daddylonglegs Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 More proof that long range forecasting is about as accurate as flipping a coin or pulling something out of your cornhole... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Wow at those maps. I think Rochester is gonna break their record for their warmest ever. Where is La Crosse gonna finish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Looks like its #4 here... I would assume Rochester is probably even higher up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 They were #2 last I saw and only .4 degrees F behind #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 The January map is the stuff of nightmares... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 The January map is the stuff of nightmares... All 3 maps are pretty much carbon copies of eachother for the whole state of minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 GFS looking less and less impressive by the run for the system early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 GFS looking less and less impressive by the run for the system early next week. Yeah it is getting kicked out of the way by the bigger system after it around Tuesday/Wednesday. Oh and the Gulf will be open for business for that system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Yeah it is getting kicked out of the way by the bigger system after it around Tuesday/Wednesday. Oh and the Gulf will be open for business for that system. That Tues/Wed system looks interesting. I know the models will flop around a lot but it sure could be a big MW/GL storm with the Gulf open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 That Tues/Wed system looks interesting. I know the models will flop around a lot but it sure could be a big MW/GL storm with the Gulf open. GGEM is amped, moist, and wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 That Tues/Wed system looks interesting. I know the models will flop around a lot but it sure could be a big MW/GL storm with the Gulf open. That first wave is looking like a table setter for the next one. Moisture return looks to slowly get underway into the deep South and that pool of moisture would be readily available for the next event, at least as currently modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 decent severe potential with this one... With that strong High over Quebec I think this one has a very real ice storm potential to it. Shallow Arctic air funneling into the region out of the E/NE while warm air moves in over top it, plus the potential snowpack for the region that is coming today/tonight/Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Only 1 day this month has been in the single digits.. unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Undulatus Asperatus Clouds this evening here in Western Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 ORD has failed to record a 50F+ temp this month. if it ends that way, it will be the first month since January 2011 not to feature at least one 50F+ reading. Tues/Wed might have 50F potential depending on how various things work out, so the streak still has a chance to continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Undulatus Asperatus Clouds this evening here in Western Ohio. Nice! A sky like that would be perfect for a Halloween movie lol. Picked up 0.37" of rain here today, followed by about 3/4" of snow/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Thursday, February 23rd: Hi: 38F Lo: 29F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 22MPH Rainfall: 0.42" Snowfall: 0.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fickle Heights Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Our most recent storm dropped 0.13" of rain at my place. It's rained on 10 of the 24 days this month, but only for a total 0.91". Westerly wind is howling behind the cold front. The INDOT sensor about a half mile from my house is showing sustained at 24 with gusts to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Up to 34 °F with the sun coming out occasionally. Plenty of melting going on, but the snow should stick around for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 ORD has failed to record a 50F+ temp this month. if it ends that way, it will be the first month since January 2011 not to feature at least one 50F+ reading. Tues/Wed might have 50F potential depending on how various things work out, so the streak still has a chance to continue. That's for the winter months right?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Assuming the system on Wednesday is rain, or at best freezing rain, this will be the least snowiest DJF in Toronto record keeping history, at any of the observation locations (73 years at Pearson, ~160 years downtown). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Assuming the system on Wednesday is rain, or at best freezing rain, this will be the least snowiest DJF in Toronto record keeping history, at any of the observation locations (73 years at Pearson, ~160 years downtown). You can forget about any snow in March. The long range Euro is nothing but a torch for the next few weeks and despite most of them being favorable tracks (in actual winters).....its just too warm this Winter. In my opinion we'll be lucky to squeeze in 2" from Mar-April. 1974-75 resembles this Winter greatly but that Winter was FAR better snow wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Back wash snow showers and colder air moving in. Topped at 33°. Expecting upper teen tonight with the fresh snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Had some nice LES showers this afternoon here in Elkhart county to whiten the grass. Anticipated possible synoptic snowstorm went farther north however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Back wash snow showers and colder air moving in. Topped at 33°. Expecting upper teen tonight with the fresh snow. Getting some decent light snow up here, might accumulate since it looks expansive on radar, and temps just dropped below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Ripping flurries here. The clouds with these WI snow showers were quite convective looking right before sunset. Temperature has fallen to 29°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Intense LES band coming off Lake Huron right now stretching down to here. Snow squall warning for Huron and Perth Counties. No warning for Region of Waterloo just yet...I'm on the very edge of the band and it's shifting this way. Just looked out the back window...can't see anything 1-2km south of here. Wall of gray. Pretty neat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Intense LES band coming off Lake Huron right now stretching down to here. Snow squall warning for Huron and Perth Counties. No warning for Region of Waterloo just yet...I'm on the very edge of the band and it's shifting this way. Just looked out the back window...can't see anything 1-2km south of here. Wall of gray. Pretty neat. Those lights on the left are street lamps behind those houses...that apt is about 600 metres away...and that dim light to the top right of the house behind mine is a crane building a high rise a kilometre or so away. It's really hitting now, but that is the "wall of gray" I was talking about. I have a full view of Kitchener (pop 220,000) from that window and you can't see any lights right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Had almost 4" of snow on the ground this morning, and has since melted/compacted back down to a very dense 2". All the snow that was caked to the trees etc has long fallen off. I went out and did a little more shoveling earlier this evening and just shoveling the 2" was back breaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Brilliant! It's ripping right now! Ground already completely coated in just a few minutes. Only landmark you can see now from that above photo is the street lamps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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