FrederickWX Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Meh... if we can't get anything of note from this storm, we may as well go right to spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Yeah, NAM looks slightly more amplified. Ugh. Why do we have to have the NAM on our side? Poor NAM. Year after year it gets bashed. Does it never improve its performance from previous years? Wasn't it OK for JAN 26TH last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Looks the same at the surface through 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Hey I'm driving home from FL and will make it to southern VA later Sunday ...then my cousins place in Silver Spring Monday. The question is where shoufd I stay on Sunday night to see the most snow depth...probably be tapering off around then as I hit it. I could take 95 or I could take the alternate 77/81 and cut over to DC further north.... Yeah, NAM looks slightly more amplified. Ugh. Why do we have to have the NAM on our side? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Looks the same at the surface through 39. Sim radar is almost identical. Low is slightly stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Looks the same at the surface through 39. Looks to be slightly more northwest on the 18z at 39 compared to the 12z at 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 precip shield to the nw of slp @ 39 is more robust than 12z. decent sign i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 precip shield to the nw of slp @ 39 is more robust than 12z. decent sign i guess. Agree, out to hr 42 now looks stronger and northwest so far.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 It is definitely north of 12z at 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Looks like it's gonna be a hit again for the whole area based on 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 precip shield to the nw of slp @ 39 is more robust than 12z. decent sign i guess. thicknesses are higher too a lot of rain in VA thru 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 NAM is a little stronger and gets a tad more precip into the area through 48HR. Definitely not anything like the Euro so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 And the low jumps to Hattaras just like 12z. Virtually identical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Precip up into PA almost to Harrisburg on this run. NAM still looks good. Wish it was the Euro though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Looks like it's gonna be a hit again for the whole area based on 45. Not good.. precip shield weaker but no further south on this run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Is the low in nova Scotia moving out faster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 definitely drier overall for DC and points north The run is nearly identical to 12Z. Can you dumb weenies please stop with this crap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 nam might be slowly catching on.. precip is lower on north end. what a donkey model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 To DC and NOVA, echo what Phineas said. Just shut it and let the run finish. There is one more panel to 60 to finish the comparison, but what it has for right now is damn near the same from the 12z run. For whatever that is worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 definitely drier overall for DC and points north LOL.... splitting hairs arent you? NAM is snow porn for all. It holds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 NAM moves the coastal out faster. Its about 100 miles NE of 12Z at 0z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 nam might be slowly catching on.. precip is lower on north end. what a donkey model. The evolution is basically identical to 12Z. It certainly is way different than the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 So we have euro the slower solution and nam the faster solution. Looks like that leaves GFS to take the middle ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I guess I'll be dumb weenie. it looks to me like it has cut the precip by .25 as it was .75 and now it just under .50. I'm not sure that means much and maybe I pulled a DT and looked at the wrong maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 I guess I'll be dumb weenie. it looks to me like it has cut the precip by .25 as it was .75 and now it just under .50. I'm not sure that means much and maybe I pulled a DT and looked at the wrong maps. I agree. It is a little drier on the northern end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Honestly it does look drier, not sure why the negative response Phineas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I guess I'll be dumb weenie. it looks to me like it has cut the precip by .25 as it was .75 and now it just under .50. I'm not sure that means much and maybe I pulled a DT and looked at the wrong maps. The NAM was too wet to start with, I think we knew that. Unless I am reading the maps incorrectly, this doesn't appear to be anything like the Euro. I guess the SECS option might be off the NAM table now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The evolution is basically identical to 12Z. It certainly is way different than the Euro. the tracks are not that different really. the main difference is how they handle the northern side of the precip. it's possible the nam is just too wet and overall not that far off i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I guess I'll be dumb weenie. it looks to me like it has cut the precip by .25 as it was .75 and now it just under .50. I'm not sure that means much and maybe I pulled a DT and looked at the wrong maps. It did get cut in the LWX CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 DCA is prob 0.50-0.55 EZF near 0.75 BWI/IAD near 0.45ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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