Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is he like in another world? Sorry jim just because you wont be sitting in front of the monument in thundersnow, whats his deal Ian? i dunno.. tho i've yet to see a forecaster from outside the region be that great at forecasting for the region. it's a high risk situation in the cities still i suppose. but not sure his commentary is spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 lol.. im confused by his commentary JimCantore @capitalweather Thanks Jason! Another storm bites the dust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 We are entering into "worry about every little model wiggle" mode. I await the post bemoaning that fact that the 18Z GFS fringes Leesburg. Eh....I stopped paying attention when Ellinwood said this thing had no chance.....I'm riding the Ellinwood bus all the way to nothingness on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He might mean high impact, which for the cities..may not be all that bad. Temps will be a function of snow rates, so you'll need 1/2SM stuff or better to get the good accumulations. At least on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm surprised to see Cantore making those comments @ 72 hours. Kinda precarious if you ask me. Even if you're not familiar with our challenged snow climo, this threat is pretty real at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Not sure I'd even consider Cantore to be a true forecaster. He's more of a commentator/entertainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm surprised to see Cantore making those comments @ 72 hours. Kinda precarious if you ask me. Even if you're not familiar with our challenged snow climo, this threat is pretty real at this point. Reminds me of how the mets downplayed 1/26 last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i dunno.. tho i've yet to see a forecaster from outside the region be that great at forecasting for the region. it's a high risk situation in the cities still i suppose. but not sure his commentary is spot on. we also don't know what he means by impact...He might not consider 2-4 an impact in DC. Really in most winters we wouldn't be that excited about 2-4 or even 3-5. So for this winter based on what we have seen so far his comments may ring true. Now the weenie in me says he needs to jump off a tall bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He might mean high impact, which for the cities..may not be all that bad. Temps will be a function of snow rates, so you'll need 1/2SM stuff or better to get the good accumulations. At least on the GFS. agree it's going to have an uphill battle to be more than pretty in the cities but he seems rather negative overall. im not sure the last 24 hours of modeling supports that totally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Reminds me of how the mets downplayed 1/26 last year. I thought our subforum did a smoking job analyzing 1/26 last year. It was quite memorable for me. I had the dadgum flu, was lying under 50 blankets with a 103 fever, lost power, wondered why god was punishing me, and had my phone in hand reading every post on amwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Alright, lol. Everyone is going apeshiz on Cantore. Take a deep breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 we also don't know what he means by impact...He might not consider 2-4 an impact in DC. Really in most winters we wouldn't be that excited about 2-4 or even 3-5. So for this winter based on what we have seen so far his comments may ring true. Now the weenie in me says he needs to jump off a tall bridge. that's possible. tho the bite the dust comment seems off... i mean we're up against a 1" storm as our competitor. so unless it's less than that it's a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Alright, lol. Everyone is going apeshiz on Cantore. Take a deep breath. banter thread.. go away -- no "apeshiz" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Its time for the biggest EURO run of our lives this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm surprised to see Cantore making those comments @ 72 hours. Kinda precarious if you ask me. Even if you're not familiar with our challenged snow climo, this threat is pretty real at this point. I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Considering our winter to this point has been a massive pile of ox dung, I don't think this threat should be minimized or downplayed at all. Even 2-4 in the cities is high impact cause dc peeps have had no practice this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 banter thread.. go away -- no "apeshiz" no u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I know my browser went font crazy. stop yelling at me .....i'm very sensitive today and I though we we're pals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Considering our winter to this point has been a massive pile of ox dung, I don't think this threat should be minimized or downplayed at all. Even 2-4 in the cities is high impact cause dc peeps have had no practice this year. I'm only to say this because I have been on the right path so far. Said early this week that this was the storm and it would deliver. (when most were still saying no way) Went with the GFS (being far north) and EURO (being far south) and said compromise it right down the middle. So far that has come to fruition in the current modeling. I think what we see is this waffle a bit to the south for today's models as it largely has, then a bump back to the north in the days before the storm. DCA/BWI punishment. Pure gut call and of course- one that involves more snow closer to where I live. So it's semi weenie. But its just the feeling I can get. I think this one will over perform these 2-4" expectations if this storm comes north. Dynamic cooling associated with the banding and the intensification of the storm should be more than enough to overcome this warm BL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Considering our winter to this point has been a massive pile of ox dung, I don't think this threat should be minimized or downplayed at all. Even 2-4 in the cities is high impact cause dc peeps have had no practice this year. no reason to make any definitive statements still. as is probably mainly wet streets in this area except if it comes down like 2"/hr for a while or something. then again... dc drivers cant drive in rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 OPM With the possibility of snowfall this coming weekend, we have decided that staff may take advantage of unscheduled leave/telework on Friday, February 17th to prepare for the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 no reason to make any definitive statements still. as is probably mainly wet streets in this area except if it comes down like 2"/hr for a while or something. then again... dc drivers cant drive in rain. yea, I don't even know why I'm discussing cantore to be honest. I guess maybe because alot of folks watch him and repsect him quite a bit. saying it's game over just like that just seemed odd. I fully expect him on the mall on sunday as the deform band snows so hard it will show up on seismographs for 100 miles around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 OPM With the possibility of snowfall this coming weekend, we have decided that staff may take advantage of unscheduled leave/telework on Friday, February 17th to prepare for the weather. I hope this is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 RIC is the absolute worst place for snow. I am getting out of here ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 OPM With the possibility of snowfall this coming weekend, we have decided that staff may take advantage of unscheduled leave/telework on Friday, February 17th to prepare for the weather. There goes DCs supply of bread and TP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I hope this is a joke. It is, but if Monday were not a holiday for us feds, I wouldn't be surprised to see it on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 RIC is the absolute worst place for snow. I am getting out of here ASAP. 64 West is your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm only to say this because I have been on the right path so far. Said early this week that this was the storm and it would deliver. (when most were still saying no way) Went with the GFS (being far north) and EURO (being far south) and said compromise it right down the middle. So far that has come to fruition in the current modeling. I think what we see is this waffle a bit to the south for today's models as it largely has, then a bump back to the north in the days before the storm. DCA/BWI punishment. Pure gut call and of course- one that involves more snow closer to where I live. So it's semi weenie. But its just the feeling I can get. I think this one will over perform these 2-4" expectations if this storm comes north. Dynamic cooling associated with the banding and the intensification of the storm should be more than enough to overcome this warm BL. List the people who said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 List the people who said that. we should be excited that he found a magical formula of blending the euro and gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdevil02 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I just moved from Mt. Pleasant to North Old Town, or whatever they call my neighborhood. Right near the Braddock Rd. Metro. Can't wait to see what winters are like near National Airport! I'll check in when I switch to snow about 2 hours after everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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