WhiteoutMD Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Have you all seen this? http://www.xtranormal.com/watch/13058800/weatherbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Have you all seen this? http://www.xtranorma...800/weatherbell TR=JB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 gymengineer is going tempted to post how some of the map is wrong. LOL.. hey now! I only have like 400 some posts, and yet I have a rep as being a stickler... There are those of us in each forum- the ones who are into data being accurate (or as accurate as possible). Josh is the same way, just only with regards to tropical cyclones. Alex who got banned was the same too. I don't feel the urge to post anything usually, so I have a lot less posts than any of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Have you all seen this? http://www.xtranorma...800/weatherbell The funniest thing about that is the comment on the bottom defending JB to the death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Have you all seen this? http://www.xtranorma...800/weatherbell That's some weird ass sh*t. I don't know about yinz folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Nice map, mapgirl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 LOL.. hey now! I only have like 400 some posts, and yet I have a rep as being a stickler... There are those of us in each forum- the ones who are into data being accurate (or as accurate as possible). Josh is the same way, just only with regards to tropical cyclones. Alex who got banned was the same too. I don't feel the urge to post anything usually, so I have a lot less posts than any of them. ha.. well lack of data is an issue with these maps more than anything -- unfortunately there are not a lot of spotters/reliable stations. cocorahs might get there someday in addition to sources the nws seems to be opening up to. though as someone who does data at work and for play there's a gray area in all of it usually... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Nice map, mapgirl. Thanks, Phin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 ha.. well lack of data is an issue with these maps more than anything -- unfortunately there are not a lot of spotters/reliable stations. cocorahs might get there someday in addition to sources the nws seems to be opening up to. though as someone who does data at work and for play there's a gray area in all of it usually... Absolutely there's a lot of gray in snow measurements, much more so than say min pressure for a landfalling hurricane. What I don't like about cocorahs is the inconsistency year-to-year (not every station has lasted long for a long period of record, and many of them don't report snowfall every season). hat's why I prefer ACON-- perusing over snowfall data from the individual spotters gives clues to how they measure snow, since most of them have continuous snowfall records back to the beginning of the site (early 90's) and earlier. Some are a bit conservative and some are a bit weenie, but they are consistent with themselves at least. And most seem right on in that they make sense for a pattern across an entire county from east to west, given the meteorological particulars of the storm. And since it's the same person's name attached to each snowfall total, I feel that once I figure out and account for their measuring tendencies, I can "trust" the totals more so than spotter totals on PNS's or pop-up cocorahs stations. For example: http://www.jhuapl.edu/weather/education/ACON_Files/2010Feb_Precip.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I'm ready for someone to tell me that the 72 hour nam is infinitely more reliable than the 84 hour nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I'm ready for someone to tell me that the 72 hour nam is infinitely more reliable than the 84 hour nam. It's not if it was tomorrow night at this time i would need a box of kleenex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 North trend initiated AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Ok, only posting this here because this is the banter thread. Members who post simulated reflectivity maps in model/storm threads should be 5-posted. There I said it. I feel better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I've missed seeing the words "dc crushed" in model threads. Just read it in the NYC forum. !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 1" of precip up to DCA (more just south) and cold system. We have about 85 minutes to enjoy this one. Raging heavy wet snow. It's the NAM at 63-72 so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This is the nam run to get all weenies salivating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 I'm ready for someone to tell me that the 72 hour nam is infinitely more reliable than the 84 hour nam. not really.. it's super bouncy in this range. maybe an avg of the last two runs heh. big diff off sref too.. op nam probably an outlier to at least some degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 When Earthlight says mother of god, that is when you know 09/10 is happening again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This is the nam run to get all weenies salivating. There's a drug for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This is the nam run to get all weenies salivating. do you have a special model watching bib? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 not really.. it's super bouncy in this range. maybe an avg of the last two runs heh. big diff off sref too.. op nam probably an outlier to at least some degree. But like Mitch said the srefs do not use the 0Z data so they would not reflect it until the 3z or 9z srefs correct?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 not really.. it's super bouncy in this range. maybe an avg of the last two runs heh. big diff off sref too.. op nam probably an outlier to at least some degree. Yeah. I was kidding. I'm loving the budding bromances, but I ain't buying anyone flowers yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 There's a drug for that. That is funny, careful Mapgirl may be offended and ream you out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 GFS will go north and the Euro will go further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The non-banter thread is getting kind of hard to read at times. How many times can WinterWxLuvr say the same thing? lol Lots of people just repeating what others have already said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The best phrase on this board ever is "NOVA, DC, MD get crushed" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 But like Mitch said the srefs do not use the 0Z data so they would not reflect it until the 3z or 9z srefs correct?. the other models might(?) be stabilizing. it's possible we're about to flip to consensus and the nam is leading the way but given how it usually performs im not sure it can be believed much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 You just know that bullseye over CHO will drift north. Where is that weathervswife guy? I always love torturing him with thoughts of mixing while I get heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The non-banter thread is getting kind of hard to read at times. How many times can WinterWxLuvr say the same thing? lol Lots of people just repeating what others have already said. Dude, you need to give it a rest. Did it ever occur to you that sometimes people are posting at the same time? What is it you are expecting to read over there anyway? You waiting on somebody to tell you that tonights NAM is the solution you can hang your hat on? Put me on ignore if my posts offend you so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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