Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 A good rule of thumb is that the models will usually trend to whatever gives DC the least amount of snow...keep that in mind, only look at the Euro, and drink lots of scotch. Not a bad plan. Which reminds me, I have a nice bottle of single malt still sitting in the liquor cabinet somewhere... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 ouch The 850mb low gets up into the Smokies in TN, and then moves south of east from 42-48 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The 850mb low gets up into the Smokies in TN, and then moves south of east from 42-48 hrs. it's weird to look at the precip loops because you swear it's going ot at least graze then it just books east / se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 See yall tomorrow for another round of failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 cherry blossom festival coming early this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 it's weird to look at the precip loops because you swear it's going ot at least graze then it just books east / se. It's a really weird progression to me. I guess I found it so hard to believe because the confluence just didn't seem so oppressive that it would make the low start heading due east (and even a touch south of east on this run) in freaking middle Georgia while temps here are in the upper 30s to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Rumor says rgem went north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 cherry blossom festival coming early this year? You missed it already, happend back in December shortly after Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Rumor says rgem went north UKMET will probably have a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 You missed it already, happend back in December shortly after Christmas. hahahahahaha! that was good! the festival has a fixed date, and it's too early for the trees to bloom. the festival organizers keep track beginning 3/1: http://www.nationalc...ut/bloom-watch/ i actually made it down a few yrs ago...and i always track the blooms...gets me all geared up for spring!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allman15 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 the festival has a fixed date, and it's too early for the trees to bloom. the festival organizers keep track beginning 3/1: http://www.nationalc...ut/bloom-watch/ stfu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 UKMET will probably have a cutter. You know, the thought sort of crossed my mind that one last kick in the groin would be for the 00Z Euro to suddenly go to our west, giving us rain and 40s all day Sunday. The tiny silver lining with all solutions going way south now is that at least Sunday will be halfway decent out (well, compared to getting washed out all day). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 You know, the thought sort of crossed my mind that one last kick in the groin would be for the 00Z Euro to suddenly go to our west, giving us rain and 40s all day Sunday. The tiny silver lining with all solutions going way south now is that at least Sunday will be halfway decent out (well, compared to getting washed out all day). The true kick would be if the models wrap up the storm more and back it into SNE. Yeah, think about that one for a minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Yep, RGEM has snow up to Philly. Was GGEM north at 12Z too? The switch to short range in the globals usually jerks south and corrects once within 48 hours. Living in VA I usually get my hopes up only to have them dashed once the blue line moves back north within 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Goodnight everyone. Learned a hard lesson with this one. Enjoy the spring and summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The true kick would be if the models wrap up the storm more and back it into SNE. Yeah, think about that one for a minute. Not even !$&!$@! Funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 hahahahahaha! that was good! i actually made it down a few yrs ago...and i always track the blooms...gets me all geared up for spring!!! Actually, there's a grain of truth to my December comment. There were actually some cherry blossoms late that month! Though I thought I heard that's not all that uncommon for some of those cherry tree species (have seen it before during warm spells in winter). Yes, the Festival is kind of cool and seeing the blooms is quite impressive around the tide pool area (Jefferson Memorial, etc.). However, the massive crowds kind of makes it a pain, but if you can withstand that it's worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The true kick would be if the models wrap up the storm more and back it into SNE. Yeah, think about that one for a minute. Oh, yeah now that would be a true kick! Sad thing is, that solution would be more likely to happen than a so-called late "north trend" to get us back in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Actually, there's a grain of truth to my December comment. There were actually some cherry blossoms late that month! Though I thought I heard that's not all that uncommon for some of those cherry tree species (have seen it before during warm spells in winter). Yes, the Festival is kind of cool and seeing the blooms is quite impressive around the tide pool area (Jefferson Memorial, etc.). However, the massive crowds kind of makes it a pain, but if you can withstand that it's worth it. i think some species actually do bloom twice...but i do remember seeing pics of the blooms in Dec...yeah, the crowds at the festival is awful...but i loved the tide pool area of blossoms...i don't think i need to go back...once was enough...glad i went, but my goodness, there was no room to breathe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 It's a really weird progression to me. I guess I found it so hard to believe because the confluence just didn't seem so oppressive that it would make the low start heading due east (and even a touch south of east on this run) in freaking middle Georgia while temps here are in the upper 30s to 40. Main reason it does that is actually the progression from leeside cyclogenesis to baroclinic development along the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Wow, flurries at best according to NBC4. What a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 i think some species actually do bloom twice...but i do remember seeing pics of the blooms in Dec...yeah, the crowds at the festival is awful...but i loved the tide pool area of blossoms...i don't think i need to go back...once was enough...glad i went, but my goodness, there was no rrom to breathe! Yes, know what you mean. I live here and have only gone a couple of times down to the Mall, etc., for that event. It really is crowded! And, to be honest it ticked me off seeing people climb all over these 80-90+ year old trees. I mean, really. It is quite a sight though when all those trees are in full bloom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Oh well, it would have been a shame for a pesky snow to ruin one of the worst winters in memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 somebody help me understand what i am hearing about the RGEM, is it trying to get DC back into the game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Ahh, feels nice to be down here in Roanoke, Virginia. I'll bask in the snow for ya'll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 somebody help me understand what i am hearing about the RGEM, is it trying to get DC back into the game? when the JMA or the RGEM are mentioned, it's usually just for good fun and a bit of sarcasm...at this point, time to throw in the towel... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 when the JMA or the RGEM are mentioned, it's usually just for good fun and a bit of sarcasm...at this point, time to throw in the towel... Ha! Very true. Though at this point the way things are looking, if the Euro suddenly looked great I'm not so sure I'd believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This event sucks as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This event sucks as modeled heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 ric is a classic bust town.. sounds like they have some terrible mets down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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