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2012 Winter Banter Thread #3


yoda

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Read your comments about the internet Mets and you will see plus a few other posts.

It was sharp but not bashing. DT is leagues above LC and Bastardi when it comes to forecasting. I've never been awed by his snow maps but he has very solid intuition on the ones to watch IMO.

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It was sharp but not bashing. DT is leagues above LC and Bastardi when it comes to forecasting. I've never been awed by his snow maps but he has very solid intuition on the ones to watch IMO.

Now he banking on the GGEM if he is wrong that Facebook page will be funnier than Sasha Baron Cohen.

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It was sharp but not bashing. DT is leagues above LC and Bastardi when it comes to forecasting. I've never been awed by his snow maps but he has very solid intuition on the ones to watch IMO.

I've always thought DT was the best forecaster out there at recognizing what features needed to be there for a DC snowstorm rather than actually forecasting them.

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WinterWxLuvr will be less happy tomorrow morning than he was this morning.

Actually Isn it doesn't work like that for me. I'm just as happy. It is so interesting to watch these models struggle with this one. Now it's funny to look at radar and see the storm look healthier than I expected. Richmond might still have some hope if they can get cold enough.

This winter is already at the bottom. It can't get worse.

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Oh no... im soooo sooo upset ;)

Nah, you're just a dick. I guess the euro also caved to this mystery model of yours that showed a fourth of the forecasted precip for the whole state.

I've seen Matt and Phin chew your ass on several occasions this year and now I think it was deserved. The sooner you're back in New England the better.

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Nah, you're just a dick. I guess the euro also caved to this mystery model of yours that showed a fourth of the forecasted precip for the whole state.

I've seen Matt and Phin chew your ass on several occasions this year and now I think it was deserved. The sooner you're back in New England the better.

u-mad-bro-thumb.jpg

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what is tony pann thinking? WTF

Tony Pann

At this time last weekend, we flew in the face of some of the traditional computer guidance to say that the storm would be here at this time...and it is. So...let’s keep that theme going. In spite of computer model guidance to the contrary...I am going to stay with my forecast of the storm moving north...it will only take a shift of 50 to 100 miles off the forecasted track to get Baltimore into the snow. I will go with that, and say 2” to 4” for the Baltimore Metro area, around 1" near the PA line, and 3” to 6” for parts of Southern MD and the Lower Eastern Shore. If you can’t take the heat...get out of the kitchen! :)

Like· · Share · 7 minutes ago ·

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Worst performance of the models...ever.

Every recent forecast is "the worse performance by the models. The global models are scoring at nearly their all time highs in terms of quantitative metrics (I think scores were slightly higher last winter, because things were easier to forecast climatalogically speaking. Just to put it out there, here is some verification valid today from the global models.

5 Day forecast for 1000mb heights.

HGTprs1000_naf120_t00z.png

and 5 day forecast aloft (500 mb);

HGTprs500_naf120_t00z.png

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