CTWeatherFreak Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 When does the Ukie weigh in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 UK is a sne whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 UK is a sne whiff Looks like GGEM is too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 and Euro will follow g-night Looks like GGEM is too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looks like GGEM is too. Yup...we won't know until like 00z Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 UK is a little slower with the northern stream which is good. It's an improvement over 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Jma saw this many days ago first...just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Jma saw this many days ago first...just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I get back up to DC Monday afternoon...gotta slow this a little. 50 here now ...where I am within a few miles of DT's house....get down to Ocala probably 11 PM Wednesday. Jma saw this many days ago first...just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 It's actually kinda cool how late that northern stream fully phases in on the GFS...it actually causes a prolonged event...it snows for like 30 hours or so in SNE. How often do you see the heavy snow from the "primary" (Miller A/B composite) run from Lake Huron to BGM? Most of the time that's over type of stuff is over Indiana and Ohio in a classic nor'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 dare I say the 00z gfs would tickle Ray's cf fetish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looks like the EURO will be better than 12z, but not like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looks like the EURO will be better than 12z, but not like the GFS We all get whiffed on the 00z EURO... this is going to be a fun few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Nice, the GFS is fornification and the EURO futility, with the GEM and UK futile fornification. I'm dumber than I was @ 12z. Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 So, since Blizz hates the GFS... he won't accept that solution right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 what a giant tease the 0z gfs is....i wonder if kev will be tossing the gofus this time around Kev just remember the euro has tendency to muck up the timing of ejecting lows in the SW....and with the nina flow and mult. s.waves ....we can lean toward the gfs on this one.....in this case only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 lol weather porn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 If the EURO remains reasonably consistent for the next 24 hours, then I think it's time to worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 LOL, WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Well I was mentioning I liked the setup for a couple of days now, I hope this works out. The EC guidance wants nothing to do with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 phil882 had a nice post in the MA thread. The real players since yesterday, have been in the nrn stream, up by AK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 It literally is GFS vs the world right now, but it wouldn't take much for the others to get onboard with some slight tweaking. Kind of wish other models were more bullish, so the GFS gives you pause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 06z further OTS. Just a small change, means big things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 The s/w's and their interactions are fascinating to watch. Just loop the 00z 500 charts focused over western North American and eastern Pacific and you'll see what I mean. That's what I meant yesterday, by having everything work in harmony. It also goes to show you how difficult it may be. I expect some more changes or jumps today in guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 You mean it's not dead yet? cooks keeping us busy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 The overall longwave pattern (ie trough/ridge/trough pattern) still imo, is tough to get a 00z solution. It's much easier to get a graze, but given the complicated pattern up in AK and NW Canada, it would not take a huge shift to get something more robust. Some EC members are closer to the GFS op, but the euro ensembles are way se like the op run. If we are to see anything out of this, I think guidance needs to hint at it this aftn. This wouldn't be the first time where models sh*t the bed until inside 48 hrs. Recall Dec 26, 2010. S/W's diving SSE into the Plains always seem to give models problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I will make everyone a promise.. If the GFS verifies and we get blitzed by this storm..I will never say a bad thing about it again. In fact I will even wear a tshirt at the next GTG that says I love the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 GFS is always teasing us. But has been doing the Charlie Sheen lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 12 hours ago everybody/most everybody had written this off. It's the goofus, until the other models start to bring it back north it might as well be the JMA. What's worth noting is this possibilty did exist even in this pattern if the timing was better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Scooter, if you have the Euro H5 spag charts, check out, like, hour 90-114. There's still a lot of wiggle room left in these solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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