Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I suppose that means you're not coming over tomorrow night? lol. Dude I totally forgot, hey PM me directions, time etc. I get home around 7 from work, can I bring tag along TB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Dude I totally forgot, hey PM me directions, time etc. I get home around 7 from work, can I bring tag along TB? Of course TB can come. I wouldn't expect him not to be with you. It's like Laurel and Hardy . . . Cheech and Chong . . . Ginx and TB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Banter in banter thread Serious Storm Mode in edfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Train wreck down the coast..one of those things we can see from here but they can't see it as they're in the middle of it. NAM is wobbling it's way towards the euro, will make the complete jump choke tonight at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Banter in banter thread Serious Storm Mode in edfect lol. ok. I actually just had a post of mine deleted in the MA thread because I was (sincerely) wishing some guy luck on snow. Storm Mode is big biznezz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The Posting Dead. New series We have set an all time high ratio of number of posts vs inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 18z nam keeps DC in the game with .3-.4 of snow but it shifted south from 12z. From srefs and nam you would think N VA has a 3-6" sf coming up....but gfs and esp. euro make you think otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 NAM actually did come a touch north since it weaken the confluence over New England/Nova Scotia...but it's not even close to enough. Scraps the south coast/Nantucket with some qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 18z nam keeps DC in the game with .3-.4 of snow but it shifted south from 12z. From srefs and nam you would think N VA has a 3-6" sf coming up....but gfs and esp. euro make you think otherwise. Um no its actually north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Banter in this thread Serious weenie Mode in edfect sure is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 NAM actually did come a touch north since it weaken the confluence over New England/Nova Scotia...but it's not even close to enough. Scraps the south coast/Nantucket with some qpf. It looks like its north as far as getting qpf to the south coast/Nantucket...but south with the meaningful qpf in MD. Although it doesn't looks like any qpf actually makes it to the south coast but I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Um no its actually north we're kinda both right...it's further north to the east...but further south to the west. Hence the increase QPF in Nantucket but a decrease in DC and NW VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 NAM actually did come a touch north since it weaken the confluence over New England/Nova Scotia...but it's not even close to enough. Scraps the south coast/Nantucket with some qpf. the nam is beyond crap-tabulous. should only be run to 48 hours and should only be run at 00z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Um no its actually north LOL see my last post, it is north but compare DC 12z to 18z...they get less snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 What the NAM is doing is slowing the northern lobe of vorticity that's moving through the TN Valley. It speeds up the initial impulse so like Phil said, it dumbells a bit, sagging around DC but gets lifted north a bit more by the delayed SW etc. It's plausible. If we were going to get hit on the coast that's how it'd have to happen. Euro is slower with both features, NAM moved slower with the 2nd piece, faster with the first. One's right, one is very wrong...I'll take the odds on favorite for now. But will be interesting to see ye old late data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 the nam is beyond crap-tabulous. should only be run to 48 hours and should only be run at 00z and 12z. agreed. I actually tolked forky on dbm I'm not even sure it should be run at all lol. People who bash the GFS should really be bashing the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Um no its actually north Getting close to a cape scrape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Well, At least we can move on to the next chance at snow with another garbage airmass which looks to be Weds-Thurs next week Dismayingly similar to how today's "event" looked from 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 agreed. I actually tolked forky on dbm I'm not even sure it should be run at all lol. People who bash the GFS should really be bashing the NAM. the ec ens are almost over your head in bermuda (if you're back there yet). lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Dismayingly similar to how today's "event" looked from 5 days out. I have that same vision with the same results Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I have that same vision with the same results This would be interesting to watch, twin 1041 Highs locking in Canada with a 989 mid country transfer to a coastal bomb, models sure try hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This would be interesting to watch, twin 1041 Highs locking in Canada with a 989 mid country transfer to a coastal bomb, models sure try hard. In another winter, Sure, Who knows this year.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This would be interesting to watch, twin 1041 Highs locking in Canada with a 989 mid country transfer to a coastal bomb, models sure try hard. Dude, you're killing me. I'm trying so hard to let winter be gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Dude, you're killing me. I'm trying so hard to let winter be gone. It is over but there is always a chance at some point, probably when we are all not interested at all. I mean its only Feb 17th, it has snowed before in Feb/March I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This would be interesting to watch, twin 1041 Highs locking in Canada with a 989 mid country transfer to a coastal bomb, models sure try hard. Check out that temperature gradient from south TX to the panhandle of OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Check out that temperature gradient from south TX to the panhandle of OK. yea probably severe outbreak eh. The Euro Ens say meh. Someday we might get some interesting weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This pattern sucks now. It's neither nice nor snowy. 50 and yuck blows. This winter is a train wreck it really is. Did Bastardi really say go with the JMA btw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 move it north 50 to 75 miles and everyone around here would very happy but every knows that model isnt even close to what is going to happen.. This pattern sucks now. It's neither nice nor snowy. 50 and yuck blows. This winter is a train wreck it really is. Did Bastardi really say go with the JMA btw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 move it north 50 to 75 miles and everyone around here would very happy but every knows that model isnt even close to what is going to happen.. Forecasts should be about 95% based on the Euro down south. GFS/NAM are garbage. 18z GFS started to handle the s/w complex much more like the Euro. It's pulled the trailing sw NE by quite a bit and I suspect in the later run tonight will show they really don't "phase" but are two disjointed lobes of energy...again like the Euro. GFS went strongly that way at 18z. If this was us under the gun, the red flags would be flying and the weenies be buggin'. Not going to be pretty tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 move it north 50 to 75 miles and everyone around here would very happy but every knows that model isnt even close to what is going to happen.. Not that it matters, but QPF graphics on that JMA are extremely misleading if you are used to the NCEP ones... dark blue is less than 0.25". Purple is only a half an inch. On NCEP that dark blue is 0.5+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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