Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 euro kinda screws the DC folks This one is all done. The only hope was the earlier GFS solutions, once the main northern system got so far east we were screwed. Euro is a big ole' miss. GFS is still about 12 hours late to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 euro kinda screws the DC folks Care to explain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 euro kinda screws the DC folks Yeah congrats interior VA. I was right earlier, the nrn stream kept too much confluence despite what looked like a better and slower srn stream look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Care to explain? well it just shunts everything east so DC to BWI area is only grazed. better to the SW of the area like over interior VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 well it just shunts everything east so DC to BWI area is only grazed. better to the SW of the area like over interior VA. [ctblizz] North trend coming don't worry board the bus[/ctblizz] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 GFS will fold as the day goes into night. Confluence over us is a major issue, once that BC s/w got loose we were really in trouble. It's almost impossible now for a solution to evolve that brings this far enough north to do more than graze the south coast. That's JMHO. Anyway, good luck to the M A folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Man, there are some winters when things just go right, and then there is this winter. Last winter, the northern stream vortex would have subsumed into the southern wave like Paul subsuming into his life-size Miley Cyrus doll in bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I swear 7-8 out of 10 times, I would worry about ptype when I see a low in Louisiana. A whiff?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I still would keep an eye on it over se areas. In the modeling world, it's still not a lock at 84 hrs out, as we'll see more movements one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well, what can you say, a poorly timed vortmax over the lakes yielding confluence in a +nao. Congrats to ncep for discounting the gfs solutions starting yesterday, another heartbreaker, its sleeting out right now so time to enjoy whatever happens in the next hour. Hopefully things look better for the folks around DC, thats a much tougher pill to swallow and I hope things work out for the best for all of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I swear 7-8 out of 10 times, I would worry about ptype when I see a low in Louisiana. A whiff?? This winter has been like the Sep 2011 Sox...we keep finding different ways to lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This winter has been like the Sep 2011 Sox...we keep finding different ways to lose. I'm sure we'll get a storm to cut west of us later next week. I'm almost ready to just say throw in the towel and hope for an early spring. 60F and sun sounds so good right about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This winter has been like the Sep 2011 Sox...we keep finding different ways to lose. You give that image to me in any other winter, and immediately I think congrats interior..lol. Amazing. Part of me knows how these can throw curveballs, but then I look up in Canada and note that disaster as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This winter has been like the Sep 2011 Sox...we keep finding different ways to lose. Old man winter has been drinking too much beer, and eating too much fried chicken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 it's almost comical at this point at the degree of fail in this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 the distance between the haves/have nots on this is going to be a matter of miles. very sharp northern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 the distance between the haves/have nots on this is going to be a matter of miles. very sharp northern edge. 30-50 miles means the difference from brown grass to 6" if snow, potentially across the M.A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 the distance between the haves/have nots on this is going to be a matter of miles. very sharp northern edge. Yeah. Someone on the northern edge will get pounded with a deformation band and just north of that amounts will probably plummet. Maybe I'll be able to see cirrus to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I swear 7-8 out of 10 times, I would worry about ptype when I see a low in Louisiana. A whiff?? Really? It's a bit further west than your ideal typical GOM low, but I wouldn't say that 7-8/10 that a storm emerging from that position screws the I-95 corridor. Storms that track over PHL then just w of NYC have happened, but it seems those are the exception (unless it's the early 1990s when CNY/CPA would get crushed by storms like this)... typically you see some sort of redevelopment along the East Coast baro zone. A whiff... yeah, it's kind of surprising... but the upper level pattern isn't all that conducive, nor is the ridge out west. At the same time, it isn't like we have some Artic Ice Queen High over SE Canada spreading her skirt and surpressing everything in her path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yeah. Someone on the northern edge will get pounded with a deformation band and just north of that amounts will probably plummet. Maybe I'll be able to see cirrus to my south. Ha. This is such a fail that you can't even smoke cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Capt Gene said it best, don't go chasing waterfalls. - "the other guys" This "winter" is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Really? It's a bit further west than your ideal typical GOM low, but I wouldn't say that 7-8/10 that a storm emerging from that position screws the I-95 corridor. Storms that track over PHL then just w of NYC have happened, but it seems those are the exception (unless it's the early 1990s when CNY/CPA would get crushed by storms like this)... typically you see some sort of redevelopment along the East Coast baro zone. A whiff... yeah, it's kind of surprising... but the upper level pattern isn't all that conducive, nor is the ridge out west. At the same time, it isn't like we have some Artic Ice Queen High over SE Canada spreading her skirt and surpressing everything in her path. in winter 2011-12 it would end up being a Tranny i hope nobody gets snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Really? It's a bit further west than your ideal typical GOM low, but I wouldn't say that 7-8/10 that a storm emerging from that position screws the I-95 corridor. Storms that track over PHL then just w of NYC have happened, but it seems those are the exception (unless it's the early 1990s when CNY/CPA would get crushed by storms like this)... typically you see some sort of redevelopment along the East Coast baro zone. A whiff... yeah, it's kind of surprising... but the upper level pattern isn't all that conducive, nor is the ridge out west. At the same time, it isn't like we have some Artic Ice Queen High over SE Canada spreading her skirt and surpressing everything in her path. I don't mean a complete screwjob, but the thought of ptype creeps into your head as you look at it. The point is, never would you think a whiff even for Philly. I know there is time left, but it's comical right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 in winter 2011-12 it would end up being a Tranny i hope nobody gets snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This one is on life support and the discussion is pulling the plug, In 2 more weeks it won't matter if it snows, We will be getting into march and it won't hang around long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Any other year this would have come north..even earlier this winter..it would have come so far north to give us rain.. I hope this proves my point about the GFS..if it hasn't well then I don't know what to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Any other year this would have come north..even earlier this winter..it would have come so far north to give us rain.. I hope this proves my point about the GFS..if it hasn't well then I don't know what to say To your credit, you never bought the GFS solution at all. Kudos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This one is on life support and the discussion is pulling the plug, In 2 more weeks it won't matter if it snows, We will be getting into march and it won't hang around long even this would have been gone in a day or two--looks like another week of above normal temps coming...Far SNE looks to be in the 50's on 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 im still mildly interested in this its a long shot but could still happen even though its like a 1/20 chance but its something to do i guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Any future storm threats on the euro? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.