Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 They over react that way alot. Funny that they said it would be Friday before we knew anything. Amazing that it seems that that will be the case. Edit: It is perfectly clear from the HPC discussion that they are not impressed with the EC intitialization. i think almost everyone realized that... any early call either way is basically a total guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i think almost everyone realized that... any early call either way is basically a total guess. Yeah, you and several others here did/do realize that. Yet, from reading today, it seems that many are not taking that to heart. Sunday is a long time from now. The opportunity for huge disappointment is available for any willing to take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yeah, you and several others here did/do realize that. Yet, from reading today, it seems that many are not taking that to heart. Sunday is a long time from now. The opportunity for huge disappointment is available for any willing to take it. yeah.. that's true too. we could be in a much worse spot though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 DT will have his first guess at 5PM. I'm on pins and needles until DT gives his blessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 DT will have his first guess at 5PM. I'm on pins and needles until DT gives his blessing. Preview: Richmond is crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Preview: Richmond is crushed. Preview: it looks exactly like the 12z Euro ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Preview: Richmond is crushed. Actually, he'll more than likely have the R/S line splitting right through the middle of my county. He is on the SE end while I am on the NW side. Almost every single map he has ever put out has snow for me and rain for him. He already told a few weenies on his FB page that it would be nothing more than rain in RIC though. Basically, if we get any SN accumulations he busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Preview: it looks exactly like the 12z Euro ops. There is no need for a preview all his maps follow the Euro to a T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lordy NAM, you slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lordy NAM, you slow. I keep hoping it unlocks as I'd like to go run but want to see the stinkin model first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 I keep hoping it unlocks as I'd like to go run but want to see the stinkin model first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well, since the nam seems to be stuck.... I don't see any significant differance @ h5 @ hr 36 than hr 42 at 12z. Edit: I basically repeated yoda's post in the main thread verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well, since the nam seems to be stuck.... I don't see any significant differance @ h5 @ hr 36 than hr 42 at 12z. The h5 energy in MX appears to be a smidge slower on the 18z... but agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 psuhoffman ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 LOL at the comments section on NCEPs site: JOB RUNNING TOO LONG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/prodstat/ FORECAST F00-F84 19:29:28 20:41:36 RUNNING-19:29:42 JOB RUNNING TOO LONG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 psuhoffman ftw Saying big storms tend to miss DC is sort of a no-brainer. Sort of like when people say we need to "thread the needle" as if the rest of the time we waltz our way into every single event. We always have to thread the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The h5 energy in MX appears to be a smidge slower on the 18z... but agree Yup and since we seem to have unlimited time to discuss the 36hr panel.....the middle piece of energy around NE/SD is slightly weaker. Edit to add slightly slower too. Maybe zwyts' request to slow the whole thing down 6 hours is being answered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yup and since we seem to have unlimited time to discuss the 36hr panel.....the middle piece of energy around NE/SD is slightly weaker. Is that helpful for us or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is that helpful for us or no? Probably totally insigificant really. I guess if there was any significance it would favor a further S solution but that is a total wag and means nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yup and since we seem to have unlimited time to discuss the 36hr panel.....the middle piece of energy around NE/SD is slightly weaker. Edit to add slightly slower too. Maybe zwyts' request to slow the whole thing down 6 hours is being answered. When he said to slow it down 6 hours, I don't think he meant the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Since we're waiting for the NAM, let's extrapolate it out to 84 hrs. Will it make Dt or Phin happy or will it leave both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Saying big storms tend to miss DC is sort of a no-brainer. Sort of like when people say we need to "thread the needle" as if the rest of the time we waltz our way into every single event. We always have to thread the needle. Maybe but there are some false comments that become gospel. It is true that storms can and often do miss to the south in Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Since we're waiting for the NAM, let's extrapolate it out to 84 hrs. Will it make Dt or Phin happy or will it leave both It will definitely bring an ******ALEET******* either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Nam finally racing out towards the later frames, to 48 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Geez, this run better be good considering how long we have to wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Geez, this run better be good considering how long we have to wait. Each frame is being screened by the FBI probably to make sure there is no pornography in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm tossing this NAM run because it took too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 psuhoffman ftw I thought it a pretty good post in terms or what he was saying about ninas. The northern stream tends to screw us in two different ways, each equally effective as teh northern stream is so active its hard to get things to phase if there is nay hint of a southern stream and if there isn't then things go to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm tossing this NAM run because it took too long. long range nam is win win.. if it's good put it in the good camp. if it's bad, it's the long range nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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