Quakertown needs snow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 looks like the JB track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 yea this is a burbs blitzer...need to see soundings for the city..they deff have bl issues to start... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 looks like the JB track? Larry Cosgrove track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Nice track for a phl snowstorm. Right off the Va capes headed NE. Still a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 looks like 1"+ precip in many areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 cough october snowstorm cough cough...high thickness snow...verbatim on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This track would be snow for the N/W burbs. This would be the best case scenario track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Don't think you could get much better in this area out of this set-up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Don't think you could get much better in this area out of this set-up Yeah, this is the track that we need in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 remember guys, this is just one run...on a model that has been to elko and back in one model run...lets see if their is support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 remember guys, this is just one run...on a model that has been to elko and back in one model run...lets see if their is support. Yeah, hopefully we see some sort of agreement with the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickrd Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 IMO. Take the 12z euro + 18z gfs and divide by 2 .... FTW! hmmm. ding ding ding. Close one eye and aim for the one in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yeah, hopefully we see some sort of agreement with the EC. Very true. I assume with that BL that this would be wet snow on the GFS, but I think everyone would take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Cmon Tom...JB has this nailed....just like October (think that was the last one he nailed....he is due!!) only kidding I have no idea but if this run were to verify I may have to get back from Sea Isle City a bit early from Polar Bear weekend!! remember guys, this is just one run...on a model that has been to elko and back in one model run...lets see if their is support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Where's ray to talk about the 929.75mb warm pocket?! :-o lol I wouldn't be surprised to see the euro come more in line with its own ensembles. Or, maybe the GFS is coming around to the euro op. Good night all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 hr 84, the city is still rain..once to about the westchester mt wayne willow grove line north it transitions over to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 hr 84, the city is still rain..once to about the westchester mt wayne willow grove line north it transitions over to snow Shouldn't over analyze temp Profiles this far out. We still don't have a final track/solution. What we can say is we'll have some bl issues around the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 sheesh, the soundings look horrible for everyone...even the lehigh valley...pesky bl warmth... heres abe sounding at hr 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 GGEM looks like the NAM with the northern extent of the precip. Shifted way north from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Definate BL issues. Neeed heavy qpf to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Another 50 posts in the last few hours? GFS must've switched from rain to 5:1 ratio snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Another 50 posts in the last few hours? GFS must've switched from rain to 5:1 ratio snow. lol no its still rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I think from the snow map that the suburbs get about 4-5 inches of wet snow. Still can improve, hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I think from the snow map that the suburbs get about 4-5 inches of wet snow. Still can improve, hopefully. Only if more cold air somehow gets involved. You're between a rock and a hard place (i.e. a warm place and a dry place). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Only if more cold air somehow gets involved. You're between a rock and a hard place (i.e. a warm place and a dry place). That is what it showed on the WeatherUnderground snow map. It's a timing thing like other storms in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Euro is north and gets precip to our area. Not sure about temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Euro is north and gets precip to our area. Not sure about temps. BL is toasty warm. 35-37 ABE to ILG and points in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 BL is toasty warm. 35-37 ABE to ILG and points in between. Not too worried about that if the MA area even gets snow, but something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coyoteweather Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Hello, my name is Brett and I am new to this forum. I will be attending Cornell next year and studying meteorology and have a blog at http://www.coyoteweather.com. As for this upcoming storm, I am going with 3-6 inches for the northern mid-atlantic region for now with no wrapped up blizzard due to a lack of blocking and a positive NAO and PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Nice to see the euro collide to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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