POWERSTROKE Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I know you could care less about my opinion, but unless the skies clear before sunrise temperatures will not fall below freezing tonight outside of the mountains. The latest RUC keeps temps between 33 and 35 for almost everyone outside the mountains through 7am. Any slushy accumulations, especially on roads or parking lots will melt on their own since it will be occurring from both the top and the bottom. Never said that just said you go overboard on getting your point out. But moving on... I realize that and don't expect to plow much if any but if rates come in heavy it will accumulate. Anytime there is an advisory we get paid to apply ice melt so I know we going out. However I don't want to be out without a plow and get a surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 5-8" ain't gonna happen I'm afraid. I'm thinking 3" max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 For all the cliff divers out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Brad Panovich says stop panicking: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 No sooner than I post that it quit. lol Just lgt rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 NAM sim radar for 1:00pm today... NAM sim radar for 7:00pm today During that 6 hours the following has fallen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Never said that just said you go overboard on getting your point out. But moving on... I realize that and don't expect to plow much if any but if rates come in heavy it will accumulate. Anytime there is an advisory we get paid to apply ice melt so I know we going out. However I don't want to be out without a plow and get a surprise I understand. BTW, I just looked at the 18z RUC and it now shows temperatures right at freezing or just below extending into the triad just before sunrise so the ice melt may be warranted after all. It will all depend on clearing skies before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 Sleet balls anyone?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 HRRR not looking as good compared to earlier runs south of the boarder. Fairly consistent with the area just to the north of Roanoke Rapids getting a nice hit, but afraid it will be hit or miss type between the triad and triangle, not as widespread to maybe what we were expecting. Could be a situation where Durham gets largely missed with any accum potential and Albemarle-Asheboro sees a couple. Model is and has been keying in on some enhancement with a band between CLT & RDU around 8pm, largely weakens it thereafter as it comes through the triangle. 850 low is very broad and disorganized until it gets off the coast, not really a situation that supports good banding, more of the sporadic variety and likely waning by about 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 oh, hmm. To me if you're in NC that area towards GSO is probably the best place to be. I woudl be surprised if someone doesn't get 3 or 4 inches, but I doubt it will accumulate much on the roads until after it gets dark. So there may be some slush later this evening (like 8 or 9), Greensboro, Slushy roads I'll take that. Hope to get the go ahead to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Sleet starting to mix in here now... 11 miles west of W-S Radar trends do not look good to me. Maybe after the 850 passes us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Here's a video for you folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 34/steady lt rain here at the house. Putting it down on Sugar. http://www.skisugar.com/sugarlive/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Just saw a tamdar ob for a plane at around 8000ft just northeast of GSO and it still had a temp of 0.5C but was -0.5C at 6400ft a little south of that ob. So still a warm nose aloft. not unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Some pretty heavy sleet the last couple minutes here in High Point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 These cells coming toward Charleston: https://img.skitch.com/20120219-1cj2n1ajk8859pmp2yywnsr83d.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The rain is starting to pick up. 34F at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriadDeac Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 NW High Point 34.2 Rain / Sleet mix, can hear it bouncing off the windows 5 minutes later....no more sleet, just rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 GSP afternoon discussion Near term /through Monday/... as of 215 PM...a potent upper shortwave will cross the County warning forecast area this afternoon/early evening...then a second shortwave right behind it overnight. Meanwhile...a surface low will track just offshore the SC coast to near the Outer Banks...deepening as it progresses this evening/overnight. An associated deformation zone will pivot across the NC mountains to the foothills/northwest Piedmont by sunset...with low level cold advection ramping up. Snow levels should begin to rapidly fall to the valley floors during the remainder of the afternoon hours into early evening. Still expecting elevations above 3500 feet to pick up a quick 3-5" of snow...with the valleys generally 2" or less. East of the mountains...a mesoscale band of heavy snow seems to be setting up in vicinity of the Virginia/NC border. A changeover to snow is expected to gradually shift south across the NC Piedmont. It still looks like snow rates will be light to moderate across the I-40 corridor of the foothills/Piedmont. With warm surface temperatures...I Don/T expect snow accumulate to be more than generally 1-2" across most of the northern NC foothills/Piedmont. Higher amts still possible in northern Caldwell/Alexander counties. So with all that said...the current warnings/advisories look sufficient for now. Tonight...the shortwave and deformation zone will shift east of the area late this evening...such that most precipitation will taper off by around 2 am. Clearing skies and continued northerly cold air advection flow will allow temperatures to drop below freezing across pretty much the entire forecast area by daybreak Monday. Monday...upper ridging and dry surface high pressure quickly builds into the area. Temperatures rebound across the southern zones...but may be a tad cooler in the mountains and I-40 corridor where snow is melting (a category or two below normal north and near normal south). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntjr Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 These cells coming toward Charleston: https://img.skitch.c...p2yywnsr83d.png Pretty stout- looks like they have some juice to them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 NW High Point 34.2 Rain / Sleet mix, can hear it bouncing off the windows 5 minutes later....no more sleet, just rain Where are you at in High Point? Are you more towards the Forsyth County border? I am near Jamestown and didn't sleet any sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Another tamdar ob on a plane that just landed at RDU showed below freezing air at 1300ft, but then it rises obviously down to the surface. Wouldnt be shocked to see some sleet pellets mix in in the next few hours around RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 32.7 sn/ip mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriadDeac Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Where are you at in High Point? Are you more towards the Forsyth County border? I am near Jamestown and didn't sleet any sleet. I'm off Johnson Street, near Sandy Ridge Rd. The sleet was very brief, no more than a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopack42 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Where are you at in High Point? Are you more towards the Forsyth County border? I am near Jamestown and didn't sleet any sleet. I'm in Kernersville (close to Walkertown) near 66/158. Heard the exact same thing. Sleet for a few then back to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Change over to a steady mix of rain, sleet, and snow here in western McDowell County along the escarpment...temp is 38 degrees... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 For all the cliff divers out there Thanks for the post burger. I made a post in the banter thread earlier saying this same thing. Our snow was never supposed to come for the slp. Our snow will be coming from the energy dropping down from the north. Who knows where the heavy bands set up but that's our best chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 31.9 Moderate Rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I'm off Johnson Street, near Sandy Ridge Rd. The sleet was very brief, no more than a few minutes. Oh, wow, I used to go to Southwest Guilford High School. I am familiar with that area. I live near the Rush Fitness Complex on Piedmont Parkway now near where Wendover and Guilford College Rd. come together. I didn't notice any sleet here, but I could have missed it if it was brief. We're still holding at 34F, but we're not far. Hopefully, we can change over to some wintry weather by sunset. Or maybe the fives miles or so separating us was all that it took for me to see rain while you saw sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Curious dynamics with this event. Frequent transitions between sleet and rain and the temps keep bouncing up and down by 3-4 degrees here at the house. Stiff wind out of the NE and the low level clouds are racing southeast. (Edit SW) Thinking the heavier precip and inflow into a deepening storm is causing the rapid temp fluctuations as the warmer air aloft is forced downward and mixes out? Just a weenie guess. Maybe a met has a more logical explanation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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