nw baltimore wx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Colder/drier/warmer/wetter? I've had just enough Pikesville Rye that I'm ready pull out every stupid weenie model ob I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Honestly, I think a lot of this is about selective memory. March 09 was a true coastal storm - I do not recall it ever being modeled as a Southern Va special. DC was under the gun for quite a while along with many of the I-95 cities. Hopefully I am not skewing history though. If anything, that storm underperformed IMBY. You're right, March 2009 was on the cards well before the day of the storm for DC to Boston. The fact that Richmond was finally getting a snowstorm really cheered me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 For better or worse, this NAM run has some differences through 24HR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Everything is a little slower again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This 0Z run looks very similar to the 12Z run through the same time. Only difference is a little slower and the NW precip shield is a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I've had just enough Pikesville Rye that I'm ready pull out every stupid weenie model ob I've ever seen. The GFS is our Hail Mary moment so save it for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 It is slower...which is actually better if we actually can get moisture up here. Later in the day, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well call me an idiot, but the NAM is in the process of folding on this run. This 0Z run looks very similar to the 12Z run through the same time. Only difference is a little slower and the NW precip shield is a little stronger. Oh dear, who to believe?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Oh dear, who to believe?? The best way to find the truth is to explore for yourself- Some Famous Guy http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?model=&area=&prevArea=NAMER&prevPage=Model&page=Model&restKey=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Quite a bit slower than 18Z at 30HR. Doubt it means anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Oh dear, who to believe?? My vote is for the ... The replies that I write and then cancel are my best work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. If you're wrong, I'm going to 5 post you. I'm sort of serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Skippy...I can't believe you'd fold like this! Don't give up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Heights are lower on the EC. That can't be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 If you're wrong, I'm going to 5 post you. I'm sort of serious. Well this sorta sucks cuz i probably will be right, but I don't want to be if you know what I'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Is there an adult in the room? Which is it steady on or south? Explanation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Looks like it's going south to me too but I've only seen through 30h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Sorry skippy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Is there an adult in the room? Which is it steady on or south? Explanation? Pretty sure it is folding. It will likely only go part way this run so we can all suffer for a while longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Sorry skippy What are you sorry about weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well this sorta sucks cuz i probably will be right, but I don't want to be if you know what I'm saying South = good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Seems like the northern branch system is stealing the energy from our main event. See offshore precip and then compare to past runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Slower was good for a while but now it's problematic in getting proper interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Wasn't there bad balloons sent up at corprus christy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 King Euro it is. Why does anyone bother posting it any more? M. Totally friggin useless. And please no more discussion of the other useless pieces of doggy doo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 1004 C AL at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 What are you sorry about weenie? lol.......irony. Silly skippy. You said this morning that tonight's NAM would give DC 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I could've told you it was gonna fold at hour 15, northern stream just too slow, DMC hurts us, precip pulled east to the coast here, and confluence was stronger from early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Holy Christ this is gonna suck!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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