Guess when the Ohio Valley will get a widespread 4 inch snowfall

[Nic]

[Chicago WX]

January 2015

[AppsRunner]

January 2015

I was going with never, since the world is ending in 10 months

[cyclone77]

No May option?

[Chicago WX]

I was going with never, since the world is ending in 10 months

They'll be survivors. You know, the ones that are burrowing themselves 100 feet deep into the ground or whatever.

[Stebo]

Not this winter. The early rough prospects for next winter aren't any better.

[Thundersnow12]

Never again.

[hm8]

March 5th

[A-L-E-K]

2014/2015 sounds about right

[Chicago Storm]

after you're 5 posted.

[Thundersnow12]

after you're 5 posted.

haha yes

[Powerball]

No May option?

May 2015.

[cyclone77]

May 2015.

Haha.

Who knows, maybe it's just around the corner. Still gotta believe we'll see at least one big event somewhere before this season's out.

[buckeye]

hopefully not til next Christmas eve.

[Hoosier]

Sometime after February 16, whether this winter or next.

[dilly84]

Next January. Probably between the 10-15

[BowMeHunter]

Who cares

[pondo1000]

Not this winter. The early rough prospects for next winter aren't any better.

Based on what?

[Stebo]

Based on what?

Potential El Nino.

[pondo1000]

Potential El Nino.

Ahh, yes, but remember the very strong El Nino of 3 years (I think) ago? Great winter in these parts. Also, a weak El Nino probably wouldn't be too bad. At this point, it is anyone's guess though. I can't imagine back-to-back crappy winters. Ugh!

[Nic]

Potential El Nino.

I don't see how it could get any worse then this winter, well so far.

[AppsRunner]

Revising my previous call, now going with February 30th. If not, than January 11th, 2013

[Nic]

18z GFS has a noreaster 114 hr out. I wonder how long it will be before the JB tweets start. lol

[Hoosier]

Potential El Nino.

I guess it would partly depend on how strong a Nino gets (and as we saw previously there are others factors that can mitigate the warmth). IIRC, ENSO neutral winters coming off of a Nina or Nino tend to stink but I can't remember which.

[Hoosier]

Revising my previous call, now going with February 30th. If not, than January 11th, 2013

February 30th...lol

[BeastFromTheEast]

Potential El Nino.

El Nino does not equal Bad winter..

[Snowstorms]

Yeah, neutral winters after La Nina's can stink(see 2001-2). A nice weak El Nino probably would have alot of potential including ramping up the stj.

If next year is a Nina then lets hope its like 75-76. Nice start to that Winter. Certainly the best Nina winter of the three. Toronto got about 67".

But yeah a Weak El Nino would be fairly sick. A decent -AO with a slightly negative NAO and neutral-slightly positive PNA would be golden for our region.

[Snowstorms]

Here's a composite of a neutral ENSO following a La Nina Winter.

IMO I dont think Neutral is best preferred lol.

Snowfall wise, here's Toronto;

2001-02: 76cm or 29.9"

1996-97: 174.4cm or 68.7"

1985-86: 115cm or 45.3" (near avg)

1989-90: 127cm 50" (avg)

total avg: 123.1cm or 48.5"

Not the best avg. 1989-90 started good in December, the rest was crap.

Weak El Nino or another La Nina IMO...no neutral plz lol.

[Stebo]

El Nino does not equal Bad winter..

In the Midwest they do... the stronger the badder they are. Trust me I'd take a La Nina over an El Nino for a winter.

[Ajdos]

NEeeeveeeeeerrr