Couchsachraga Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 NWS ALB calling for 1-3+ of snow Thursday into Friday in what they call "western adirondacks" but tend to mean "Gore Mountain Johnsburg area" (the western part of their "territory" I believe). We'll see what it brings. I'm guessing rain and wet snow with very little actual accumulation, just like every other "storm" this year! What a season! (or should that be ?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 Now 1-4", and they did manage to mention a potential nor'easter this weekend...at least it is something to watch...again! From KALB: THE MAIN QUESTION IS...IF AND WHERE NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY PHASE POSSIBLY ALONG THE EAST COAST DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN FACTORS WILL BE AN UPPER LEVEL TROF DIVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WITH ORIGINS IN THE SOUTHWEST CONUS EMERGING ALONG THE GULF COAST STATES AND LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. MODEL GUIDANCE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME RESOLVING THE INTENSITY AND TRACK OF BOTH NORTHERN/SOUTHERN STREAM TROFS AND HOW THEY WILL EVENTUALLY INTERACT WITH EACH OTHER. THE 00Z GFS HAS BECOME THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL BY FAR IN TERMS OF BRINGING SIGNIFICANT PRECIP INTO THE NORTHEAST CONUS WITH COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS AND A VIGOROUS UPPER LOW FORMING OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THE GGEM AND ECMWF HAVE THE COASTAL LOW SUPPRESSED MUCH FARTHER SOUTH AND ARE MUCH WEAKER WITH THE GREAT LAKES TROF. THERE ARE A HANDFUL OF GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS THAT DEPICT A NOR`EASTER AFFECTING THE REGION SIMILAR TO THE OPERATIONAL GFS...SO WILL START TO AT LEAST ACKNOWLEDGE THE POSSIBILITY OF A STORM AND RAISE POPS TO 30 PERCENT FOR OUR AREA. WHETHER OR NOT THE NOR`EASTER IMPACTS THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...THE EARLY NEXT WEEK PERIOD LOOKS TO BE QUIET WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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