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Feb. 19th 2012 Winter Storm Obs./Disc.


WilkesboroDude

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When is the low supposed to drop due south to central GA then transfer to the coast around SC/NC border?

Actually, the lowest SLP in all of the SE US (actually in all of the lower 48) as of 2 PM/19Z was near Savannah where it had fallen to 29.57" (1001.4 mb) at Hunter. This is near the location where both the 12Z GFS and Euro had progged the lowest pressure. However, they each had progged ~1004 mb as the lowest pessure. So, each of them is about 2.5 mb too high. Furthermore, even the 19Z RUC initialization has it ~1003 mb, which is ~1.5 mb too high.

This all tells me that the low is likely to be somewhat stronger than progged as it moves NE off the Carolinas. I wonder if this will help the Triangle of NC and further east??

By the way, it rose to 78 F at 2 PM here or ~6-8 F warmer than progged by the NWS earlier today as a result of more sunshine than expected. We just had a convective shower pass.

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Yep, starting to get the sleet mixing in. The rain has been coming down pretty steady for the past couple hours now... Just hit .2 in the rain guage and temp is hovering right above 33. The sleet is picking up, as is the rain.

** and now that the rain has picked up, some nice size snow flakes mixing in... very few but definitely snow.

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Special Statement from KRNK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA

310 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

COUNTY SPECIFIC MESSAGE:

...HEAVY SNOW BAND CROSSING INTO SOUTHERN VIRGINIA...WILL START TO

DIMINISH IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA SHORTLY...

A BAND OF VERY HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTH ACROSS

THE VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA BORDER THROUGH 4 PM. THIS HEAVY

SNOWFALL WITH RATES NEAR 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL AFFECT COUNTIES

ACROSS SOUTHERN VIRGINIA ESPECIALLY FROM GRAYSON EAST TO PATRICK

COUNTIES. ADDED SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD FALL IN A VERY

SHORT PERIOD CAUSING ROADS TO BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. THE

HEAVY SNOW WILL START TO TAPER OFF OVER NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

AFTER 3:30 PM WITH ANOTHER INCH POSSIBLE NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IF PLANNING TO TRAVEL ACROSS

THE REGION.

AFFECTED COUNTIES:

IN NORTH CAROLINA: ALLEGHANY, ASHE, ROCKINGHAM, STOKES, SURRY. IN VIRGINIA: CARROLL, CITY OF GALAX, CITY OF MARTINSVILLE, GRAYSON, HENRY, PATRICK.

**

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