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Weekend Storm Discussion 2/18-2/19


stormtracker

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And you get a foot of snow :axe: .

Yeah for about 6 hrs until the 6z GFS does something else. The changes in the northern stream are pretty significant.

The 12z ECMWF ensembles today were telling that this may not be as suppressed as the op said.

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So you think we are screwed down here?

Dude, it just went from too surpressed to too amplified with massive changes in just one run. Why would you conclude that we - or anyone for that matter - is "screwed"?

Long way to go on this one...considering how much it is changing from run to run, it's a pretty low-confidence forecast at this point.

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I like this run. I like the signal for a big amplified storm with heavy precip. I'll take my chances

This is about all I took away from the GFS. The potential for a significant nor'easter remains higher than normal this period due to the global parameters being favorable and occasional modeling showing this is a solution.

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