BTJustice Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Is it just me or has the NAM been super slow to generate since a couple of days ago when they said "JOB RUNNING LONG"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The N trend is awesome as it is certainly real in a majority of cases and it is heavily abused by weenies to give justification to absurd forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 As perhaps the only posting member of the "Jackpot" I thought I would come in here to gloat. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!! Now, I have altruistic intentions of course. Usually, gloating during jackpot status always send the snow up north. You're welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 As perhaps the only posting member of the "Jackpot" I thought I would come in here to gloat. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!! Now, I have altruistic intentions of course. Usually, gloating during jackpot status always send the snow up north. You're welcome. I've just ordered up a dry slot for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The N trend is awesome as it is certainly real in a majority of cases and it is heavily abused by weenies to give justification to absurd forecasts. If the Euro is right and no north trend occurs your forecast will have been absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Indexes aside...with that vortex anchored near NFLD this weekend it is effectively a negative NAO. A two day interlude coming at exactly the right time for the Mid Atlantic as if it was divine intervention. I'm glad I'm gonna be in VA Sunday night..on my way home from FL.. What luck that was also. LOL While that technically may be true the NAO and AO are extremely close to neutral and were recently negative for some time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The N trend is awesome as it is certainly real in a majority of cases and it is heavily abused by weenies to give justification to absurd forecasts. It's also talked about/worried about with every storm around here if we are in the bullseye, so it makes sense to at least think it may happen this time to give us a surprise 4"+. (weenie) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Automator Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 As perhaps the only posting member of the "Jackpot" I thought I would come in here to gloat. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!! Now, I have altruistic intentions of course. Usually, gloating during jackpot status always send the snow up north. You're welcome. You fool!! You'll doom us all!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 No Storm is up 42-41 against storm, but NAManning has stepped on the field to try to take a lead... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 As perhaps the only posting member of the "Jackpot" I thought I would come in here to gloat. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!! Now, I have altruistic intentions of course. Usually, gloating during jackpot status always send the snow up north. You're welcome. I am ready to see you get rain so I can have snow. CHO never jackpots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 ahh yes Jan 25 2000 in the making thats what happened then here we go shouldn't you be on the slopes by now? you didn't spend that money to be on your computer all weekend did you? (I do the wife thing pretty good, ehh?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 If the Euro is right and no north trend occurs your forecast will have been absurd. To be fair I was in a bar when I made it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 To be fair I was in a bar when I made it I never did make my snow map. I will wait for 00Z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Now I'm thinking of staying at a motel near Kings Dominion along I-95. I hope that's far enough north for mostly snow. I am ready to see you get rain so I can have snow. CHO never jackpots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I'm scared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 LOL... Weathervswive. This links for you ;p .... Let's see what the Nam does! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The 0Z NAM is running. Stormtrackers second favorite model run after the 18Z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Now I'm thinking of staying at a motel near Kings Dominion along I-95. I hope that's far enough north for mostly snow. I'm not sure it's even still called King Dominion any more lol they have had soooo many diff owners but the park is still there I would go to Luray...at least you can check out the caverns if all else fails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I never did make my snow map. I will wait for 00Z tomorrow. I'd wait till Sunday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I am ready to see you get rain so I can have snow. CHO never jackpots. Wait, you're not even going to let me have sleet this time? Age has made you old and cranky!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 thru 15 confluence looks stronger, both srn and nrn streams slower and held back a bit. Precip a bit less juicy and a bit north on the srn piece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 LOL ..I can only get so far north from Ocala in one day ya know. I'm not sure it's even still called King Dominion any more lol they have had soooo many diff owners but the park is still there I would go to Luray...at least you can check out the caverns if all else fails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Didn't the NAM use to run faster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Appears to be slightly north and a little weaker through hour 18... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Didn't the NAM use to run faster? The new "Screw Everyone" algorithm is quite complex and takes time to run. Patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Colder/drier/warmer/wetter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Correct me if I am wrong cause was in southern Virginia at the time. But if I recall correctly, March 2009 was also suppose to be a southern Virginia snowstorm that crept north at the last minute. I remember we were suppose to get our only snow of the year near Richmond. We did, like 6 to 9 inches, but DC also got 6 to 9 when they were not suppose to until the final day before? Honestly, I think a lot of this is about selective memory. March 09 was a true coastal storm - I do not recall it ever being modeled as a Southern Va special. DC was under the gun for quite a while along with many of the I-95 cities. Hopefully I am not skewing history though. If anything, that storm underperformed IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The new "Screw Everyone" algorithm is quite complex and takes time to run. Patience. This is quality Phineas right here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The 0Z NAM is running. Stormtrackers second favorite model run after the 18Z NAM. 0z NAM is the BEST. Always telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well call me an idiot, but the NAM is in the process of folding on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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