Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Why have there been more than 50 posts in the last 8 hours about a storm which the GFS says is rain and every other op seems to say is OTS? Good grief... What the hell else is there to talk about? 46 degrees and overcast? Sure ain't nothing exciting about the current pattern/weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 full blown phase incoming at hr 78 on the 18z GFS...this thing is going to be a raging rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Debby downer. Heckuva way to run a storm threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 full blown phase incoming at hr 78 on the 18z GFS...this thing is going to be a raging rainstorm. yea i was just gonna post that...its a rainstorm...the northern stream was slower at first but really kicked in post 60 hrs...its further west than 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 yea i was just gonna post that...its a rainstorm...the northern stream was slower at first but really kicked in post 60 hrs...its further west than 12z... Congrats JamieO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Congrats JamieO congrats to us to, salt off the roads is a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickrd Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 IMO. Take the 12z euro + 18z gfs and divide by 2 .... FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 fwiw rays model of choice, the dgex is a southern slider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I know ill I will get ripped apart for saying this but it still looks like the lehigh valley and poconos get hammered with snow on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I know ill I will get ripped apart for saying this but it still looks like the lehigh valley and poconos get hammered with snow on the gfs They get some, but it definitely changes to rain at ABE after the concrete falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 I know ill I will get ripped apart for saying this but it still looks like the lehigh valley and poconos get hammered with snow on the gfs You are correct, sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Why have there been more than 50 posts in the last 8 hours about a storm which the GFS says is rain and every other op seems to say is OTS? Good grief... Well i guess we could talk about your weather. What is your dew point today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Well i guess we could talk about your weather. What is your dew point today? IDC, it snowed 4" last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 IDC, it snowed 4" last night Yeah, but it's Elko. ELKO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Ray, maybe you should take your bad attitude to the NYC forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Ray, maybe you should take your bad attitude to the NYC forum. Ha! Is there something going on over there that I should know about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 IDC, it snowed 4" last night Did it accumulate or evaporate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Well i guess we could talk about your weather. What is your dew point today? if elko was located on the east coast ray would be up for every model run with an odouls in one hand, hand lotion and popcorn in the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Yeah, but it's Elko. ELKO. Still nice to stand outside and enjoy it We're still deep in negative departures so don't get jealous now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 if elko was located on the east coast ray would be up for every model run with an odouls in one hand, hand lotion and popcorn in the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Ha! Is there something going on over there that I should know about? Just the normal mood swings and in-fighting. Atleast here we all suffer in harmony. (ok, I'm done filling this thread with banter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I know ill I will get ripped apart for saying this but it still looks like the lehigh valley and poconos get hammered with snow on the gfs you change over at hr 90 or just a little after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Did it accumulate or evaporate? Oh the latter happens all too often... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Just 6 runs ago the GFS didn't even have a cloud for Sunday. Now it runs a storm up the Apps. By this time tomorrow Chicago might be straddling the rain/snow line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 if elko was located on the east coast ray would be up for every model run with an odouls in one hand, hand lotion and popcorn in the other. Ewwww.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Why have there been more than 50 posts in the last 8 hours about a storm which the GFS says is rain and every other op seems to say is OTS? Good grief... im just glad people are posting here, i hate to have to go to other regions to read/talk weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 you change over at hr 90 or just a little after It is close because of the 850s SUN 06Z 19-FEB 1.2 -2.7 1012 85 99 0.03 552 542 SUN 12Z 19-FEB 0.5 -1.4 1001 98 98 0.49 545 545 SUN 18Z 19-FEB 1.5 0.6 986 97 99 0.62 535 546 MON 00Z 20-FEB -0.2 -3.3 992 92 95 0.41 530 537 MON 06Z 20-FEB -3.8 -5.0 1003 90 85 0.01 531 529 ABE They get to 0.6 ..I think that is probably able to be overcome with dynamics. This reminds me of October quite honestly...Just not sure i am buying the total AMPED solution yet...but i think its a bonafide legit potential threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 You are correct, sir. Ok Ray, this is not the MA forum is it? No weenie smashers allowed. Just kidding. I am tired of hearing about a couple of GFS runs being a MECS. :cry: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 It is close because of the 850s SUN 06Z 19-FEB 1.2 -2.7 1012 85 99 0.03 552 542 SUN 12Z 19-FEB 0.5 -1.4 1001 98 98 0.49 545 545 SUN 18Z 19-FEB 1.5 0.6 986 97 99 0.62 535 546 MON 00Z 20-FEB -0.2 -3.3 992 92 95 0.41 530 537 MON 06Z 20-FEB -3.8 -5.0 1003 90 85 0.01 531 529 ABE They get to 0.6 ..I think that is probably able to be overcome with dynamics. This reminds me of October quite honestly...Just not sure i am buying the total AMPED solution yet...but i think its a bonafide legit potential threat The sounding is clearly one of rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I for one am incredibly glad that there isn't model hallucinating going on with our group regarding this storm. I see too much of it elsewhere on public sites ...no wonder people start talking up sh*t about blizzards when models don't show it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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