yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 0c 2m line at 54 is I-95... everbody west of there below 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Very nice at 57.. large strip of 0.5 QPF across VA... just south of DCA. DCA/IAD below freezing and BWI at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Difference between the 12z NAM and the 00z Euro. Both jump and reform the surface low, but the Euro scoots it off of Wilmington, whereas the NAM goes off the Outer Banks and still gains a little bit of latitude. edit - retracted, bad memory. Surface lows not far off from each other, though trajectory after the outer banks is slightly different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The whole area getting blasted at 60HR. This is back to being a big snow event like 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 0c 2m line at 54 is I-95... everbody west of there below 32 While the northern stream has made the track worrisome, it has also pretty well guaranteed an all-snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The southern ULL isn't as amplified, but I think the nrn stream confluence was just a bit more north which results in not much change or maybe a tick north on the NAM. Anyways, it's the NAM and we'll see what the rest of the guidance does at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Gorgeous at 60. Very nice hit for basically all of VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The whole area getting blasted at 60HR. This is back to being a big snow event like 00Z. The Force is strong with this one... 0.5 QPF across NOVA/DC/S MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Pretty cold at 54hrs. Freezing line basically wrapping around the heavy precip in the deform band. WV and eastern KY are loving this run. And so are we...this is an all snow run for the entire LWX area, IMO. Lots of good UVVs at 700mb as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 We just need the Euro to come around and I'd feel a lot better about this. But as it stands, NAM just pummels us...is it too cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The whole area getting blasted at 60HR. This is back to being a big snow event like 00Z. This won't be like 00z, but a nice event on this run. 00z was nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Thinking the low wont jump east as far and where the slp is, id think itll be even more north at 18z pr 0z, we'll see. Regardless, a confidence booster for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This one is such a difficult forecast up this way. I hate being on the edge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 DCA around 0.7 QPF at 60... more to come still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Nice QPF gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This one is such a difficult forecast up this way. I hate being on the edge! Well al, id bet on this coming nort more like matt and even Ian have been saying, its going to come north, i think the 50 miles north on precip proves that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 DC really gets clobbered. Everyone does OK, really. Step back from the ledge, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 just keep drifting north baby, baby steps, but just keep coming and I'll tell you when to stop anyway, what I do like seeing is how the NAM moves the nrn stream out of the way; it's a NINA, and the flow across the north has been fast all season so it "seems" reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Another weenie banding signal for the city on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 DC really gets clobbered. Everyone does OK, really. Step back from the ledge, folks. Until we get confirmation from the GFS/Euro, I think we're all going to be a little on the ledge still. Realistically, we know the NAM likes to go nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 If this storm gets another shift north, say 20-30 miles, DC to Baltimore will really be in business. Right now it looks like the heavier stuff is just south of BWI to my untrained eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 DC really gets clobbered. Everyone does OK, really. Step back from the ledge, folks. it is, but I like how the NAM smoothed the northern edge to give peps in southern PA some qpf good sign if you want future drifts to the north imho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 DC really gets clobbered. Everyone does OK, really. Step back from the ledge, folks. Looks like DC basically gets the same QPF as Baltimore, maybe .10 more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 If this storm gets another shift north, say 20-30 miles, DC to Baltimore will really be in business. Right now it looks like the heavier stuff is just south of BWI to my untrained eye all of Baltimore, from say Towson on south, is in the .5"-.74" range, so we're good and have room for more north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Wow, you guys do get pounded via this run. How about that. Still we have to see how the rest of the 12z suite comes in. I still think the low can come up a bit further north. How about the Virginia Capes. Time will tell. No doubt, will be eagerly awaiting any changes on these runs, but now everyone is interested in this event.. Plus, the snow may continue into late Sunday night on the back edge of this storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 So weird to see a 40 south cut off like that. Reminds me 09-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powhatan Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Gorgeous at 60. Very nice hit for basically all of VA. What about RIC? Will it be left or right of the freezing line with the more northerly track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 You are kind of like the MA version of CTblizz a bit. Maybe toss in snowNH. Can you tell us more about this "weenie banding signal?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 What about RIC? Will it be left or right of the freezing line with the more northerly track? RIC is snow on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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