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2012 Winter Banter Thread #3


yoda

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Does the euro have any support?

It's way too early for this anyway. I think everyone is throwing just a bit too much respect to one model.

The euro is far superior to anything else. Take a GFS euro blend if you want to feel better.

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uncertainty and persistence are the two main keywords of this winter. imo no "forecast" from several days ago was much more than an educated guess (if that). the qpf bomb with half rain and half snow seems to be more or less off the table tho stranger things have happened. and phineas is sort of right.. just stating a storm will not be great around here is not saying a whole lot without plentiful backing. but that can go back to persistence this winter. this is perhaps like the opposite of 09/10 where it snowed at every real opp... something goes wrong at every real op. but if you're truly forecasting there is little reason to choose one side and stay there until the end especially in the face of contrary evidence.

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Instead of crying in my wheaties, I'm just gonna rely on the fact that we're praying for a n jog and not battling an awful rain snow line to the north. After all the crappy little events this year, I think I would prefer to get whiffed than to sit and watch flakes melt on contact or within 15 minutes.

This is good solid weenie rationalization and I highly recommend it.

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