snowstormcanuck Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 With the way EC measures at YYZ you can almost certainly agree upon another record low is coming. Less than 20"..... unbelievable. Even the warmest of all Winters had at least one decent storm despite no cold. They still have 2.2mm of rain and a Trace of snow for Feb 11. Even though 1931-32 was unbelievably warm we still got decent snowfall that year with one storm dumping 14", we somehow ended up getting 149.3cm (58.3") despite the daily mean being a good 5-7 degrees above normal for DJF. However the summer of 1932 was crap. I'm in the process of sending out an email to them right now about Feb 11. They do make oopsies like that from time to time, but usually it's corrected within 3-4 days. If we're going to go for the futility record, we should at least make it legitimate. Although, even if they plug in 2.2cm of snow, that's still by far the lowest total in the city, and likely inaccurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sun is fighting to come out, up to 300 W/M^2 of solar radiation. If it does this'll be the perfect day, what more could I ask for than heavy convective snow and sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 MKE was down to .5 Vis with that last batch.. Very little accumulations though.. Looks like one more good batch about to move through.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Geos biggest problem was he was clearing his board (or whatever sfc he was measuring on) too frequently. Now that he's moved to the standard 6 hour intervals, I think he'll be fine from here on out. Right. I was clearing every 4 hours. Sun is fighting to come out here, but the clouds are fairly thick. Probably top out in the low 40s if it stays this way all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 MKE was down to .5 Vis with that last batch.. Very little accumulations though.. Looks like one more good batch about to move through.. Yep, looks like some pretty intense snow/mix moving into the northern half of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 Enjoy your severe. Quite possible. I'm not placing any bets on where it goes but I continue to like the signals for something exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Quite possible. I'm not placing any bets on where it goes but I continue to like the signals for something exciting. The system on the GGEM in particular last night was pretty crazy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Blue skies and full sun, all the snow is melted around here. Still glaciers in the shadows of course. Should get up into the 40s this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Yep, looks like some pretty intense snow/mix moving into the northern half of the county. Looks like temperatures are in the low 30s under the most intense radar returns. http://www.wunderground.com/webcams/# < it snowed in Madison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Blue skies and full sun, all the snow is melted around here. Still glaciers in the shadows of course. Should get up into the 40s this afternoon. Thats the thing I hate about these types of snows.. Oh well i'll enjoy this batch coming through for sure.. Solid SN right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The system on the GGEM in particular last night was pretty crazy... And now the 12z Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 GFS and Euro are night and day around here next Monday/Tuesday. Each model has some energy at the southern end of the trough moving out into the plains. The GFS largely drops that energy and weakens the whole thing into a simple trough early next week, but the Euro maintains it and drives some good mid level energy across this area. GFS drops a decent rain while the Euro drops several inches of snow from east-central IA into northern IL. GFS Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 And now the 12z Euro... N Plains/upper Midwest get hammered on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 GFS and Euro are night and day around here next Monday/Tuesday. Each model has some energy at the southern end of the trough moving out into the plains. The GFS largely drops that energy and weakens the whole thing into a simple trough early next week, but the Euro maintains it and drives some good mid level energy across this area. GFS drops a decent rain while the Euro drops several inches of snow from east-central IA into northern IL. But I got really burned and destroyed with the Euro this past week so gonna play it safe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 N Plains/upper Midwest get hammered on that run. Probable svr on the warm sector side too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Probable svr on the warm sector side too. not so much...lead wave would kill that potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 not so much...lead wave would kill that potential. Good point, would be interesting if a big setup like that got ruined by that weak impulse out in front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sitting at 48 degrees. Should be able to crack 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 N Plains/upper Midwest get hammered on that run. talk about a sick gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 GFS and Euro are night and day around here next Monday/Tuesday. Each model has some energy at the southern end of the trough moving out into the plains. The GFS largely drops that energy and weakens the whole thing into a simple trough early next week, but the Euro maintains it and drives some good mid level energy across this area. GFS drops a decent rain while the Euro drops several inches of snow from east-central IA into northern IL. GFS Euro Looks like that could be wet snow even around here on the Euro. Boundary layer temps may be questionable though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Starting to see rogue flakes bigger than quarters as the high reflectivity band moves in. Getting those monstrous flakes now and it is just absolutely ripping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sprinkling here now. 39°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 44 degrees and not a cloud in the sky FTW. Perfect weather for Friday. Gonna hit the chains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I'd love to get a big storm like we're being teased with and just watch it blow this whole boring pattern to hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sitting at 43F. Mostly sun here today, we managed a winner. Can't complain with weather like this. Our snowcover is looking pretty thin these days. Even the piles have shrunk to almost nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 FWIW GFS ensembles at the same time as the Euro storm http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRS_12z/f240.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 FWIW GFS ensembles at the same time as the Euro storm http://www.meteo.psu...RS_12z/f240.gif Nice range of solutions.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sitting at 43F. Mostly sun here today, we managed a winner. Can't complain with weather like this. Our snowcover is looking pretty thin these days. Even the piles have shrunk to almost nothing. Its almost staggering how many sunny days we have managed to string together since Jan. I don't think it's anywhere near a record amount but it's high. It's beautiful outside. Moms pushing the little ones around, people jogging, hippies hitting disc chains and the occasional Dbag kid with his windows rolled down bumping Kayne or whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Nice range of solutions.. Just about all wet for our area but the storm signal with a nice baroclinic zone is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 GEM showing a possible snow for IN, IL, se MI, nw OH, then towards lower Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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