am19psu Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Also, anything related to the DGEX, JMA, or NOGAPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Also, anything related to the DGEX, JMA, or NOGAPS. So i can talk about the CRAS in the model thread . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I used to like Rob G, but his fb posts are getting incredibly annoying: "SNOW SNOW SNOW>>>>Computer Model Rankings....Could we see a foot from DC to Boston ?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Crap I need to catch up with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is it too late to buy back the snow thrower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Crap I need to catch up with this Do you still moderate here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I used to like Rob G, but his fb posts are getting incredibly annoying: The blizzard reference the other day was truly awful and a brutal analysis of that run of the Euro model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The blizzard reference the other day was truly awful and a brutal analysis of that run of the Euro model. hb the weather united analysis on fb lol...i love how the argument, the storm cant go south the nao and pna are positive.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 hb the weather united analysis on fb lol...i love how the argument, the storm cant go south the nao and pna are positive.. Tell them that nao west is actually negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 c'mon geefus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Tell them that nao west is actually negative. i didnt even know that, i was just looking at the cpc plots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i didnt even know that, i was just looking at the cpc plots At this point its just an index number. I'd have to find my sheets somewhere but its somewhere around a quarter to a third of our 6" or greater events have been with positive nao(s) (I also looked at changes the days before, so pure pos index numbers). No matter what the index number is, this system is obviously blocked from getting too far to the north because of the 500mb pattern in southeastern Canada, just a question of how close it comes and how fast it moves offshore. I didn't go out this morning either, so I guess by front nine 45 has to get marked as an incomplete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I should have counted how many times people mentioned the modeling of the boxing day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 why does work schedule meetings during the important 12z gfs runs? now i'm late for the on the fly updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 why does work schedule meetings during the important 12z gfs runs? now i'm late for the on the fly updates 12z Euro is more important (out to 36hr) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 12z Euro is more important (out to 36hr) true... time to troll tom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Do you still moderate here? Haha yes I'm here so you better behave! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I really need to consider returning my snowblower....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Based on the 12Z model runs any warning criteria type snow north of the MD line is wishful thinking. Would need a significant shift north in the models. It may be ovah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Based on the 12Z model runs any warning criteria type snow north of the MD line is wishful thinking. Would need a significant shift north in the models. It may be ovah. Nah, it's not over. We're definitely still within the margin of error 3 days out. If I lived in Hartford, I'd be moving on, but not here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Funny how this forum has almost thrown in the towel while the NYC folks still holding out hope. Guess it is a "glass half empty" (Philly) verses "glass half full" (New Yorker) mentality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Nah, it's not over. We're definitely still within the margin of error 3 days out. If I lived in Hartford, I'd be moving on, but not here. You've seem more positive than I've ever seen you with this ?????? event. I just wonder with the positive NAO if this won't come a bit more north, still a ways out and can't believe everything is set in stone 84 + hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Funny how this forum has almost thrown in the towel while the NYC folks still holding out hope. Guess it is a "glass half empty" (Philly) verses "glass half full" (New Yorker) mentality. They are basing hopes on the JMA model. Good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 You've seem more positive than I've ever seen you with this ?????? event. I just wonder with the positive NAO if this won't come a bit more north, still a ways out and can't believe everything is set in stone 84 + hours out. I'm actually the most positive for DC out of the I-95. This is going to be a legit storm and it should be awesome to watch unfold on satellite imagery. I get excited when there are true impact events on the table, even if the snow is going to be somewhat limited in geographic extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 You've seem more positive than I've ever seen you with this ?????? event. I just wonder with the positive NAO if this won't come a bit more north, still a ways out and can't believe everything is set in stone 84 + hours out. Blizzard of 96 shifted 100 miles North in the last 24 hours. Anything can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm actually the most positive for DC out of the I-95. This is going to be a legit storm and it should be awesome to watch unfold on satellite imagery. I get excited when there are true impact events on the table, even if the snow is going to be somewhat limited in geographic extent. well maybe you should go mod that forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm actually the most positive for DC out of the I-95. This is going to be a legit storm and it should be awesome to watch unfold on satellite imagery. I get excited when there are true impact events on the table, even if the snow is going to be somewhat limited in geographic extent. Ok in the positive spirit of am19psu here's the latest water vapor which has a pretty potent southern jet involved out west. You can see our storm in the far left hand lower corner at the present time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I must be jaded from the last two years, but I just can't get excited over 18Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Looks like the 18z NAM broke down. I guess we will need more money from the Chinese to fix it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 lol at people in other forums jumping off bridges because of the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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