Inudaw Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ok. It gets soooooooo close I can taste it..... LOL 40 dbz right over DT's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 too bad it will be dark for the best if there is a best. im bringing my tripod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 im going to feel stupid when we end up seeing 1/2" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Every recent forecast is "the worse performance by the models. The global models are scoring at nearly their all time highs in terms of quantitative metrics (I think scores were slightly higher last winter, because things were easier to forecast climatalogically speaking. Just to put it out there, here is some verification valid today from the global models. 5 Day forecast for 1000mb heights. and 5 day forecast aloft (500 mb); Interesting read...thanks! My post was completely in jest - I respect the work you guys do at NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 If I can get a 1/2" in Fred, it will bring my snow totals up to over an inch on this snow year Comon HRRR, CRAS and RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Not holding my breath. neither am i, but i think it's gonna be closer than models showed last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 We're going to do better than that. Lol. The key is getting into + SN. Might only be 2-4" I hope your'e not talking about here and are talking about a chase. I'd head for CHO if you're going that route. Of course you can hope the RUC is right and only drive a few miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I think elevation may take too long and I don't think we need it. Ground is whitened already in Waynesboro/Fishersville/Staunton now. Basically I 64 is the line now near SHD. Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 im going to feel stupid when we end up seeing 1/2" of snow Just think how many hours people wasted tracking this storm and will get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I hope your'e not talking about here and are talking about a chase. I'd head for CHO if you're going that route. Of course you can hope the RUC is right and only drive a few miles south. We are leaving in a few to head SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Amherst, VA US 29, Looks pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I hope your'e not talking about here and are talking about a chase. I'd head for CHO if you're going that route. Of course you can hope the RUC is right and only drive a few miles south. I like the fact that you read the whole thread Wes , yes him and Ian are chasing. Only in a winter like this would people chase to see possibly 3" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 We are leaving in a few to head SW Good luck, hopefully you get some good pictures. I'm just hoping for a period of light snow if I can get teh temps cold enuf and the euro .05 is right. My temp is still over 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ian, give us the pbp on the leading edge when on 29. May take you a while to get there with 66 weekend traffic. Avoid Gainesville and take the rt 15 exit...it hooks back up with 29 southwest of gainesville. Saves a lot of time with traffic thru that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I like the fact that you read the whole thread Wes , yes him and Ian are chasing. Only in a winter like this would people chase to see possibly 3" . 3" is a snowmageddon this yr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Sweet 100% phone charge as I step out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Good. End this miserable winter and FeBBruary This. Partly sunny and high of 46F today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Ian, give us the pbp on the leading edge when on 29. May take you a while to get there with 66 weekend traffic. Avoid Gainesville and take the rt 15 exit...it hooks back up with 29 southwest of gainesville. Saves a lot of time with traffic thru that area. Will do. I may turn on my spotter net ID if I can plug in while on the move. Tho not many have that with radar I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 if you put this radar in motion, that line is hitting a brick wall and deflecting to the east http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge2/ridgenew2/?rid=NAT&pid=N0Q&lat=39.25304169051755&lon=-78.30712890625&zoom=7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 if you put this radar in motion, that line is hitting a brick wall and deflecting to the east http://www.srh.noaa....12890625&zoom=7 Confluence is a B!TCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 im starting to feel nervous about even considering the ruc is right.. and last two runs dont look quite as good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 im starting to feel nervous about even considering the ruc is right.. and last two runs dont look quite as good Good luck ian.. honest to god i hope its worth it for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 im starting to feel nervous about even considering the ruc is right.. and last two runs dont look quite as good the closest snow of any consequence is under the thin band running west/east if you look at the traffic cams in C'ville in town and north, nothing look at the one to the SE of town and it's really coming down looks like if you go down 95 you'll hit it but traffic will turn to cr@p because people can't go 80+ in it good luck....meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I'm honestly trying to figure out which winter I hate more. Last year or this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I'm honestly trying to figure out which winter I hate more. Last year or this one. This winter is much worse for me, but you probably did not get the 14" on Jan 26 11 that i got so they are both close for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 This winter is much worse for me, but you probably did not get the 14" on Jan 26 11 that i got so they are both close for you. Exactly. 5 inches last year while everyone around us got creamed. At leastthis year everyone is getting the shaft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Exactly. 5 inches last year while everyone around us got creamed. At leastthis year everyone is getting the shaft. Yup, it always makes you feel a little better when everyone is suffering with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I'm honestly trying to figure out which winter I hate more. Last year or this one. Last year, easily. Even the January storm didn't redeem it. At least this winter it's been comfortable to go outside and enjoy the weather, and there haven't been any dreams to be crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 No northward shift in precip, sorry snow lovers. Current radar with 12Z NAM overlay... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Smells like a January 24th, 2000 redux, I'm not joking around either unless all of that precip is virga. DC is already in light returns... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.