nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 It would appear on the GFS that our early WCB is affecting the ability the the EVC to phase with the frontogenesis in the northern stream causing a dissociative decoupling of the primary phase coils with the warp drive. lol You dodged the haymaker pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 the low's coming in so far west now on models it is increasingly difficult for the moisture to miss.. like 2 days ago we were looking at the western fl panhandle as sorta the yes/no zone. launches that frontrunning precip at us as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 What the hell is DMC?, does anyone know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 the low's coming in so far west now on models it is increasingly difficult for the moisture to miss.. like 2 days ago we were looking at the western fl panhandle as sorta the yes/no zone. launches that frontrunning precip at us as well. There was some pesky energy around the GL that has dissipated the last couple of days (in the model runs) to be replaced by an area of high pressure. That must be helping? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The GFS was way too deep and way too moist in the southern regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 There was some pesky energy around the GL that has dissipated the last couple of days (in the model runs) to be replaced by an area of high pressure. That must be helping? YES! I always say don't worry about the models 100 hours out as that "L" could turn into an "H" in six hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 . timing and overall minimal landmass it's going to be "hot" in are probably limiting factors but some definite potential in the deep south. This is IAN's weenie wet dream, severe and big snows all in the same storm. He may not sleep until Monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The GFS was way too deep and way too moist in the southern regions. I read this post and I think, "Is he serious or just on his third scotch?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Clearly the smart play here is to go to sleep before the euro and sleep through all the 6z stuff. Back to back all snow solutions and we're inside of 72 hrs. FFW please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Clearly the smart play here is to go to sleep before the euro and sleep through all the 6z stuff. Back to back all snow solutions and we're inside of 72 hrs. FFW please. But we both know there is zero chance you are not staying up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sleepy sleepy time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 . This is IAN's weenie wet dream, severe and big snows all in the same storm. He may not sleep until Monday night i've spent most of the last 5 days diving into the spc tornado database. im so in love. i havent even touched this area yet heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 i've spent most of the last 5 days diving into the spc tornado database. im so in love. i havent even touched this area yet heh. You are the only guy i know that wishes he was living in Joplin, MO or Parkersburg, IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I hate not being home for snow, but this ain't a bad disco from PIT for Tucker and Garrett Co's. SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...A WEEKEND SNOW EVENT FOR THE SOUTHEAST RIDGES APPEARS TO BE COMING INTO BETTER FOCUS NOW. NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGHS WILL PHASE AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MOVE INTO THE CAROLINAS. 12Z NAM/GFS RUNS HAVE TRENDED FURTHER NORTH WITH THE SURFACE LOW AND THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF ITS PRECIPITATION SHIELD. FOR SNOW AMOUNTS, THIS EVENT MAY NEED FUTURE WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS, AS DETERMINISTIC MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY AMOUNTS OF WET SNOW ACROSS TUCKER AND GARRETT COUNTIES WITH THE LOWER END OF THE ENVELOPE POSSIBLE FOR PRESTON COUNTY. WITH THIS IN MIND, HAVE ADDED MENTION OF THIS TO THE HWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Just saw the pic in the NE forum from a get-together-- honest question here, really nothing negative associated: Why are they all white males? I only ask because in this area and in my experience in Boston , it would pretty hard to find a group to go out drinking with that's that homogenous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I hate not being home for snow, but this ain't a bad disco from PIT for Tucker and Garrett Co's. SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...A WEEKEND SNOW EVENT FOR THE SOUTHEAST RIDGES APPEARS TO BE COMING INTO BETTER FOCUS NOW. NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGHS WILL PHASE AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MOVE INTO THE CAROLINAS. 12Z NAM/GFS RUNS HAVE TRENDED FURTHER NORTH WITH THE SURFACE LOW AND THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF ITS PRECIPITATION SHIELD. FOR SNOW AMOUNTS, THIS EVENT MAY NEED FUTURE WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS, AS DETERMINISTIC MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY AMOUNTS OF WET SNOW ACROSS TUCKER AND GARRETT COUNTIES WITH THE LOWER END OF THE ENVELOPE POSSIBLE FOR PRESTON COUNTY. WITH THIS IN MIND, HAVE ADDED MENTION OF THIS TO THE HWO. Garrett County will do fine in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Garrett County will do fine in this setup. You heading up to your place this weekend? I'm heading to Canaan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Just saw the pic in the NE forum from a get-together-- honest question here, really nothing negative associated: Why are they all white males? I only ask because in this area and in my experience in Boston , it would pretty hard to find a group to go out drinking with that's that homogenous. I think most of the posters in that region are white males except for a few Hispanic guys. Down here it is totally different although the male population is probably 80% white even in our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 You are the only guy i know that wishes he was living in Joplin, MO or Parkersburg, IA. I think Boulder CO might be the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 You heading up to your place this weekend? I'm heading to Canaan. I doubt it. Depends on what happens here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 S@' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I think most of the posters in that region are white males except for a few Hispanic guys. Down here it is totally different although the male population is probably 80% white even in our region. New England is pretty white. Heck where I lived some folks have probably only ever seen whites. My town had one black guy and everyone seemed to know where he lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I doubt it. Depends on what happens here. Yeah considering it'll probably trend northward, I'd say you want to stay at home for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I think Boulder CO might be the place Boulder, CO gets severe?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 looking more like a head to the mall event tho it's all ripped up. those are 3-4"+ in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 New England is pretty white. Heck where I lived some folks have probably only ever seen whites. My town had one black guy and everyone seemed to know where he lived. I think except for Hartford and New Haven 99% of CT is white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I'll be happy if DC ends with at least watch or a warning this year, even if the eventual total falls short, like 3 to 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Boulder, CO gets severe?. not a ton right there but the CO plains are a few steps away and you're a half day drive from ks/ne/ok etc. northeast colorado has one of the highest per capita incidents of tornadoes as well. but boulder gets big snows here and there and is close to the mtns too. it might be a perfect weather location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 not a ton right there but the CO plains are a few steps away and you're a half day drive from ks/ne/ok etc. northeast colorado has one of the highest per capita incidents of tornadoes as well. but boulder gets big snows here and there and is close to the mtns too. it might be a perfect weather location. We would miss you and there is no one to post there with unless you enjoy talking to yourself. But don't let the door hit you on the way out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 We would miss you and there is no one to post there with unless you enjoy talking to yourself. But don't let the door hit you on the way out . my dad just bought a place near here.. i doubt he'd be excited if i moved. i'll be here a while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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