North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I am the default "weather guy" among my work colleagues and friends/family (thanks to this place) and just got peppered with questions from one such about the huge nor'easter she heard was coming. I gently said best guess (she lives in York) would be an inch or two of wet snow at this point in time (if anything at all). She responded at how that was disappointing given that Foot's Forecast is apparently talking about this massive storm. Oh Foot's, how you amuse. It isn't 09/10 anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm riding the 18z NAM I'm riding it with a whip until it bucks me off. Then I'll jump on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm riding it with a whip until it bucks me off. Then I'll jump on the GFS. looks like a full on ma rodeo in the works. with all the pent up demand for a "real" tracking session, this place is going to be on tilt for the next 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Really. Dual pol update during the storm.... WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Really. Dual pol update during the storm.... WTF There are other radars available Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 ooh, the weenie life raft has been inflated--"poorly initialized" lol- and we're quick to jump to the immediate conclusion that because of this the euro should have been further north if it was initialized properly......well, what about further south? Glass half full is much more fun though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I smell at Dec 26th repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I smell at Dec 26th repeat dec 26 had a massive anomalous northern stream trough. not really that kind of setup this time. could get similar results i guess except that this will miss north of here it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I smell at Dec 26th repeat How dare you mention such things!! lol Honestly, that was the biggest stinger for me. I'm getting older now so my longterm memory isn't as good as it used to be. I have such vivid memories of how bummed I was when it was pretty clear we were in for a major bustola. My sis lives in manahattan and she texts me something like "oh my god it's snowing so hard I can't see the building next door. We must have a foot already. how much did you get?". ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 dec 26 had a massive anomalous northern stream trough. not really that kind of setup this time. could get similar results i guess except that this will miss north of here it seems. i was mainly just upping my post count in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 dec 26 had a massive anomalous northern stream trough. not really that kind of setup this time. could get similar results i guess except that this will miss north of here it seems. Which was the part thing about DEC 26th that sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 ooh, the weenie life raft has been inflated--"poorly initialized" HPC are weenies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i said that? I think he was saying that based on their bull'ish forecast posted above and not based on anything you said, though I could be mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 HPC are weenies? They over react that way alot. Funny that they said it would be Friday before we knew anything. Amazing that it seems that that will be the case. Edit: It is perfectly clear from the HPC discussion that they are not impressed with the EC intitialization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 They over react that way alot. Funny that they said it would be Friday before we knew anything. Amazing that it seems that that will be the case. Edit: It is perfectly clear from the HPC discussion that they are not impressed with the EC intitialization. i think almost everyone realized that... any early call either way is basically a total guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i think almost everyone realized that... any early call either way is basically a total guess. Yeah, you and several others here did/do realize that. Yet, from reading today, it seems that many are not taking that to heart. Sunday is a long time from now. The opportunity for huge disappointment is available for any willing to take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yeah, you and several others here did/do realize that. Yet, from reading today, it seems that many are not taking that to heart. Sunday is a long time from now. The opportunity for huge disappointment is available for any willing to take it. yeah.. that's true too. we could be in a much worse spot though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 DT will have his first guess at 5PM. I'm on pins and needles until DT gives his blessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 DT will have his first guess at 5PM. I'm on pins and needles until DT gives his blessing. Preview: Richmond is crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Preview: Richmond is crushed. Preview: it looks exactly like the 12z Euro ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Preview: Richmond is crushed. Actually, he'll more than likely have the R/S line splitting right through the middle of my county. He is on the SE end while I am on the NW side. Almost every single map he has ever put out has snow for me and rain for him. He already told a few weenies on his FB page that it would be nothing more than rain in RIC though. Basically, if we get any SN accumulations he busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Preview: it looks exactly like the 12z Euro ops. There is no need for a preview all his maps follow the Euro to a T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lordy NAM, you slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lordy NAM, you slow. I keep hoping it unlocks as I'd like to go run but want to see the stinkin model first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 I keep hoping it unlocks as I'd like to go run but want to see the stinkin model first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well, since the nam seems to be stuck.... I don't see any significant differance @ h5 @ hr 36 than hr 42 at 12z. Edit: I basically repeated yoda's post in the main thread verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well, since the nam seems to be stuck.... I don't see any significant differance @ h5 @ hr 36 than hr 42 at 12z. The h5 energy in MX appears to be a smidge slower on the 18z... but agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 psuhoffman ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 LOL at the comments section on NCEPs site: JOB RUNNING TOO LONG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/prodstat/ FORECAST F00-F84 19:29:28 20:41:36 RUNNING-19:29:42 JOB RUNNING TOO LONG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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