CooL Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ouch....00z nam just went way south and takes DC out of the game for accumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ouch....00z nam just went way south and takes DC out of the game for accumulating snow GFS and NAM give DC zero precip. Feel terrible for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Yes, that's the most painful place to be with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Yes, that's the most painful place to be with this one. Yup. We knew we had zero shot days ago. I would've never thought DC would get zero out of this. The euro with .18" is the wettest model for them now. Expect it to drop to near zero tonight as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Anyone else notice this? The NAM from earlier today did not handle the low pressure, as the 12z NAM didn't show the 2nd area of low pressure near western Florida which the 0z NAM initialized with and the latest observations show. Perhaps that could be one reason why the NAM suddenly went so far south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Yup. We knew we had zero shot days ago. I would've never thought DC would get zero out of this. The euro with .18" is the wettest model for them now. Expect it to drop to near zero tonight as well. Good call, new EC has 0.01" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 We're way too far south. Typically any snows generated from a feature like that will be slightly north of it, the NAM seems out to lunch generating all of that precip on the southern side of that vort. It was right on but a tad weak with the qpf. I had heavy rain in NW NJ for over an hr last night. The vort was strong. Great forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Most places had a few hundredths. A few locales had over 0.10". http://raws.wrh.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/roman/raws_ca_monitor.cgi?state=NJ&type=&rawsflag=290&timeobs=12&day1=22&month1=9&year1=2007&hour1=22&orderby=e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Most places had a few hundredths. A few locales had over 0.10". http://raws.wrh.noaa...r1=22&orderby=e I didnt measure,. But before i left to go out to din din, it was pouring. Then on my way out it was pouring, and while i was out eating it lasted at least another 30-40 mins. I;m probly in the isolated group but it was more than even the NAM had forecasted, Bottom line, the models had qpf so it should not have been a low pop forecast IMO. Especially with all the forcing, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Most places had a few hundredths. A few locales had over 0.10". http://raws.wrh.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/roman/raws_ca_monitor.cgi?state=NJ&type=&rawsflag=290&timeobs=12&day1=22&month1=9&year1=2007&hour1=22&orderby=e .03 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I had .04" It did come down pretty hard for a short time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 We had about an inch of snow out in Hawley PA. Came down moderately with large flakes for about 2.5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 GFS and NAM give DC zero precip. Feel terrible for them. The end result is even worse. Look at these two cams, literally 14 miles apart on I-81 in the Shen valley. First one is Exit 205, about 15 miles south of the town I grew up in (also getting royally screwed right now). This one is from exit 191 near Lexington, VA. Now the precip could eek northward a bit, but on radar it does not look promising. It looks like the line over Lexington and continuing east south of CHO has just stopped dead in its tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Dc might not be out of the woods yet. Meteorologist Jim Rinaldi just said that the storm is going to track more north than what the models are showing. He is a good met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Note that my town is roughly 150 miles SW of DC proper, so no chance they are getting anything at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Dc might not be out of the woods yet. Meteorologist Jim Rinaldi just said that the storm is going to track more north than what the models are showing. He is a good met. It's not looking good dude, precip is not moving very far north, the northernmost band is stuck between RIC and EZF (Fredericksburg). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 This could have been a good storm for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 This could have been a good storm for the area. You're hopeless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 This could have been a good storm for the area. You're hopeless. It had to be a joke post, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 wow to the weenies eye this looks like it is turning the corner - this thing is really teasing us now http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true&location=USDC0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 wow to the weenies eye this looks like it is turning the corner - this thing is really teasing us now http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true&location=USDC0001 Imagine it does and it's a driving rain storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bates Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 wow to the weenies eye this looks like it is turning the corner - this thing is really teasing us now http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true&location=USDC0001 Intellicast radar is very deceiving. For example, Baltimore has reported no precip. DC has very light rain/snow but their forecast was always for a chance of some light precip prior to midnight. There are no surprises here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 holy moly how can there still be people talking about this partly cloudy storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 Yeah, time to lock this up I suppose... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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