PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I think the 18Z suite (RGEM, NAM, and GFS) at least says there is still a shred of hope here and we should all abandon our friends and family and spend all night right here among our fellow maniacs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Hmmm.... gfs isn't really bad or good. 850 track still say we're in the game but i'm just not sure what sport we're playing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DUSTINMFOX Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sharp cutoff between that .25 and .5 line. DC proper getting shafted, where western FFX county could get 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Is anyone really doubting this is going to end up coming north? It might nudge a bit north, but I don't think it will be enough for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Richmond is going to get crushed holly shat balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Hmmm.... gfs isn't really bad or good. 850 track still say we're in the game but i'm just not sure what sport we're playing yet. wiffle ball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Hmmm.... gfs isn't really bad or good. 850 track still say we're in the game but i'm just not sure what sport we're playing yet. I am a little surprised 18Z held so well. I figured for sure one of these punk models would fold to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Less then a 50 mile shift away from getting more then .5 QPF, don't think we should give up hope yet. Dale City Area is .5+... not far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 I think the 18Z suite (RGEM, NAM, and GFS) at least says there is still a shred of hope here and we should all abandon our friends and family and spend all night right here among our fellow maniacs. I already canceled dinner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 the whole system is drying up vs. old runs because the southern stream is weaker than what some/all models thought as recently as last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Looked like crap with all them errors at first (jk looks a bit weird but nothing out of the ord) then pretty decent. Leaves us with hope for 0z, especially since we just pulled a rabbit out of our anuses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DUSTINMFOX Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Still a great run for Richmond and Fredericksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 It's better than I thought from looking at the early panels. The tight gradient still makes this a bear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 It might nudge a bit north, but I don't think it will be enough for us. I guess I'm delusional. I'm still convinced Sunday's 00z runs are going to be north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 Its quite a range from just north of DC to just south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Very close to the NAM with accumulations for the DC area, maybe the NAM is onto something here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 These clown maps suck even in the banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 the whole system is drying up vs. old runs because the southern stream is weaker than what some/all models thought as recently as last night True but one does have to wonder how it evolves along the gc. it's not like it has to go crazy or anything to end up stronger. Either way, nowcasting is going to be kinda fun tomorrow. If it still sux this time tomorrow night then sobeit. every single person in the ma subforum is going to be running radar and wv loops tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Very close to the NAM with accumulations for the DC area, maybe the NAM is onto something here.... So damn close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 why does canada on clown maps always give me flashbacks from a grateful dead concert? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This will start to trend our way at 0z, continue through 6z and 12z, and by tomorrow afternoon, if you post, when you return "your" a page behind. (Disclaimer: Unless they don't) (Confession: I think they will) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This will start to trend our way at 0z, continue through 6z and 12z, and by tomorrow afternoon, if you post, when you return "your" a page behind. (Disclaimer: Unless they don't) (Confession: I think they will) maybe, 0z i think a bit, 12z tomorrow yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 00z will be telling actually has some validity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 BL If I interpret your code correctly, what does that say for those south of here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Tommy T thinks 3-6 for MD, DC and some of VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I recall saying that I didn't buy the south trend and that the 0Z run would shift north. I was wrong, in reality the 18Z run shifted north before the 0Z run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Who is Tommy T? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Who is Tommy T? Local Baltimore NBC met, bullish call a little unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Who is Tommy T? Tom Tasselmeyer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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