Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Euro paints mid 40s through Saturday and then near normal Sunday. It will feel like Fairbanks. Heck of a way to run a pattern change...no cold air and no storms...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Eh.....it's not promising, but I'd still watch it, especially se areas..still being 5+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 anyone that is looking at the models after 48 hours are setting themselves up for disappointment.. There will be a storm how big or how little is all speculation at this point and shouldnt be taken as a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 lol....NE gets more than RIC from the inverted flake (thanks Ray). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 anyone that is looking at the models after 48 hours are setting themselves up for disappointment.. There will be a storm how big or how little is all speculation at this point and shouldnt be taken as a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 This run fails for RIC so it's at least somewhat of a success. DT may have to back off his totals on his snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 DT may have to back off his totals on his snow map He put one out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 I guess i kind of deserved that but this winter was a toaster bath all along and when something good pops up its always gone the next run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Heck of a way to run a pattern change...no cold air and no storms...LOL The pattern changed? lol Folks, the shortwaves haven't been sampled at all with this one. Why are you living and dying by 1 model suite? The threat is still there that's all we can hope for right now. It's 130 hours out for God sakes... Edit: will is posting during midday hours.. threat must still be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 He put one out? It was a joke, I would hope not...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 lol....NE gets more than RIC from the inverted flake (thanks Ray). lol, I am going to the store now before the rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Were people actually getting emotionally invested in a day 6 threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Hey ... we already new the Euro was going to do this base purely on the fact that if it's previous runs had succeeded, that would have meant snow probabilities increasing. The ECMWF ...having a conscious now, has decided to take one for the team and collapse to the GFS for the sole purpose of NOT snowing at least excuse imaginable... This was posted 2 pages ago - see, you shouldn't ignore posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Were people actually getting emotionally invested in a day 6 threat? Not really. given the seasonal trend it's a longshot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Hey ... we already new the Euro was going to do this base purely on the fact that if it's previous runs had succeeded, that would have meant snow probabilities increasing. The ECMWF ...having a conscious now, has decided to take one for the team and collapse to the GFS for the sole purpose of NOT snowing at least excuse imaginable... This was posted 2 pages ago - see, you shouldn't ignore posts. You called it. You might want to consult a grammar book and dictionary though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 14, 2012 Author Share Posted February 14, 2012 Were people actually getting emotionally invested in a day 6 threat? Yes. I'm now going to jump off the top of the science building. The Euro isn't terrible. It's honestly maybe like 400 miles away from being a huge storm (as in 400 miles difference in the evolution of the northern s/w) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 The euro never really had snow up this way in the first place, it was more of a teaser, if you will. I still wouldn't write something off for parts of the area...especially se parts, but we already know there are thing working against it so it should be a shock or disappointment if nothing works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 The pattern changed? lol Folks, the shortwaves haven't been sampled at all with this one. Why are you living and dying by 1 model suite? The threat is still there that's all we can hope for right now. It's 130 hours out for God sakes... like nails on a chalkboard.... why stop there.. maybe you can just use every cliche we have. "they always lose the storm at 5 days and bring it back" "eh - i don't want snow anyway" "bring on spring" "i bet the 18z GFS is a huge hit" "i'll wait til 00z - if that run fails, then i quit" "with those warm SSTs, this will tuck in closer" "someone said the JMA is still a HECS" "the models are terrible why do we even look at them" "i think this will be a nowcast event" "there's probably some convective feedback in there" "they always trend north" "i don't see how we suddenly get a whiff when everything else has been a cutter" "squirrels" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 like nails on a chalkboard.... why stop there.. maybe you can just use every cliche we have. "they always lose the storm at 5 days and bring it back" "eh - i don't want snow anyway" "bring on spring" "i bet the 18z GFS is a huge hit" "i'll wait til 00z - if that run fails, then i quit" "with those warm SSTs, this will tuck in closer" "someone said the JMA is still a HECS" "the models are terrible why do we even look at them" "i think this will be a nowcast event" "there's probably some convective feedback in there" "they always trend north" "i don't see how we suddenly get a whiff when everything else has been a cutter" "squirrels" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 The pattern changed? lol Folks, the shortwaves haven't been sampled at all with this one. Why are you living and dying by 1 model suite? The threat is still there that's all we can hope for right now. It's 130 hours out for God sakes... ya ur right.....the upper pattern is great for a storm riding up all the way to the bench mark no it's not .... everyone and there mom would have bet euro was goin south and it did i think the models will be pretty much latch on to this as a carolina/S mid atlantic event from here on out with maybe some ens. showing weaker system or perhaps Balt to philly threat at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Man people are sarcastic today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 like nails on a chalkboard.... why stop there.. maybe you can just use every cliche we have. "they always lose the storm at 5 days and bring it back" "eh - i don't want snow anyway" "bring on spring" "i bet the 18z GFS is a huge hit" "i'll wait til 00z - if that run fails, then i quit" "with those warm SSTs, this will tuck in closer" "someone said the JMA is still a HECS" "the models are terrible why do we even look at them" "i think this will be a nowcast event" "there's probably some convective feedback in there" "they always trend north" "i don't see how we suddenly get a whiff when everything else has been a cutter" "squirrels" +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Man people are sarcastic today. unfortunately there's nothing really serious that can be said at day 6. we can briefly look at the run...and add a couple of thoughts...beyond that it's fruitless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 like nails on a chalkboard.... why stop there.. maybe you can just use every cliche we have. "they always lose the storm at 5 days and bring it back" "eh - i don't want snow anyway" "bring on spring" "i bet the 18z GFS is a huge hit" "i'll wait til 00z - if that run fails, then i quit" "with those warm SSTs, this will tuck in closer" "someone said the JMA is still a HECS" "the models are terrible why do we even look at them" "i think this will be a nowcast event" "there's probably some convective feedback in there" "they always trend north" "i don't see how we suddenly get a whiff when everything else has been a cutter" "squirrels" http://youtu.be/Nt4JXKUv5MQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 lol...squirrels Poor Jerry. He got it (sorta) right, then backed off because of some obese rodents that broke into a neighbor's feeder Some squirrel is gonna pay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 like nails on a chalkboard.... why stop there.. maybe you can just use every cliche we have. "they always lose the storm at 5 days and bring it back" "eh - i don't want snow anyway" "bring on spring" "i bet the 18z GFS is a huge hit" "i'll wait til 00z - if that run fails, then i quit" "with those warm SSTs, this will tuck in closer" "someone said the JMA is still a HECS" "the models are terrible why do we even look at them" "i think this will be a nowcast event" "there's probably some convective feedback in there" "they always trend north" "i don't see how we suddenly get a whiff when everything else has been a cutter" "squirrels" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 14, 2012 Author Share Posted February 14, 2012 welp, that about does it for this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 like nails on a chalkboard.... why stop there.. maybe you can just use every cliche we have. "they always lose the storm at 5 days and bring it back" "eh - i don't want snow anyway" "bring on spring" "i bet the 18z GFS is a huge hit" "i'll wait til 00z - if that run fails, then i quit" "with those warm SSTs, this will tuck in closer" "someone said the JMA is still a HECS" "the models are terrible why do we even look at them" "i think this will be a nowcast event" "there's probably some convective feedback in there" "they always trend north" "i don't see how we suddenly get a whiff when everything else has been a cutter" "squirrels" Yeah, but what about the low over Idaho...it's 2mbs deeper than progged! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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