coyoteweather Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 low is south, another ots solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 NAM snow depth: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 GFS brings up less precip than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 0z nam is coming in...thru 21 the northern stream disturbance is digging down a bit more in the Great Lakes...southern disturbance a touch weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 2:03 AM, phlwx said: 0z nam is coming in...thru 21 the northern stream disturbance is digging down a bit more in the Great Lakes...southern disturbance a touch weaker. the confluence is stronger, its flattening off the hgts along the ec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 2:04 AM, tombo82685 said: the confluence is stronger, its flattening off the hgts along the ec yep...look at the 516 thickness in Upstate NY. dropped about 20-30 miles on this run at hour 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 yep...pretty decent shift south taking place as the run progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 No point in tracking this storm anymore. DC is almost out of it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This NAM run won't end well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 2:16 AM, famartin said: This NAM run won't end well. time to watch the other forums implode.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 2:16 AM, famartin said: This NAM run won't end well. weenie suicide watches are being hoisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 2:21 AM, phlwx said: weenie suicide watches Warnings* are being hoisted. Fixed.. Can we make it a sub forum rule to never mention Jb ever again?! What a disaster the models were on this up untill 24 hrs ago.. Euro had it's issues from the medium range too.. not one perfmored to well outside 72hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Game over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Its actually kinda remarkable to look at the last 4 runs of the NAM and compare to this one... the last 4 were pretty similar and this one really has taken a big radical step towards the GFS and EC. Total wake-up call for the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 2:21 AM, phlwx said: weenie suicide watches are being hoisted. I do feel pretty bad for the DC crew. If you though it was bad here I can't imagine what they're feeling down there. NYC has no right to complain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 2:46 AM, cast4 said: I do feel pretty bad for the DC crew. If you though it was bad here I can't imagine what they're feeling down there. NYC has no right to complain though. Yes, this is their (DC's) second sub-par winter in a row. They didn't cash in last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 3:01 AM, famartin said: Yes, this is their (DC's) second sub-par winter in a row. They didn't cash in last year. actually, this would be normal for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 3:04 AM, Sunny and Warm said: actually, this would be normal for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 3:04 AM, Sunny and Warm said: actually, this would be normal for them. i believe DC avg snowfall is around 14 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 GFS is even further south than 18Z was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I officially give up. Seeya soon during severe season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
843wx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 3:11 AM, tcutter said: i believe DC avg snowfall is around 14 inches Yeah, DCA is around 14-15. IAD and BWI and the rest of the suburbs are a bit higher. More like 20-24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Sounds like the skiers in pa need sunscreen on sat and sun. Oh well my meeting went well. No snow for you! NEXT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 For what it is worth the euro just came 35 miles north and gives Philly some flurries. to me considering it has RARELY come north and been south the whole time that is a red flag for a last minute shift even though I think this system stays south of us now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Also looks as if Dc crew may seek a coating out of this new run of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 6:16 AM, stormspotterlive said: For what it is worth the euro just came 35 miles north and gives Philly some flurries. to me considering it has RARELY come north and been south the whole time that is a red flag for a last minute shift even though I think this system stays south of us now. Maybe hope for an inch or so here, but even that could be a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 6:27 AM, mattinpa said: Maybe hope for an inch or so here, but even that could be a long shot. I have lost almost all hope in the storm though that wont stop me from watching it. at least the severe weather in the south will be entertaining out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 On 2/18/2012 at 6:16 AM, stormspotterlive said: For what it is worth the euro just came 35 miles north and gives Philly some flurries. to me considering it has RARELY come north and been south the whole time that is a red flag for a last minute shift even though I think this system stays south of us now. With surface temps in the upper 30s those "flurries" might actually be sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 06Z NAM is a miss again with a particularly sharp gradient on the Northern side of the precip, but is a good deal North of it's 0z run, with less confluence to the North thanks to the shortwave being a tad weaker and faster, and a stronger more Northern surface low down South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 6Z GFS still south. Didn't notice much northward jog if any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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