NavarreDon Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Temp in Weaverville is 45.3° WD is a general SE. .04" of rain over night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Euro had RDU at 43F, currently it's 46F, but no precip, it had RDU with .1" of rain, which would have easily taken care of the 3F it was off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 You can see the cold air damming signature now http://www.daculaweather.com/conus/mesoanalysis.php Change the sector to see this view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Light drizzle out there, gusty winds and temps in the lower 41's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I've been a lurker over this way for a while this is my first post but figured it's a good a time as any. I live about 2 miles from the NC line in NW Cherokee County, SC @ 880ft elevation. Currently readings from my Davis right now are: Temp: 45.9 DP: 44 WD: NE @ 6mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Temp 39.7 DP 34.7 Raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Temp dropping now, got 47 with a wetbulb of 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Welcome ! I live about 25mins to your NE in Rutherford county. Thanks for the OBS! Temp has dropped from 48 (at 7am) to 44 (currently) I've been a lurker over this way for a while this is my first post but figured it's a good a time as any. I live about 2 miles from the NC line in NW Cherokee County, SC @ 880ft elevation. Currently readings from my Davis right now are: Temp: 45.9 DP: 44 WD: NE @ 6mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Thanks for the welcome, my brother in law lives in Harris I think that is in Rutherford County. I hope we can get on down in the temps, and have the moisture around when it happens later on today. I'll try to keep giving updates from here throughout the day as time allows. Welcome ! I live about 25mins to your NE in Rutherford county. Thanks for the OBS! Temp has dropped from 48 (at 7am) to 44 (currently) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 47.8F down a bit from earlier. Light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The NAM @9 has some interaction with our two pieces of energy...it's not much but better than keeping them totally separate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 According to Huntsville NWS the two will remain out of phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 rain falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 @12 nice slug of precip around RDU...850's are close for all snow..gonna have to look at soundings per this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 39degrees, 37 DP with rain. Both dropping. Figured I would wake up to a Winter Storm Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 According to Huntsville NWS the two will remain out of phase. It appears closer on this run..it might be something to watch. If our energy is just a little bit slower making it to the coast that northern energy has a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Looks good for RDU @15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I have a feeling that the 18Z runs from yesterday will probably end up being the best runs we'll see for this storm. It will be really interesting if the systems phase in time, although it seems like that's the low probability option at this point. Gonna be fun watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 a quick glance shows it nearly isothermal. no warm nose at 00z. Also better saturation aloft. @12 nice slug of precip around RDU...850's are close for all snow..gonna have to look at soundings per this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU2005 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 45 degrees and dew point at 38 currently in Holly Springs...roughly 15 miles south of RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 a quick glance shows it nearly isothermal. no warm nose at 00z. Also better saturation aloft. Nice win for them...I'm almost resolved to give up on this one for MBY..hopefully I see some flakes just fly tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 .25 qpf after 0Z for extremem NE Wake county and points NE per the NAM, probably all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Interesting to see NWS in Morristown not go w/ HPC for most of NE TN. Not even a winter weather advisory in the valley. Interesting disconnect since this was issued at 4:00 AM. ...SOUTH CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAINS... WINTER WEATHER SOLUTIONS CONVERGING UPON A GFS/ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTION FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL AXIS EMERGING IN NORTHEASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY FOOTHILLS THEN MIGRATING EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. H85-H7 FRONTOGENESIS AXIS ACROSS EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND LIKELY TO ADD A FEW MINUTES TO AN HOUR OF MODERATE SNOWFALL...BUT AS HAS BEEN THE DISCUSSION FROM A COUPLE OF NIGHTS AGO...CAN THE SNOW RATE OUTPACE THE MELTING RATE TODAY? UNLIKELY FOR MORE THAN A COUPLE OF HOURS. TONIGHT...OR AFTER 20/00Z...DEFINITELY WITH LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM...AND A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOWFALL TRACKING ALONG THE VIRGINIA-NORTH CAROLINA LINE TO THE COAST BY MONDAY MORNING. GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE HPC QPFS AND A SIMPLE TOP-DOWN APPROACH TO GETTING SNOW TO FALL FROM A THERMAL COLUMN THAT'LL BE ABOVE 32F WITH 20F+ DEW POINTS NEAR THE SURFACE. BETTER UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT/DIFFLUENCE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH GENERALLY 4-8 INCH STORM TOTALS ABOVE 2000-2500FT MSL...AND LOCALLY 10-12 INCH MAXES POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Here is their other map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 A little colder here this am than I was expecting. 43/36 at the airport, RWI went up to 46/36 from 43/34 last ob. Sharp cutoff though, Kinston 20 miles to the south is at 46/43. MHX CWA void of any advisories and don't see SN even mentioned in the grids/morning package. Highs ranging from 49-55, I will take it as a good sign if PGV does not above 45. Extrap the RAH advisories a couple more counties east and Pitt would be on the southern fringe. Close call, but this is not horseshoes. Could be the type of event where we see mhx play catchup, been several years since one of those types, waiting for an advisory to verify before it is issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 0.7 at 850 mb at 00z for RDU Nice win for them...I'm almost resolved to give up on this one for MBY..hopefully I see some flakes just fly tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 You are correct. Harris is off of 221 just over the line by a few miles. Winds have really picked up over the past hour. Temp is bouncing from 44-45...... Good luck folks! Thanks for the welcome, my brother in law lives in Harris I think that is in Rutherford County. I hope we can get on down in the temps, and have the moisture around when it happens later on today. I'll try to keep giving updates from here throughout the day as time allows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Here in northern Catawba County, it was 49° when I got up this morning at 5:30 and now it's 41.8° and DP of 35° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Nice win for them...I'm almost resolved to give up on this one for MBY..hopefully I see some flakes just fly tonight. Durham looks to do better than Raleigh, but we will see what happens. I still think 2-3 hours of snow looks reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Wish me luck, everyone; I'm leaving for Brevard, NC for a few hours. I'm banking on I-26 being in decent shape around 3:00 pm for my return trip. Color me skeptical because I doubt little if any snow will have accumulated by that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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