Bari Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 haha what a fitting way to end the winter, a huge tease just to rub it in. This isn't a crush, it's just absolutely ironically funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I know of a very good one who helps me when I ask nicely Even if it doesn't snow or ends up how euro looks I'd be quite happy with my thoughts over the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 OK, the stage is set. This is so much like 2010 its uncanny. Same runs, same time frame. If history is to repeat, the GFS will be even worse than the NAM. Then we start to see improvement with the morning runs. Laugh, but its all we've got at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I know of a very good one who helps me when I ask nicely DT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 OK, the stage is set. This is so much like 2010 its uncanny. Same runs, same time frame. If history is to repeat, the GFS will be even worse than the NAM. Then we start to see improvement with the morning runs. Laugh, but its all we've got at this point. LOLZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Even if it doesn't snow or ends up how euro looks I'd be quite happy with my thoughts over the week. Ian, I wasn't knocking anyone, especially you. Come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 OK, the stage is set. This is so much like 2010 its uncanny. Same runs, same time frame. If history is to repeat, the GFS will be even worse than the NAM. Then we start to see improvement with the morning runs. Laugh, but its all we've got at this point. I just knew it would be you saying this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Crap winters usually don't change this late in the season. A moderate to heavy snowfall, in spite of all the model promise the past several days, would have been highly unusual in a year like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well, now that the nam has me in a bad mood I gotta say a couple things..ctsnowdouche is like fingernails on a blackboard and there is an unusual # of new names in the sub forum that just annoy me worse than a mosquito in my boxers. I can totally handle not getting snow. Heck. I'm used to that. I can't handle the heavy dose of posts that make reading a 900 page book of bb's drivel feel better than reading a ny times bestseller. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This is all I have left, but guess it's enough to keep me awake for the GFS. The discussion issued 24 hours ago by LWX. No need to read the entire thing, but this stood out for me then, and I am hugging it for at least another 90 minutes ----They wrote, "ONE THING IS FOR SURE...GUIDANCE WILL FLUCTUATE AND THE FORECAST WILL OSCILLATE OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. STAY TUNED." lol. http://forecast.weat...1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 So, now that this threat is behind us, anything promising on the JMA, DGEX, long range GFS? How about JB----anything new on his radar? MDstorm Heavy dose of sarcasm above...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 it would be kinda funny if the euro trends north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 ...us to take our ass to bed and move the hell on. Actually, this is a good thing for it to fold, now I won't stay up for the GFS and won't get up early to think about what I might say in a blog or quote. Better now than tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Have winter storm watches ever been replaced by uv advisories in the same 24 hour period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 So, now that this threat is behind us, anything promising on the JMA, DGEX, long range GFS? How about JB----anything new on his radar? MDstorm Heavy dose of sarcasm above...... Yeah......................spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Have winter storm watches ever been replaced by uv advisories in the same 24 hour period? Do you ever stop posting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 LOLZ Sorry. I meant Jan 29, 2010. In the end, does it really matter? It would be gone by Tuesday anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Enjoy the long weekend. This isn't the result we wanted, but it was foreseeable after the last couple euro tuns. Actually, this is a good thing for it to fold, now I won't stay up for the GFS and won't get up early to think about what I might say in a blog or quote. Better now than tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Man, its getting ugly in the storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Tweet from Capital Weather? Seems like Wes threw in towel, but I guess not everyone Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather "Tonight's NAM does NOT mean snow threat done, just 1 model run. Storm still 36-42 hours away, time yet for another big swing..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Wes always gets mad cause I don't let go Of a beer bottle at the conference? so true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The Euro just smashed the NAM into a fine paste and then ate it on some crackers. Sig worthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Apparently 2/3's of the board doesn't understand what "uncertainty" entails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Tweet from Capital Weather? Seems like Wes threw in towel, but I guess not everyone Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather "Tonight's NAM does NOT mean snow threat done, just 1 model run. Storm still 36-42 hours away, time yet for another big swing..." I don't know that I completely think we no longer have any chance of snow....it's just that 0-2 inch events are not worth worrying about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Sorry. I meant Jan 29, 2010. In the end, does it really matter? It would be gone by Tuesday anyway. True. Almost 60 by Wednesday. This just blows and I told my kids we would go sledding promising them at least an inch on Sunday. Didn't set the bar low enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 000 FXUS61 KLWX 180253 AFDLWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 953 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012 .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... WE HV A WINT STORM WTCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY/SUN NGT FOR THE CENTRAL SHEN VLLY. 12Z ECM AND 18Z GFS BOTH SHOW THE SFC LOW POSN OVR CENTRAL AL AT 12Z SUNDAY. EVEN THOUGH MID ALTC WAS 7 DEGS ABV NRML TDA AND WL LKLY DO SO AGN SAT THE SHORT WV COMING THRU THE NERN U.S. SAT NGT WL HERALD THE ARRIVAL OF HIGH PRES FM ONTARIO NOSING DOWN INTO THE MID ATLC. THIS WL PROVIDE THE COLD AIR THAT ALLOWS US TO TREAT THE SERN LOW AS A PTNL SNOW EVENT RATHER THAN RAIN. FOR NOW THOSE TWO MDLS RMN IN NEAR LOCK STEP W/ THE TRACK OF THE LOW - OVR ERN GA ERLY SUN AFTN AND NEAR CAPE HATTERAS SUN EVE. THE LOW PRES CENTER VALUES AND UPR LVL HGT PATTERN ARE NEARLY IDENTICAL AS WELL. BOTH HV THE LOW WELL E OF THE NC CST BY 06Z MON. SNOWFALL AMOUNT CONFIDENCE IS LOWER FOR THE WASHINGTON DC AND BALTIMORE AREAS. THERE WILL BE A TIGHT PRECIPITATION GRADIENT FM S TO N. THE FARTHER N WE GO IN THE CWA THE MORE PRBL POPS WL BE "A GOOD CHC OF JUST A SMALL AMT OF SNOW." THERE ARE THINGS THAT CONCERN ME W/ THIS UPCOMING STORM...THE TRACK OF THE STORM BEING THE GREATEST - THE FURTHER S IT TRACKS THE LESS MOISTURE MID ATLC WL HV TO WORK W/. OTHERS ITEMS OF CONCERN INCLUDE: A) THE AMT OF TIME THAT THE STORM WL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE SNOW - PRBLY ONLY ABT 18HRS AT ANY ONE SPOT DUE TO THE TRANSITORY NATURE OF THE LOW. LOW SNOW:LIQUID RATIO - THIS WL LKLY BE A WET COMPACTIBLE SNOW. C) YET ANOTHER IS THE FACT THAT SPC HAS A DAY 2 SVR WX OUTLOOK ACROSS GA/SC - I`VE SEEN CASES WHERE CNVCTN ACROSS THE GULF STATES HAS ROBBED MOISTURE FOR THE MID ATLC. 15Z SREF ALSO IMPLYING THE BEST CHCS FOR SIG ACCUM WL BE ACROSS SRN VA. SO WHILE THE WTCH IS IN EFFECT ATTM I DON`T SEE A NEED TO XTND THIS FURTHER N. ATTM...IF ANY AREA HAS THE PTNL FOR 5" (WTCH CRITERIA) IT IS DFNTLY THE CENTRAL SHEN VLLY. **00Z NAM AND 21Z SREF HV COME IN. THESE CHG NOTHING FM THE THOUGHTS WRITTEN ABV AN HOUR AGO - THE BEST MOISTURE FOR THE STORM IS OVR GA/CAROLINAS/PSBLY INTO SRN VA...LESSGER AMTS FURTHER N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I guess the best day of this winter was Thursday morning when the euro had given .70 to .80 to the area. Too bad it was only one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I guess the best day of this winter was Thursday morning when the euro had given .70 to .80 to the area. Too bad it was only one run if this fails there are so many awesome posts that were made to bump alas ill skip but i wish there was a way to keep score here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 if this fails there are so many awesome posts that were made to bump alas ill skip but i wish there was a way to keep score here funny part is when the euro first showed this storm about 8-9 days ago...it had it doing what its doing now...heading ENE of the carolina coast and barely missing us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 if this fails there are so many awesome posts that were made to bump alas ill skip but i wish there was a way to keep score here I was endorsing DT's first guess last night -1 WVclimo . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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