nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 That's why it's interesting with how deep the low already is. Here's the shortwave I believe http://www.spc.noaa.gov/sfctest/new/viewsector.php?sector=16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Yeah but don't we need the shortwave to also help out? Well see nam and srefs out with new data soon OBS on the left, NAM on the right. It looks like it's 6 mb stronger than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 OBS on the left, NAM on the right. It looks like it's 6 mb stronger than progged. Wow, awesome pick up on your part as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 That's why it's interesting with how deep the low already is. good find but we're gonna have to get alot more than that to get this to change its track for us buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Here's the radar it's pouring there, flood warning and special marine warnings just put up http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/centgrtlakes.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 good find but we're gonna have to get alot more than that to get this to change its track for us buddy Yep, I just posted it because it was interesting. I'm honestly not sure what implications a stronger s/w would hold for our storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Probably means a stronger storm for the MA if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Yep, I just posted it because it was interesting. I'm honestly not sure what implications a stronger s/w would hold for our storm system. it would help but we'll have to also get some northern stream interaction as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 it would help but we'll have to also get some northern stream interaction as well Wouldn't a stronger system help that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 it would help but we'll have to also get some northern stream interaction as well Yep, that's what we really need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 What tools can you use to see it it's happening? Water vapor etc? I'm not good with this stuff lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 What tools can you use to see it it's happening? Water vapor etc? I'm not good with this stuff lol infrared/water vapor loops are a pretty good tool they the pattern very well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Considerably stronger than modeled, a stronger storm should come further NW right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I really do not think that will have much of an positive outcome. Classic weenie grasping for straws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 21z SREF is no help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Here's current 500mb chart http://www.intellicast.com/National/Analysis/UpperAir500.aspx Water vapor http://www.weather.gov/sat_tab.php?image=wv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Considerably stronger than modeled, a stronger storm should come further NW right? the flow is fast and misses the phase. It's not going to matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I really do not think that will have much of an positive outcome. Classic weenie grasping for straws. Better to talk about something then nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 I really do not think that will have much of an positive outcome. Classic weenie grasping for straws. Whatever light precip gets up to Jersey is rain anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 21z SREF is no help No change at all? How about nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 Better to talk about something then nothing Not really, you're grasping for straws that don't even exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 21z SREF is no help Not surprising, considering that the models were in a unanimous consensus with there not being any significant precipitation reaching our area at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Better to talk about something then nothing But it's pointless and only gets people excited for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 The SREF mean at 21z barely gets the .10" line north of Cape May county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Not really, you're grasping for straws that don't even exist. Yeah true w.e Knicks are on lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 Yeah true w.e Knicks are on lol This kind of stuff really doesn't belong in a discussion thread dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This kind of stuff really doesn't belong in a discussion thread dude. Sorry, any word on nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Sorry, any word on nam FWIW the NAM initialized the Low much weaker than what OBS are showing. It's probably going to be a miss, because it is almost impossible for there to be a significant change in the height field and the timing of the shortwaves, because we are starting to approach the models' deadly range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 FWIW the NAM initialized the Low much weaker than what OBS are showing. It's probably going to be a miss, because it is almost impossible for there to be a significant change in the height field and the timing of the shortwaves, because we are starting to approach the models' deadly range. Yeah just saw it it's def weaker but like people said prob don't matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.