H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm surprised to see Cantore making those comments @ 72 hours. Kinda precarious if you ask me. Even if you're not familiar with our challenged snow climo, this threat is pretty real at this point. I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Considering our winter to this point has been a massive pile of ox dung, I don't think this threat should be minimized or downplayed at all. Even 2-4 in the cities is high impact cause dc peeps have had no practice this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 banter thread.. go away -- no "apeshiz" no u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I know my browser went font crazy. stop yelling at me .....i'm very sensitive today and I though we we're pals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Considering our winter to this point has been a massive pile of ox dung, I don't think this threat should be minimized or downplayed at all. Even 2-4 in the cities is high impact cause dc peeps have had no practice this year. I'm only to say this because I have been on the right path so far. Said early this week that this was the storm and it would deliver. (when most were still saying no way) Went with the GFS (being far north) and EURO (being far south) and said compromise it right down the middle. So far that has come to fruition in the current modeling. I think what we see is this waffle a bit to the south for today's models as it largely has, then a bump back to the north in the days before the storm. DCA/BWI punishment. Pure gut call and of course- one that involves more snow closer to where I live. So it's semi weenie. But its just the feeling I can get. I think this one will over perform these 2-4" expectations if this storm comes north. Dynamic cooling associated with the banding and the intensification of the storm should be more than enough to overcome this warm BL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Considering our winter to this point has been a massive pile of ox dung, I don't think this threat should be minimized or downplayed at all. Even 2-4 in the cities is high impact cause dc peeps have had no practice this year. no reason to make any definitive statements still. as is probably mainly wet streets in this area except if it comes down like 2"/hr for a while or something. then again... dc drivers cant drive in rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 OPM With the possibility of snowfall this coming weekend, we have decided that staff may take advantage of unscheduled leave/telework on Friday, February 17th to prepare for the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 no reason to make any definitive statements still. as is probably mainly wet streets in this area except if it comes down like 2"/hr for a while or something. then again... dc drivers cant drive in rain. yea, I don't even know why I'm discussing cantore to be honest. I guess maybe because alot of folks watch him and repsect him quite a bit. saying it's game over just like that just seemed odd. I fully expect him on the mall on sunday as the deform band snows so hard it will show up on seismographs for 100 miles around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 OPM With the possibility of snowfall this coming weekend, we have decided that staff may take advantage of unscheduled leave/telework on Friday, February 17th to prepare for the weather. I hope this is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 RIC is the absolute worst place for snow. I am getting out of here ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 OPM With the possibility of snowfall this coming weekend, we have decided that staff may take advantage of unscheduled leave/telework on Friday, February 17th to prepare for the weather. There goes DCs supply of bread and TP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I hope this is a joke. It is, but if Monday were not a holiday for us feds, I wouldn't be surprised to see it on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 RIC is the absolute worst place for snow. I am getting out of here ASAP. 64 West is your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm only to say this because I have been on the right path so far. Said early this week that this was the storm and it would deliver. (when most were still saying no way) Went with the GFS (being far north) and EURO (being far south) and said compromise it right down the middle. So far that has come to fruition in the current modeling. I think what we see is this waffle a bit to the south for today's models as it largely has, then a bump back to the north in the days before the storm. DCA/BWI punishment. Pure gut call and of course- one that involves more snow closer to where I live. So it's semi weenie. But its just the feeling I can get. I think this one will over perform these 2-4" expectations if this storm comes north. Dynamic cooling associated with the banding and the intensification of the storm should be more than enough to overcome this warm BL. List the people who said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 List the people who said that. we should be excited that he found a magical formula of blending the euro and gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdevil02 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I just moved from Mt. Pleasant to North Old Town, or whatever they call my neighborhood. Right near the Braddock Rd. Metro. Can't wait to see what winters are like near National Airport! I'll check in when I switch to snow about 2 hours after everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 we should be excited that he found a magical formula of blending the euro and gfs Lotta people were hugging either way.. ... you know what im saying you devil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 List the people who said that. Most were in full Negative Nancy mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 we should be excited that he found a magical formula of blending the euro and gfs Well simplicity does sometimes win the day. BUT, in my humble, know-little opinion, this thing is still completely up in the air. If the Euro stays consistent with 0z, then I'm in the groove. Otherwise, it's still an unknown. Looking at the differences in the gfs ens members would scream that this isn't a done deal by a long shot, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lotta people were hugging either way.. ... you know what im saying you devil ut oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Lotta people were hugging either way.. ... you know what im saying you devil OK, give names. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well simplicity does sometimes win the day. BUT, in my humble, know-little opinion, this thing is still completely up in the air. If the Euro stays consistent with 0z, then I'm in the groove. Otherwise, it's still an unknown. Looking at the differences in the gfs ens members would scream that this isn't a done deal by a long shot, IMO. dont look at the euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 64 West is your friend. That it is. I'm planning on being in Harrisonburg this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 dont look at the euro... South ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 suppressed city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? Why? So you can be slapped around for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? why is everyone so caught up in dictating conversation nonstop.. there is no real pbp here. people can mention models in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can you guys keep the model talk in the other thread? Well, I'm smoking alot of cirrus on Sat night care to join? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 why is everyone so caught up in dictating conversation nonstop.. there is no real pbp here. people can mention models in this thread. People were discussing models in here earlier. Nevermin..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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