SouthernNJ Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Not sure what the folks on here think of this, but the SPC is at least hinting at something happening in some areas that have already been hit hard this year (As well as much of last year). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Day 2 includes some enhanced wording... THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MORE SUGGESTIVE THAN THE OTHER MODELS OF POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENING ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PERHAPS AIDED BY PHASING OF THE SOUTHERN BRANCH IMPULSE WITH A DIGGING NORTHERN BRANCH TROUGH. IF THIS OCCURS...STRONGER SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS COULD AID BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...WITH STRONGER SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO LARGE AND CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. THIS WOULD PROVIDE POTENTIAL FOR A GREATER SEVERE RISK THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 TOR in effect in Southwestern Mississippi for a broad mesocyclone. The overall event has been a bust for the most part. Not much instability to work with and the storm mode has mostly been heavy rainfall without anything discrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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