Huffwx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The band rolling in right now ought to pull us down a few degrees. HRR is bully for us later-- hope it's onto something. Models never handle banging well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Hey guys, I'm new on here. I live just south of Ski Liberty near the PA/MD line. This thing will impact the northerm areas more than what the models have depicted. The warm ground however will kill many for chances for good totals, but maybe a surprising 1-3 inches in areas that was just calling for a dusting. I am looking forward to my 1-3 hours of heavy clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The I-77 cam near Max Meadows is looking really nice. A nice coating already on the ground with snow falling at a decent clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I am looking forward to my 1-3 hours of heavy clouds Remain vigilant. I fear the same awful weather is in store for me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Im going to say just maybe, but keeping a close eye on the returns in the ULL and it seems pretty stong. If we start to see radar returns showing up in extreme sountheastern Ohio than I think we will see some snow. Not much but some. I'm just an experienced observer who has lived here and observed weather my whole life. We will see. Good luck! I now have to spend some time with the family. i think the orientation of the precip can be misleading sometimes with these upper level lows. it may look like it's coming north, but they tend to be clustered around the low which still looks like it's headed mostly due east, not to mention some of these bands may get mangled as they cross the apps. i really don't expect anything significant (1-3") to make it up to DC. would be funny, though, if after all these ups and downs, the coastal forms a little further north and we end up with a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Remain vigilant. I fear the same awful weather is in store for me too. stay safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 You know this, but colder air came in from the N and E-- Not shocked those places started as rain. Model data was pretty clear MAINLY snow for ROA , LYH and CHO. We just need heavier stuff to pull temps to near freezing. I know, I was just mentioning that it seemed like some people were expecting it start out as all snow when it was more progged to start out as light rain before the flip and the heavier precip would enter the area. Good Luck to you Huff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Fwiw, weather.com futurecast has that swath of moisture in the Tennessee Valley heading towards the metro. you know, the more i nowcast, the more i do think it will be a slighlty closer call than most of us might think. sure would be nice to see a period of snow here after all this. we deserve it dammit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 you know, the more i nowcast, the more i do think it will be a slighlty closer call than most of us might think. sure would be nice to see a period of snow here after all this. we deserve it dammit. Id be happy with flurries. I live in columbia md. But guess that ain't happenin!! This winter can't end soon enough!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Id be happy with flurries. I live in columbia md. But guess that ain't happenin!! This winter can't end soon enough!! yea i think the steady stuff stays south, but it definitely wouldn't surprise me all that much if we see a period of light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 R- in Wise and Roanoke, VA and throughout most of SW virginia Repots of snow in Marion, Blacksbug, Lynchburg, but rain reports further west. Sort of a cad type look to the reports. Wise has rain and 34 degrees at 2600 ft elevation. Might be a good sign for southern Va if they can get the precip. Radar looks good so far but will it hold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Flurries approaching SN- here, with what looks to potentially be some back-building at the southern edge of the precip for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Looking at wv loop DCA should get into the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Repots of snow in Marion, Blacksbug, Lynchburg, but rain reports further west. Sort of a cad type look to the reports. Wise has rain and 34 degrees at 2600 ft elevation. Might be a good sign for southern Va if they can get the precip. Radar looks good so far but will it hold? Im not counting on much east of US 15/360 like a south Boston/Farmville to Hadensville, VA line, east of there could be tough, west of there though it is game on. You got that whole plateau with elevation averaging 2200+ ft in elevation. Wise is tucked away to far west still they will flip soon enough though. Would pick Wytheville to be in a good spot for this storm if I were to track/chase it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The sun's still peaking through here in far northern Calvert County with a temp of 41.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I respectfully wish that some of you folks, especially down in southern VA, would fill in the location on your profile....would make it more meaningful when you're reporting your obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The sun's still peaking through here in far northern Calvert County with a temp of 41.5. Got a nice patch of blue overhead here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Got a nice patch of blue overhead here Us too, and a break of sun about 15 minutes ago, but now it's a more "menacing" grey to southwest... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Still SN- here, getting a little heavier and should see it pick up with the higher returns approaching the county. Surface temp still too high for any real sticking to occur as of yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownerd Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 It is either something on the lens, or white out like conditions on I-581 near Roanoke: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Cloud deck has really lowered and thickened in the last 30 minutes. Temp peaked at 40 but has now fallen to 38. No snow yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 HRRR still likes a small area of 7" or so in SW VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 It is either something on the lens, or white out like conditions on I-581 near Roanoke: Wouldn't be too surprising with the intense looking returns over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Did anyone else see Tony Pann's post? From 2 hours ago. At this time last weekend, we flew in the face of some of the traditional computer guidance to say that the storm would be here at this time...and it is. So...let’s keep that theme going. In spite of computer model guidance to the contrary...I am going to stay with my forecast of the storm moving north...it will only take a shift of 50 to 100 miles off the forecasted track to get Baltimore into the snow. I will go with that, and say 2” to 4” for the Baltimore Metro area, around 1" near the PA line, and 3” to 6” for parts of Southern MD and the Lower Eastern Shore. If you can’t take the heat...get out of the kitchen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Sun filtering in from the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ocassionally noticing some light snow mixing with rain from my office 20 stories up in Norfolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Im not counting on much east of US 15/360 like a south Boston/Farmville to Hadensville, VA line, east of there could be tough, west of there though it is game on. You got that whole plateau with elevation averaging 2200+ ft in elevation. Wise is tucked away to far west still they will flip soon enough though. Would pick Wytheville to be in a good spot for this storm if I were to track/chase it. Lived in wise co for 45 years. Can't tell you the numer of disappointments caused by that warm wedge that happens west of the highest mountains. They will switch as those upper temps crash. Saw where Jackson ky is snow. The higher elevations of southern and western va should get hit hard. Would love to see a report from mount rogers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 southern vort is definitely further north than modeled and still going northeast... we'll see how much it matters Definitely interesting to see how far south meso analysis places the SURFACE low, however, almost all of the snow seems to be related to the upper level low and s/w to its north, not sure the models are handling it well. I'm not trying to feed fodder to the weenies, but just noticing a couple small things this morning. I don't know how much any of this matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The expected radar hallucinations are going full steam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 just a slight adjusment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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