TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 we should be excited that he found a magical formula of blending the euro and gfs Lotta people were hugging either way.. ... you know what im saying you devil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 List the people who said that. Most were in full Negative Nancy mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 we should be excited that he found a magical formula of blending the euro and gfs Well simplicity does sometimes win the day. BUT, in my humble, know-little opinion, this thing is still completely up in the air. If the Euro stays consistent with 0z, then I'm in the groove. Otherwise, it's still an unknown. Looking at the differences in the gfs ens members would scream that this isn't a done deal by a long shot, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lotta people were hugging either way.. ... you know what im saying you devil ut oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lotta people were hugging either way.. ... you know what im saying you devil OK, give names. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well simplicity does sometimes win the day. BUT, in my humble, know-little opinion, this thing is still completely up in the air. If the Euro stays consistent with 0z, then I'm in the groove. Otherwise, it's still an unknown. Looking at the differences in the gfs ens members would scream that this isn't a done deal by a long shot, IMO. dont look at the euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 64 West is your friend. That it is. I'm planning on being in Harrisonburg this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 dont look at the euro... South ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 suppressed city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? Why? So you can be slapped around for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? why is everyone so caught up in dictating conversation nonstop.. there is no real pbp here. people can mention models in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? Well, I'm smoking alot of cirrus on Sat night care to join? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 why is everyone so caught up in dictating conversation nonstop.. there is no real pbp here. people can mention models in this thread. People were discussing models in here earlier. Nevermin..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well...that was fun for 6 hours. Back to standard Mid-Atlantic snow lovers operating procedures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 #confluence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 That it is. I'm planning on being in Harrisonburg this weekend. Sounds about right. Really don't have to go too much further west than Charlottesville before you get into a good area....maybe 30-45 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 #confluence #FAITHINTHEFLAKES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 #FAITHINTHEFLAKES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! #itneversnowsindcanymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Sounds about right. Really don't have to go too much further west than Charlottesville before you get into a good area....maybe 30-45 minutes. According to the Euro cancel my earlier statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 why is everyone so caught up in dictating conversation nonstop.. there is no real pbp here. people can mention models in this thread. idk but it's pretty annoying...too many tight wraps here. if i was a mod here, i'd be more annoyed with the people that keep telling the mods to do a better job than i would be with the other posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 In the majority of scenarios where the fine folks in central and southern VA were in the bullseye at this range with us fringed, at game time they were reporting rain or sleet with us under warnings for heavy snow. I am just a weenie but there is little doubt in my mind that will be what we see develop 24 hours out on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 the only issue is the euro has been south more than it's been north. it's possible the north runs were hiccups. im not going to pretend i have any solid idea of what will happen--no one does imo. i could give scenarios but that's a lot of typing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This is going to be wild. Mitch even mentioned 3/2009. That would really just about sum this winter up for me. If Virginia gets a 3/2009 again, and I get the same results, I hope everyone who gets snow is without power for a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 In the majority of scenarios where the fine folks in central and southern VA were in the bullseye at this range with us fringed, at game time they were reporting rain or sleet with us under warnings for heavy snow. I am just a weenie but there is little doubt in my mind that will be what we see develop 24 hours out on the models. I hope so, but this is only 2.5 days away.......it's not like we're 5 days out. If we don't get a nice northward shift by tomorrow afternoon, then we may be screwed. And it would be fitting since other awful winters like 01-02 and 72-73 had a good southern snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 In the majority of scenarios where the fine folks in central and southern VA were in the bullseye at this range with us fringed, at game time they were reporting rain or sleet with us under warnings for heavy snow. I am just a weenie but there is little doubt in my mind that will be what we see develop 24 hours out on the models. I just posted this in the main thread but it's good banter too. I would estimate (with no hard data) that 3 out of 4 times the models jog south @ 72 the final solution ends up further N. Same applies in reverse when they jog N. Maybe 1 out of 4 times is ends up being further south (could be lower than that too. I try to forget N jogs and rain storms in winter). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Let's be honest, we're not going to have a real good handle on this until sometime Saturday. Anything between now and then is just a good guess and not necessarily an educated one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This is going to be wild. Mitch even mentioned 3/2009. That would really just about sum this winter up for me. If Virginia gets a 3/2009 again, and I get the same results, I hope everyone who gets snow is without power for a month. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm riding the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm riding the 18z NAM This is about the right time to start watching the nam. Prob not till 0z but if 18z looks better than the 12z euro, I'm riding it for a full 8 seconds, wrasslin' it to the ground, and hog-tying it ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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