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Weekend Storm Discussion 2/18-2/19


stormtracker

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1024hp n of the lakes @ 96 building to 1028 over OH. 850 winds are nw-ne. At the very least, that is encouraging.

OTS or not, the features are there to give us snow and that was not the case with the gfs. I think this is a very good run.

it could be worse.. tho we've seen a lot of runs that dont give us much or any snow at this point.

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its 4.5 days.... I actually like where we sit with the Euro.... just a minor correction NW gets us.... 7 of the GFS ensemble members are 4"+ events, including a KU or maybe 2..... look on the brightside folks

i saw all the gfs members give us a coastal about 3 weeks ago...i think it was on a wednesday. All members had it and of course there was no storm. GFS members agreeing mean nothing really this winter

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If we keep talking about surface temps 4.5 days out based on the euro's known warmista depiction of them I may go out in the shed and just end it

I mean I get it, hearing people wanting the verbatim temp outputs from model A or model B is kind of annoying, but I'm looking at the general trend of no true cold air source from most of the models. IAD and BWI might do ok, but lots of the Mid-Atlantic could be screwed even with a nice 50/50 and Canadian vortex. Point being that on your typical Feb 20th, those features would bring widespread 0c temps. This winter sucks.

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