm as a whole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntjr Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Mesoscale Disco- good news for everyone in central NC, especially north of 40: AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN KY AND SRN WV...WRN/S CNTRL VA...NWRN AND N CNTRL NC CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 191747Z - 192145Z HEAVY SNOW IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS...LIKELY CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHILE ALSO SPREADING EWD WITH TIME. INCH AN HOUR RATES WILL OCCUR...ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED INSTANCES OF THUNDERSNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. 17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE GENERALLY ON TRACK WITH THE PROGRESSION OF A SURFACE LOW / ANALYZED NEAR THE SERN GA/SWRN SC BORDER /...EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT OFFSHORE. GREATEST SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OVER ERN NC AND ADJACENT WATERS CONFIRM THIS PROGRESSION...WHICH WILL ALLOW SURFACE WINDS TO THE NORTH TO BACK TO A MORE NLY DIRECTION...DRAWING COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. SOME COOLING HAS ALREADY BEEN NOTED...WITH 5 DEGREE SURFACE TEMPERATURE FALLS OVER THE PAST 3 HRS ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SRN VA...NC...AND NWRN SC. COOLING HAS ALSO BEEN PARTICULARLY NOTED NEAR ROANOKE WHERE DYNAMIC PROCESSES MAY BE CONTRIBUTING TO AN OVERALL DROP IN TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN. IN THIS AREA...THE APPROACHING UPPER WAVE NOTED ON WV IMAGERY ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AS WELL AS FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL JET DYNAMICS SHOULD SUPPORT A CONTINUATION OF VERTICAL MOTION...WITH MOISTENING FROM THE SOUTHWEST FURTHER ENHANCING HEAVY SNOWFALL POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE ADJACENT AREAS TO THE EAST...FURTHER COOLING AND MOISTENING WILL BE NECESSARY FOR THE ONSET OF SNOW/HEAVY SNOW...WHICH SHOULD OCCUR LATER TODAY AS GREATER MOISTURE NOTED IN SC ADVECTS NWD AND COLD AIR DAMMING CONTINUES. ADDITIONAL FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL ARRIVE THIS EVENING AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE /CURRENTLY OVER ERN MO/ PROGRESSES SEWD. TO THE WEST...A TRANSITORY THREAT OF HEAVY SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE AS COLD AIR ADVECTION OCCURS ON THE HEELS OF GREATER MOISTURE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 No we shouldn't I know that. But.. when its this good why not? Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Down to 34 here with a misty/light rain falling. Occasionally with a bigger wind gust Ill see a few flurries mixed in, but nothing to write home about yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Precipitation rates have really picked up here in the last hour. Temp and DP stuck at 36.5 and 34.9 respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ollie Williams Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I think I'll be lucky to see 1-2 inches now, So busto on the 4-6 Blacksburg has for me... JMO 4-6? This is the actual forecast for Mt Airy This Afternoon: Sleet before 4pm, then snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 44. Northeast wind between 9 and 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tonight: Snow, mainly before 3am. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 29. North wind between 6 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I am starting to smell increasing bust potential for the triangle if current radar trends are any indication over North GA/Eastern TN. We shall see though. This in association with with the upper disturbance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 33.7. Just waiting on the radar to fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Down to 34 here with a misty/light rain falling. Occasionally with a bigger wind gust Ill see a few flurries mixed in, but nothing to write home about yet. 36 here, DP 34. A huge .07 of precip for the day. Impossible to have mixing because one drop hits the ground before the next begins to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Some flakes starting to mix in here. Wind is picking up 35 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I am starting to smell increasing bust potential for the triangle if current radar trends are any indication over North GA/Eastern TN. We shall see though. This in association with with the upper disturbance. No doubt it'll be a little further north, but not by much. The 00z models had the northern part of the precip shield much further north across KY and VA than it has been. But they've also been a bit wrong on the southern end. We'll just have to see what happens when the coastal low takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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