Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looking at the model spread at hr 90 - HR 90! - on the Euro ensemble, the 552dam envelop at H5 could is between Aberdeen and Dallas. At 114, it could be between Thunder Bay and Savannah. Wow. My parents are supposed to be visiting from NY on Sunday. I guess there is already big talk about the "potential" storm Sunday because they were asking me on the phone yesterday whether they should come visit a different day. I said, it could either snow alot or be sunny and 45 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 What the heck is up with that? Are they forced to dump large amounts due to surplus? The roads are a mess, as are cars. Its pathetic I have watched SoMoCo crews and State prepare for these non events like it was the big one.... The amount of crap on our vehicles is off the chart.....and the power washer is running weekly. As I stated elsewhere.....10k in brake lines for our fleet during the last 12-18 months. This is nuts Stop using the spray crap NOW!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Wow. My parents are supposed to be visiting from NY on Sunday. I guess there is already big talk about the "potential" storm Sunday because they were asking me on the phone yesterday whether they should come visit a different day. I said, it could either snow alot or be sunny and 45 degrees. I have to run out to Cali for a quick meeting on Friday. Been watching this potential event....going to sneak back Fri Night....just to avoid possible issues. The way things have been going this year it would be hard to bet against sunny and 45. I just want to get back to my vacation ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Its pathetic I have watched SoMoCo crews and State prepare for these non events like it was the big one.... The amount of crap on our vehicles is off the chart.....and the power washer is running weekly. As I stated elsewhere.....10k in brake lines for our fleet during the last 12-18 months. This is nuts Stop using the spray crap NOW!!! For the most part, PennDot in Schuylkill County stopped using it a few years back. Some of the smaller municipalities however still do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Finally viewed the 0z GFS. Curious to see today's 12z run since 0z and 12z are the king runs of the GFS . I concur with all the salt crap. Terrible. They have way more supply this season so they dump what they can whenever the call is for flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I know it's the 84 hour NAM, but that storm looks pretty down near the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I know it's the 84 hour NAM, but that storm looks pretty down near the gulf. that storm doesn't have a prayer on the 84 hr nam. The confluence associated with the pv north of maine is ripping across our area. The precip would have a hard time making it past the m/d line. The southern low would have to slow or that northern stream would have to relax but then you are dealing with less cold air...you need that pv to shift north some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DerekZ Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Tony Wood from the Inquirer discusses the potential storm and gives this forum a shout-out: http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/weather/Storm-threat-update.html I like what he says about AmWx: "Keep in mind that the tone of the discussions can change radically from model run to model run, not unlike the fortunes during a sporting event." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 12z GFS is gonna end up very similar to last night's 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 12z, getting interesting, need colder temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 whole lotta warm on that 12z Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 monster brewing but warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 It looks kind of like a heavy rain to heavy wet snow scenario (GFS). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 lol at DT. He says ignore the GFS. It is to far inland. Why ignore a model that could be right? I can see this being a congrats Pittsburgh storm while we get rain. You just can't ignore a model just because it says Richmond gets rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 lol at DT. He says ignore the GFS. It is to far inland. Why ignore a model that could be right? I can see this being a congrats Pittsburgh storm while we get rain. You just can't ignore a model just because it says Richmond gets rain. I agree, but until we see more support, I'm still more concerned about an OTS scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Poconos might see a nice hit with 850's predicted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Poconos might see a nice hit with 850's predicted? InstantWeatherMaps snow map says I-78 north sees 6+". Poconos get up to a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 This really shows how bad 6Z and 18Z runs are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looking at the model spread at hr 90 - HR 90! - on the Euro ensemble, the 552dam envelope at H5 is between Aberdeen and Dallas. At 114, it could be between Thunder Bay and Savannah. So you're saying it'll be somewhere in the western hemisphere? Phew, finally upper air features coming into better focus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Come on somebody say it- PDIII Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 So far we have the GFS being a coastal hugger and bringing us rain. I heard the Ukie has a 995 low off of Hatteras and the GGEM is WAY south. Good to see the models coming into agreement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 For the most part, PennDot in Schuylkill County stopped using it a few years back. Some of the smaller municipalities however still do. I am sure PennDot is still using is or some other brew on roads like 940...903....115 etc etc. I saw lines on the road a few weeks back. Back in NJ no doubt they are still putting some brew down....they spray when snow showers might leave a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I am sure PennDot is still using is or some other brew on roads like 940...903....115 etc etc. I saw lines on the road a few weeks back. Back in NJ no doubt they are still putting some brew down....they spray when snow showers might leave a trace. I'm thinking that it's up to the individual counties. Those roads are in Carbon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 UKIE looks like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Weekend system looks rather warm. Good thing we still have a few models showing suppression and a colder solution.....for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Ukie looks like the GFS ensemble mean, now need the ecmwf to come in agreement and it becomes intriguing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Gfs is like a certain October storm. We're still trying to figure out OTS /Souter slider to a coastal higher attm. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Where the heck did all our met's, pro's and expert's go? Its the biggest storm of the season I had to venture to the NYC forum . Let's hope the 12z euro pull's something out of its hat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 Where the heck did all our met's, pro's and expert's go? I mean, what is there to say? I don't have much more insight to add than anyone else. As much spread as there was in the Euro ensemble this morning, I have zero confidence in any of these runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I mean, what is there to say? I don't have much more insight to add than anyone else. As much spread as there was in the Euro ensemble this morning, I have zero confidence in any of these runs. lol. exactly. what a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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