dryslot Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 You and Scooter have both been beating the major storm drums for some time. When both of you came out and said this was a lock I knew a blockbuster was in the offing. As soon as the two of you throw caution to the wind I know it's game time. I can't wait to see Blizz's " I Hump the GFS" t-shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Gee I wonder what Pete will say..... Headbang hair and heads into lockers like in Twisted Sister I Wanna Rock video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I have tomorrow off, so I'll take a peek. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 It seems like it's either an all out snow storm with probably 8+ for the interior or nothing...correct? Doesn't look like a scenario where we get a moderate 4-5" or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I have no interest in a storm that produces less than double digits here. Bettet chance of ots you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Wasn't he referring to last weekend? Nope the 186 hour at the time which is this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Bettet chance of ots you think? Yeah, I'd say so. But I do think a hit of some type (whether graze or big hit) has a decent shot of occurring with model and ensemble trends. Euro doesn't win every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 It seems like it's either an all out snow storm with probably 8+ for the interior or nothing...correct? Doesn't look like a scenario where we get a moderate 4-5" or something. I think this is probably an all or nothing unless its a fringe job, Its pretty potent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 It seems like it's either an all out snow storm with probably 8+ for the interior or nothing...correct? Doesn't look like a scenario where we get a moderate 4-5" or something. I don't see why we can't get a scraper either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Has a complete MA meltdown begun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 This run crushes NS. Won't happen but fun to look at for 6 hrs. Oh well winter 2011-2012 givieth and taketh away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I don't see why we can't get a scraper either. Yea just northern stream energy alone should be snow this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 LOL nobody locked in anything. No no, it's clear from the statements both of you have made over the last day or so that you're convinced this is a lock. I'm just waiting for one of you to pull out the triple phase card or '93 super storm comparisons. J/k Scott. Everyone knows you are both measured pros. You do the wise thing and leave the hyping to those better equipped to hype.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 LOL, this storm did have a Oct 29 look to it, in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I don't see why we can't get a scraper either. Yeah, I agree. I think scraper/big hit are the 2 most likely solutions followed by totally OTS and track overhead as least likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Yeah, I agree. I think scraper/big hit are the 2 most likely solutions followed by totally OTS and track overhead as least likely. It's on my mind, but the idea of a complete whiff is slowly losing steam right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 LOL, this storm did have a Oct 29 look to it, in the mid levels. Pete: Sweet. So 30+ here? :Pete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 :lol: Geezus i just had this in my e-mail and the 1st guy i thought of was Jerry.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Tis a solid 12-18” er with wind to offer a blowing and drifting /visibility issue. It would be a significant to major nor’easter and obviously season defining for anything up to this date thus far, but not historic. We’ve had too many 20+” bombs since 1992 for that to be the case. It is cutting a bit too close of comfort there - if the GFS nails this track off a blend of the 12z/18z runs - this particular distance out - is should shut the mouths of all the NCEP model bashers. Even a track similar is quite the coup in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 LOL, this storm did have a Oct 29 look to it, in the mid levels. I know if I got a 10/29 redux you'd be happy for me. TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Pete: Sweet. So 30+ here? :Pete Up to his Wranglers belt buckle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Has a complete MA meltdown begun? ha, man ... you're bad - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 New thread for the 00z runs tonight: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/32716-219-east-coast-winter-storm-threat-part-2/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 For some odd reason I have this tenacity for timing my posts so they land on the bottom of pages - I think that is why they don't get seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I really hope we are all able to cash in on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 As scary as it looked at 84 hours...that block in NE Quebec (associated 50/50 low) really pushes the core of the 5h height falls right over the waters to the south of SNE so the ptype issues are really not that big of a deal for most. I checked down to HFD and it looks like nearly all snow there with maybe some brief pings around 102 hours and even BOS is pretty good but could flirt with that 34-35F type BL right along the water...regardless they transition to a blizzard anyway pretty quick later on. Its a good example of how even a little block like that can really do wonder even when the solution looks like it might want to go up the Hudson Valley or over the interior early on in the game. Its not a big block by any means like some we saw last year...but just enough of a nice high anomaly in NE Quebec thanks to the 50/50 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Kevs rainer ummmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Kevs rainer ummmmmmm HA HA, nice - saturated to 350 I also love the snow machine wind veering with altitute... Does go S until way above 700mb level... ENE at 850, and NE at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 LOL, this storm did have a Oct 29 look to it, in the mid levels. What we wouldn't give for another 31-32 degree plasterjob of 12-18. Man would I be in heaven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 30 Knots is sick wind for that far inland, man if only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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